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Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (426 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

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Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
21267 claims
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Productivity
17978 claims
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Governance
17038 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
16914 claims
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Org Design
11104 claims
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Innovation
11087 claims
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Labor Markets
6711 claims
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Skills & Training
5616 claims
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Inequality
4343 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 1880 496 296 1854 4721
Organizational Efficiency 2906 665 438 180 4210
Governance & Regulation 2162 929 480 247 3866
Technology Adoption Rate 1533 545 278 210 2593
Decision Quality 1391 534 321 173 2429
Output Quality 1298 472 231 145 2153
AI Safety & Ethics 682 821 230 90 1837
Research Productivity 855 253 121 425 1675
Firm Productivity 1105 171 175 73 1531
Task Allocation 735 229 361 99 1433
Market Structure 457 461 251 47 1222
Innovation Output 673 94 108 36 913
Task Completion Time 499 118 43 38 702
Firm Revenue 458 130 61 26 677
Skill Acquisition 381 122 113 34 650
Consumer Welfare 316 176 115 39 648
Employment Level 223 143 177 53 600
Error Rate 246 282 44 19 594
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 283 142 78 52 562
Inequality Measures 103 329 106 13 552
Worker Satisfaction 225 185 63 30 503
Automation Exposure 158 155 72 37 426
Regulatory Compliance 186 126 35 14 362
Team Performance 193 56 51 24 326
Developer Productivity 224 58 27 13 323
Wages & Compensation 148 108 50 17 323
Training Effectiveness 218 44 21 27 313
Job Displacement 23 159 53 5 240
Hiring & Recruitment 109 61 32 11 215
Skill Obsolescence 16 107 26 6 155
Creative Output 71 44 28 6 150
Social Protection 58 31 12 3 104
Labor Share of Income 29 43 25 2 99
Worker Turnover 45 29 6 4 84
Industry 1 1
Adoption intensity has an inverted-U relationship with incidents in the AI Incident Database, with an implied peak near 73% adoption.
Real-data panel analysis of 1,383 AI incidents from the AI Incident Database covering 2019–2026.
high mixed Governing agentic AI autonomy: an accountability-contingent ... Incident exposure as a function of AI adoption intensity
Augmentation AI exposure is primarily concentrated in STEM occupations, whereas automation AI exposure is relatively more prevalent in high-skilled occupations and in sales, office, and administrative-support occupations.
Descriptive analysis of occupational exposure indices constructed from AI-related Stack Overflow questions mapped to occupational abilities and outputs.
high mixed Teaching with and About Artificial Intelligence: An Interdis... Occupational exposure to augmentation and automation AI
AI increasingly affects cognitive and analytical functions traditionally associated with highly educated workers, giving it the potential to influence virtually every sector of the economy.
Conceptual comparison of AI with earlier waves of automation in the introduction; the essay provides sectoral examples but no empirical sector-by-sector analysis.
high mixed AI and the Economy: An Economic Examination of Production, D... Exposure of cognitive and analytical work to AI
AI and task automation increase substitutability most strongly for work that is decomposable and codifiable, whereas AI augmentation can counterbalance this effect by increasing workers' verifiable productivity.
Theoretical synthesis of AI-enabled knowledge-work studies and global labour arbitrage literature; no task-level experiment or observational estimate is reported.
high mixed Beyond skills: Employer-perceived labour substitutability an... Exposure of graduate tasks to automation and AI augmentation
AI increasingly affects cognitive and analytical functions traditionally associated with highly educated workers, giving it the potential to influence virtually every sector of the economy.
Conceptual comparison of AI with earlier waves of automation in the introduction; the essay provides sectoral examples but no empirical sector-by-sector analysis.
high mixed AI and the Economy: An Economic Examination of Production, D... Exposure of cognitive and analytical work to AI
The study finds that generative AI may automate structural creative tasks while leaving relational and affective tasks comparatively resistant to automation, producing hybridized job profiles rather than wholesale displacement.
