The Commonplace
Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (270 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
10085 claims
Filter claims →
Productivity
8974 claims
Filter claims →
Governance
8062 claims
Filter claims →
Human-AI Collaboration
7749 claims
Filter claims →
Org Design
5057 claims
Filter claims →
Innovation
4896 claims
Filter claims →
Labor Markets
4088 claims
Filter claims →
Skills & Training
3372 claims
Filter claims →
Inequality
2377 claims
Filter claims →

Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 882 244 117 1097 2424
Governance & Regulation 1010 469 229 135 1875
Organizational Efficiency 977 235 149 90 1462
Technology Adoption Rate 781 299 143 128 1362
Research Productivity 506 155 74 363 1110
Output Quality 555 219 71 70 915
Decision Quality 395 200 95 54 751
Firm Productivity 523 67 101 27 724
AI Safety & Ethics 262 309 75 36 688
Market Structure 195 201 135 30 566
Task Allocation 248 77 96 38 464
Innovation Output 300 34 55 20 411
Skill Acquisition 207 75 65 21 368
Employment Level 138 67 119 24 350
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 156 80 53 33 329
Task Completion Time 211 38 13 16 280
Firm Revenue 183 52 29 5 270
Consumer Welfare 131 77 48 13 269
Inequality Measures 50 141 54 9 254
Worker Satisfaction 104 85 25 13 227
Error Rate 87 112 11 5 215
Automation Exposure 69 69 37 20 198
Wages & Compensation 102 49 31 11 193
Team Performance 115 30 30 11 187
Regulatory Compliance 88 74 17 7 186
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 116 21 15 8 161
Job Displacement 12 92 26 1 131
Hiring & Recruitment 57 12 9 5 83
Skill Obsolescence 6 59 10 2 77
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 23 17 1 59
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
Unprecedented AI capital expenditure coexists with persistent operating losses, speculative valuations, and fragile revenue models.
Empirical characterization asserted in the paper (references implied); the provided excerpt does not state specific datasets, firms counted, dates, or sample size.
high mixed Artificial Intelligence and the Limits of Accumulation: Capi... AI capital expenditure, operating losses, speculative valuations, revenue model ...
The modality gap (weaker penalty for visual vs. textual AI-use disclosure) widens when AI is used in final products but narrows when AI is used in marketing materials.
Interaction analyses across application stages (final product vs. marketing material) within the 41,073 Kickstarter projects, using LLM-assisted classification to label both modality and application stage and entropy balancing for covariate control.
A standard learning agent can obtain near-reference revenue per available room (RevPAR) while failing to learn market-like yield management: it sells too aggressively, undercuts, or collapses to modal price buckets.
Experiments in a two-hotel revenue-management simulator where Hotel A is trained against a fixed rule-based competitor (Hotel B); comparison of learned agent behavior to market-like yield management patterns observed in traces.
high mixed Market-Alignment Risk in Pricing Agents: Trace Diagnostics a... RevPAR (revenue per available room) and pricing behavior (aggressiveness, underc...
AI adoption moves value creation away from physical resources and human collaboration toward continuous token flows produced through data refinement loops.
Theoretical/analytical claim within the Structural Dissolution Framework and illustrative discussion; no empirical quantification provided in the text excerpt.
high mixed Structural Dissolution: How Artificial Intelligence Dismantl... source of value creation (physical/human → data/token flows)
Only a small subset of LLM retailers can consistently achieve capital appreciation, while many hover around the break-even point.
Empirical results from the 20-agent benchmark experiments reported in the paper, contrasting capital appreciation for winners vs break-even for many agents.
high mixed Market-Bench: Benchmarking Large Language Models on Economic... capital appreciation / agent profitability
Benchmarking on 20 open- and closed-source LLM agents reveals significant performance disparities and a winner-take-most phenomenon.
Empirical evaluation described in the paper using 20 LLM agents (open- and closed-source); results reported show uneven performance distribution.
high mixed Market-Bench: Benchmarking Large Language Models on Economic... performance (financial/competitive outcomes of retailer agents)
Reimbursement models (fee-for-service vs. capitation) will influence whether cost savings from GenAI are realized or offset by increased service volume.