Interpretation of the reported generational workflows and participants’ distinction between structural AI-assisted tasks and human relational work; this is an implication of the qualitative findings, not a measured labor-market effect.
high mixed The ‘Plasticity’ of the Algorithm: Affective Labour, Machine... Composition of creative work and allocation of tasks between AI and human labor
Higher AI intensity increases both firms’ regulatory exposure and the opportunities that skilled legal capability can unlock.
Conceptual reasoning concerning AI-related privacy, safety, liability, data protection, algorithmic bias, and platform-regulation issues.
high mixed Beyond Compliance: Legal Capability as a Dynamic Strategic R... AI-related regulatory exposure and strategic opportunity
The strength of psychological barriers to enterprise AI adoption differs by enterprise size, industry type, and employees' prior AI experience.
Multi-group comparison analyses examined heterogeneity across enterprise and employee subgroups in a three-enterprise survey.
high mixed From Aspiration to Reality: Understanding the Psychological ... Strength of psychological barriers to AI adoption
The six AI systems differed more across cognitive capability dimensions than across model families.
Comparative profiling of six AI systems using the paper's cognitive-capability battery.
high mixed Using profiles of cognitive capability to assess AI suitabil... Variation in AI-system cognitive capability profiles
Industrial AI and digital-twin systems in the Vietnamese electric-vehicle welding plant do not fully automate or simply replace human labor; their operation depends on workers’ routine desynchronization of machine-directed processes.
Qualitative ethnographic fieldwork combining shop-floor observation and semi-structured interviews at a single high-tech electric-vehicle welding factory in Vietnam.
high mixed Desynchronizing the Digital Factory: Relational Intelligence... Extent and form of human labor complementarity with industrial AI
Occupations requiring complex interpersonal judgment, caregiving, and pedagogical tasks generally have lower AI exposure, although individual tasks within these jobs may still be automated or augmented.
Comparative occupational exposure classification across healthcare and education, based on task content and AI adoption indicators.
high mixed Artificial Intelligence and Labour Market Transformation: A ... AI exposure and automatable task share within healthcare and education occupatio...
The framework is focused on the customs-observable subset of TBML, while many TBML techniques remain outside its scope or require cooperation from financial gateways, registries, or international partners.
Scope limitations and detectability mapping; no empirical estimate of the proportion of TBML covered is reported.
high mixed Macro–meso–micro analytics for trade-based money laundering ... Scope and coverage of TBML detection
The paper maps ten TBML techniques to their observable data sources, detectable architectural layers, and blind spots, making explicit which techniques are amenable to customs-observable screening.
Typology-detectability scope mapping across customs, registry, and financial-gateway observables.
high mixed Macro–meso–micro analytics for trade-based money laundering ... Coverage and blind spots of customs-observable TBML screening
The IMF estimates that almost 40% of global employment is exposed to AI, with exposure of 60% in advanced economies, 40% in emerging economies, and 26% in low-income countries.
The paper cites IMF cross-country estimates of employment exposure to AI.
high mixed The Unequal Impact of AI on Local Labor Markets: Mechanisms,... Share of employment exposed to AI
The fraction of intervened turns without a policy-supported counterfactual was substantially higher for Llama-3.1-8B than for Qwen2.5-7B: 26.8% versus 13.1%, a factor of 2.05.
Replay under the same environment, four alternatives, and 15-rollout budget; Qwen had 2,034 intervened turns and Llama had 1,082 corrected-instrument turns.
high mixed Credit Without Ground Truth: Auditing Step-Level Credit Assi... Availability of policy-supported counterfactual alternatives for executed replay
Topology can shift aggregate reliance when network influence transmits correlated beliefs rather than exchangeable experience signals.
Boundary experiment comparing experience-based learning with opinion dynamics and varying whether high-degree hubs initially had high or low trust.
high mixed Modeling AI Overreliance as a Complex Adaptive System Consensus trust and behavioral overreliance
In a 32-step simulated corporate-network task, Kimi K3 reached step 17 on average and completed the scenario once in ten attempts, compared with step 28.5 and six or seven successful attempts in ten for the strongest closed models.
Joint AISI/CAISI evaluation of Kimi K3 against leading closed models in a simulated corporate network.
high mixed Sovereign by necessity? Frontier AI export controls, cyber s... Progress and success rate in a simulated corporate-network intrusion
On the ExploitBench benchmark, the open-weight Kimi K3 model scored 32%, compared with 24% for the previous most capable open-weight model, but it remained substantially behind closed frontier models.
Joint UK AI Security Institute and US Center for AI Standards and Innovation assessment on 41 recent V8-engine vulnerabilities.
high mixed Sovereign by necessity? Frontier AI export controls, cyber s... End-to-end exploit-development benchmark performance
Regional exposure and local AI intensity are important sources of heterogeneity in AI's labor-market effects.
Regional comparisons and heterogeneity analysis based on differences in AI exposure and national AI specialization.
high mixed AI innovation and labor market polarization: Evidence from E... Regional variation in relative wages and employment responses to AI
The study’s 63-competency taxonomy consists of 28 competencies classified as high-AI-potential displacement competencies and 35 classified as moderate-AI-potential augmentation competencies.
An ensemble classification protocol used Gemini 1.5 Pro, ChatGPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Microsoft Copilot, and Perplexity Pro, followed by consensus reconciliation; 57 low-AI-potential competencies were excluded.
high mixed Digital decoupling: educational stratification and dual-trac... Classification of occupational competencies into AI displacement and augmentatio...
Across 846 U.S. occupations, the AI Dual-Track model identifies simultaneous displacement and augmentation pressures associated with generative AI.
Occupational-level analysis merging O*NET competency data with BLS wages and employment data for a final sample of 846 occupations; the model assigns competencies to substitution and facilitation tracks.
high mixed Digital decoupling: educational stratification and dual-trac... Occupational exposure to AI substitution and facilitation
Structural inequalities, governance quality, and development conditions shape both mobility choices and households' capacities to adapt in place.
Comparative and case-focused analysis of environmentally vulnerable regions combined with literature and governance analysis.
high mixed Climate Migration, Development and Sustainability in the Glo... Mobility choices and in-place adaptive capacity
Generative AI lowers the marginal cost of content production, affecting creative labor markets, journalism business models, and the supply of both high-quality and deceptive content.
Qualitative analysis of production structures and economic implications; no labor-market estimates are reported.
high mixed FROM INFORMATION TO INFLUENCE: HOW GENERATIVE AI IS RESHAPIN... Marginal content-production cost and creative-sector labor-market structure
Germany, France, Estonia, and Poland occupy intermediate vulnerability positions, but the dimensions driving vulnerability differ across countries.
The comparative results describe labour-market exposure as important in Germany and France, migration pressures in Estonia and Poland, and limited technological readiness particularly in Poland.
high mixed Methodology for Calculating the Human Capital Vulnerability ... Relative national vulnerability and its dimensional composition
The comparative validation sample consists of six countries selected using cluster analysis: Germany, France, Finland, Estonia, Poland, and Ukraine.
Country selection used cluster analysis to identify a representative six-country sample spanning different vulnerability patterns.
high mixed Methodology for Calculating the Human Capital Vulnerability ... Cross-country vulnerability patterns
AI exposure is a technological possibility and should not be interpreted by itself as a prediction of adoption, substitution, job loss, or welfare effects.
Review of task-, occupation-, skill-, firm-, and time-varying measures of AI exposure, followed by a conceptual distinction between exposure and realized economic outcomes.
high mixed A New Theory of Value for Post-AGI Economics Employment, job substitution, adoption, and welfare effects associated with AI e...
Yapay zekâya maruziyet büro, yönetim ve diğer bilişsel yoğunluk taşıyan beyaz yaka mesleklerde daha yüksek; fiziksel emek ağırlıklı ve düşük vasıf gerektiren mesleklerde ise görece daha düşüktür.
Georgieff ve Hyee (2022) tarafından bildirilen meslekler arası yapay zekâ maruziyeti karşılaştırmaları.
high mixed Yapay Zekânın Endüstri İlişkilerine Etkileri: Sendika, Toplu... Mesleklerin yapay zekâya maruziyet düzeyi
The paper presents Hugging Face game-asset model release velocity as a candidate leading indicator of production-cost decline, but does not establish a lagged causal or predictive relationship.