Economic incentive framework and prior health-economics literature cited; the paper does not provide direct empirical tests but references plausible incentive channels.
high mixed GenAI and clinical decision making in general practice total spending; per-patient cost; service volume under different payment models
Digital and even non-digital sectors generate no profit without data, technology, and infrastructure.
Author's theoretical argument and interpretation of contemporary observations (paper's conceptual analysis); not reported as a quantified empirical estimate.
high negative 250 years of Smith’s work: How digital platforms bring us ba... profit generation dependence on data/technology/infrastructure
Free overrides also cut sales by 1.19%.
Randomized field experiment comparing free-overrides arm to control; effect reported as 1.19% reduction in sales.
Disclosing AI involvement in visual content creation is associated with a weaker funding penalty than disclosing AI involvement in textual content creation.
Subgroup/moderation analysis within the same dataset (41,073 Kickstarter projects) comparing projects that disclosed AI-use in visual modalities versus textual modalities, using LLM-assisted classification to determine modality and entropy balancing for covariate adjustment.
AI-use disclosure is associated with a significant decline in funding performance for Kickstarter projects.
Observational analysis of 41,073 Kickstarter projects using LLM-assisted text classification to identify AI-use disclosure and entropy balancing to adjust for covariate differences; statistical tests reported as significant in the paper.
Capital expenditure has accelerated faster than observed monetization in some layers of the AI stack.
Comparative analysis of capex trends vs monetization metrics presented in the paper (layered AI stack comparison); specific sample counts not provided in the abstract.
high negative Boom, Bubble, or Buildout? A Multi-Method Evaluation of Whet... capital expenditure growth relative to monetization (payback) in AI stack layers
AI platforms transform this uncertainty into extractable value through subscription models, token-based pricing, and prompt marketplaces.
Political-economic / theoretical tracing in the paper citing platform business models (subscription, token pricing, prompt marketplaces) as mechanisms that monetize user uncertainty; no quantitative revenue or case-study sample sizes given in the abstract.
high negative Prompt anxiety and the algorithmic politics of uncertainty transformation of user uncertainty into monetizable value (platform revenue capt...
AI adoption intensifies existing sustainability challenges for the newsroom, as journalistic content and labour increasingly support AI systems without corresponding financial return.
Qualitative interview data and organisational analysis from Al-Masry Al-Youm indicating increased use of journalistic outputs for AI purposes and lack of matched revenue; sample size not reported in the excerpt.
high negative Platformisation, Power, and AI Governance in the Newsroom: I... financial sustainability / lack of corresponding financial return from AI-relate...
Existing generative AI models do not directly optimize marketplace performance.
Stated as an observed limitation / motivation for the proposed method in the paper (conceptual claim; not an empirical test reported in the excerpt).
high negative Utility-Aware Multimodal Contrastive Learning for Product Im... marketplace performance (sales / demand)
Firms working under such conditions often experience limited access to finance and markets.
Claim derived from literature on firm constraints in weak institutional/sanctioned contexts as reviewed in the paper; no primary empirical data reported.
high negative RegTech-enabled governance of sanctions-safe enterprise ecos... access to finance and markets for firms
Rising data velocity renders legacy systems obsolete—threatening approximately $3.4 trillion in global marketing spending.
Paper reports an estimate/claim about threatened global marketing spending tied to legacy systems becoming obsolete (derivation likely from the study's quantitative analysis or economic estimate described in the paper).
high negative Augmented Intelligence: Resolving the AI integration-obsoles... value of global marketing spending at risk
Autonomous software populations can amass computing budgets without ever achieving general intelligence.
Claim supported by the scenario narratives (Lamarck/Remora/Mycelium) and conceptual reasoning in the paper; no empirical quantification reported.
high negative Digital Darwinism: steering the evolution of artificial life... accumulation of computing resources/budgets by autonomous software
Strong heuristic, single-agent RL, and multi-agent RL baselines (including Greedy, SAC, MAPPO, and MADDPG) achieved net profit in the range $0.58M--$0.70M in the same experiments.