Four annual observations from an API-search-limited sample; the paper states that no lag structure can be estimated and calls for quarterly-resolution validation.
high mixed The AI Wave and the Reinvention of Game Discovery: Oversuppl... Potential relationship between asset-model release velocity and game-release vol...
This study develops a disruption index that integrates task exposure, adoption rates, time savings, and skill complementarity.
Methodological contribution described in the paper (index construction combining specified components).
high mixed Generative AI as a General-Purpose Technology: Foundations, ... disruption potential (aggregate index incorporating task exposure, adoption, tim...
AI integration does not simply automate entrepreneurial work.
Stated as a central argumentative claim in the thesis excerpt; no empirical methods, data, or sample size provided in the excerpt.
high mixed AI-enabled Entrepreneurial Restructuring Tasks, Workflows, a... degree to which entrepreneurial tasks are automated versus augmented/reorganized
By identifying differences across male and female-dominated occupations, this work supports recommendations to mitigate the risk of reinforcing gender inequalities in the labour market.
Paper claims its occupational exposure analysis distinguishes male- and female-dominated occupations and uses those findings to support policy/recommendation proposals; the excerpt does not provide the analytic method, magnitude of differences, or sample details.
high mixed Assessing the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Gender Di... differences in AI exposure between male- and female-dominated occupations (and p...
We present evidence from a Responsible Artificial Intelligence (RAI) UK project examining the exposure of different occupations to AI-driven innovation.
The paper states it provides empirical evidence from a RAI UK project analyzing occupation-level exposure to AI-driven innovation; methods and sample size are not included in the provided excerpt.
high mixed Assessing the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Gender Di... exposure of occupations to AI-driven innovation
The transformation of Turkiye's digital newsrooms is best characterized as AI-assisted rather than AI-led.
Author interpretation/argument synthesizing survey findings (role composition, task uses, attitudes) to characterize the nature of AI integration.
high mixed From Field to Desk: AI and the Reporter–editor Rebalance in ... characterization of AI integration (AI-assisted vs AI-led)
Exposure to GenAI is concentrated in high-income economies, where 34% of employment is in exposed occupations, compared with 11% in low-income countries.
Cross-country comparison of employment shares in exposed occupations using ILO data and Working Papers 96 and 140.
high mixed Generative AI, productivity, and inequality in the Global So... share of employment in exposed occupations by country income group
Aggregating task-level AI exposure scores to the job-level reveals heterogeneity in AI exposure (mean and variance) even for seemingly identical jobs.
Analysis approach: aggregation of task-level exposure scores to compute job-level means and variances; paper asserts this reveals heterogeneity among ostensibly identical roles.
high mixed Beyond Automation: Redesigning Jobs with LLMs to Enhance Pro... mean and variance of job-level AI exposure
We find marked heterogeneity in model predictions.
Empirical comparison of multiple projection models (comparison of outputs across the set of models described in the paper).
high mixed Helping People Choose Careers in the Age of AI variation across occupational AI exposure predictions
Youthful populations, large shares of informal and agricultural employment, and concentrated digital and outsourcing hubs create a patchwork of exposure: pockets of intense AI adoption sit beside vast swathes of low-digitisation employment.
Conceptual synthesis and descriptive evidence cited from major international organizations and industry studies (World Bank, ILO, etc.) in the paper; no numerical sample provided.
high mixed A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIAL IMPACT OF AI ON JOB DIS... heterogeneity of AI exposure across sectors and regions
Both full-panel estimates (hiring and productivity) are imprecise, pointing to augmentation rather than displacement.
Author discussion noting imprecision of full-panel coefficients and interpreting the pattern as consistent with augmentation (productivity up, hiring down slightly but imprecise).
high mixed The Most Exposed Sector Meets the Shock: AI Exposure and Fir... statistical precision and interpretation (augmentation vs displacement)
AI exposure varies sharply across Indian firms.
Author statement based on firm-level exposure measures computed in the paper (weighted averages of occupational LLM exposure scores across business lines).
high mixed The Most Exposed Sector Meets the Shock: AI Exposure and Fir... firm-level AI/LLM exposure heterogeneity
The dominant paradigm has shifted from 'substitution' (machines replacing workers) to 'augmentation' (AI augmenting human work).
Interpretive conclusion in the paper drawn from secondary literature (WEF, ILO, McKinsey, PwC) and observed policy/industry trends.
high mixed AI AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE LABOR MARKET: THE SOCIAL CO... nature of human-AI interaction (substitution vs augmentation)
AI exposure is more positive for occupations performing nonroutine interactive work and more negative for occupations concentrated in analytical, scientific, and operations-control skills.
Occupation-level analysis mapping skill content (interaction-and-communication vs. analytical/scientific/operations-control) to market-implied AI premium; comparison across occupational skill categories.
high mixed AI Premium market-implied AI premium by occupational skill content
There is a growing reliance on agentic AI systems within the platform context.
Qualitative evidence from the 20 interviews and the 24-participant workshop reporting increased dependence on AI agents for tasks and decision support.
high mixed The impact of artificial intelligence on enterprise software... degree of reliance on agentic AI systems
There is increasing automation of operational tasks in the development domain.
Participant reports and workshop discussions from 20 interviews and a 24-person workshop indicating automation of operational activities; qualitative thematic evidence.
high mixed The impact of artificial intelligence on enterprise software... automation level of operational tasks
The intended contribution is an Information Systems framework explaining when AI supports human augmentation and when it produces functional substitution.
Stated intended theoretical contribution in the abstract (proposed framework). This is an intended outcome rather than an empirically demonstrated result in the provided text.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... conditions determining augmentation versus functional substitution by AI
The present wave of automation targets non-routine cognitive activity such as coding, technical writing, and graphic design, unlike past automation which mainly involved routine manual activity.
Framing/background statement in the paper contrasting historical automation (routine manual tasks) with current AI-driven automation of non-routine cognitive tasks; no sample size or quantitative test reported in the abstract.
high mixed THE ASYMMETRIC IMPACT OF GENERATIVE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ... which tasks are targeted by automation (routine manual vs. non-routine cognitive...
AI's rapid evolution has profound effects on the labor market, influencing the levels, skills needed for jobs, and overall jobs content.
Statement from the paper's synthesis/introduction summarizing reviewed empirical studies (systematic literature review covering studies from 2017–2025). Number of underlying studies not reported in the excerpt.
high mixed Labor Market The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employ... overall effects on labor market: job levels, skill requirements, and job content
Although the geometry (bipolar structure) is stable, its content is not: across a decade the polarity has inverted relative to Frey and Osborne (2013).
Comparison of macro-level placements between the paper's LLM-era OAI and the Frey-Osborne (2013) rankings; authors report inversion and supporting correlation statistics.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... change in directionality of macro-level automation risk (polarity) over time
Tool-Mediated Physical (M2) and Planning & Design (M7) are separated by Cohen's d = 2.41 (H = 172.88, p = 6.21e-34).
Statistical comparison reported in the paper (Cohen's d, H-statistic, p-value) between the two macro clusters' OAI distributions.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... effect size (standardized mean difference) between macro M2 and M7 OAI distribut...
Projecting the DWA-level Occupational Automation Index (OAI) onto a 7-macro semantic typology produces a bipolar structure (two poles separated by a low-contrast middle band).
Authors' projection of previously computed DWA-level OAI onto a 7-cluster semantic typology and subsequent analysis of cluster structure.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... structure of macro-level OAI distribution (bipolarity between macros)
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has changed how people work across various fields and businesses, especially in the Indian Information Technology (IT) industry.
Authors' qualitative synthesis of peer-reviewed literature and thematic evaluation of secondary data (literature review). No sample size reported.
high mixed Human–AI Collaboration in the Indian IT Industry: A Qualitat... nature of work / how people work