Empirical comparison in the paper's experiments on the NYC-taxi-based EV fleet simulator listing baseline methods and their reported net profits ($0.58M--$0.70M).
high negative Semi-Markov Reinforcement Learning for City-Scale EV Ride-Ha... net profit of baseline methods (Greedy, SAC, MAPPO, MADDPG)
SMEs are suffering from various financial constraints, mostly relying heavily on traditional financial institutions for their survival (Kadzima et al., 2025).
Statement supported by citation to Kadzima et al. (2025); presented as a literature-supported empirical generalization in the paper's background/introduction. No sample size or empirical details given in the excerpt.
high negative Re-Evaluation of Resource Dependence in AI Enabled SME Finan... financial constraints / reliance on traditional financial institutions
Lower survival rates among BDA adopters are driven by greater uncertainty in sales.
Paper states greater uncertainty in sales is an interrelated factor explaining lower survival for BDA adopters, based on empirical analysis of German start-ups.
high negative Big data-based management decisions and start-up performance uncertainty in sales (sales volatility/variance)
A single ungoverned automated agent produced $5.4-10 billion in losses in the 2024 CrowdStrike outage.
Statement in paper attributing a $5.4-10B loss to an ungoverned automated agent during the 2024 CrowdStrike outage; no citation or method shown in excerpt.
high negative Who Governs the Machine? A Machine Identity Governance Taxon... financial losses caused by an ungoverned automated agent in the 2024 CrowdStrike...
Many agents hover around the break-even point despite similar semantic matching scores.
Observed empirical pattern reported in benchmark results: agents with similar semantic matching scores nevertheless show different financial outcomes (many near break-even).
high negative Market-Bench: Benchmarking Large Language Models on Economic... profitability relative to semantic matching score
AI can worsen financial and market performance if it crowds out normal R&D.
Paper's empirical analysis and interpretation linking AI dependence to poorer financial/market performance through displacement of standard R&D activities; presented as a study finding.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial and market performance
High AI dependency disclosed in financial reports does not improve firms' financial health and may even endanger it.
Empirical results drawn from the study's analysis of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers (2013–2023); statement appears in the paper's findings/conclusions.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial health / corporate financial condition
AI dependency reduces financial safety for listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers.
Empirical analysis of a sample of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers covering 2013–2023; the paper reports data analysis showing AI dependency reduces financial safety.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial safety / corporate financial risk
These harms increasingly translate into financial loss through litigation, enforcement penalties, brand erosion, and failed deployments.
Paper argues this linkage using conceptual reasoning and illustrative examples/case vignettes; cites regulatory and market incidents but does not provide systematic empirical estimates or a sample size.
When the framework is extended to include quality heterogeneity and reinforcement dynamics, equilibrium outcomes exhibit declining average payoffs.
Analytical extension of the baseline formal model to incorporate heterogeneous quality and reinforcement (preferential attachment) dynamics; theoretical derivation in the paper; no empirical sample.
high negative The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets average payoffs to producers
In markets with near-zero marginal costs and free entry, increases in the number of producers dilute average attention and returns per producer.
Formal theoretical model introduced in the paper (Builder Saturation Effect) that assumes near-zero marginal costs, free entry, and finite human attention; no empirical sample or experimental data reported.
high negative The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets average returns per producer
We quantify an annual opportunity gap of 865,917 unrealized visits, equivalent to approximately 11.96 billion yen (USD 76.2 million) in lost revenue.
Model-based estimate produced by the DSS using the analyzed datasets and the DHDE-informed optimization; figure reported directly in the paper.
high negative Engineering Distributed Governance for Regional Prosperity: ... unrealized visits and lost revenue
Traditional methods, such as rule-based algorithms and statistical scale forecasting, struggle to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions, competitive maneuvers, and evolving consumer strategies, leading to sub-optimal pricing and decreased profitability.
Paper asserts this as background/motivation; no detailed empirical study or sample size provided in the excerpt.
high negative The Application of Adaptive Reinforcement Learning in Dynami... adaptivity of pricing methods and resulting profitability (sub-optimal pricing, ...
Africa is abundant in natural resources but exhibits relatively low development/outcomes from those resources, creating resource allocation and value-capture problems relevant to OSCM.
Development economics and regional studies literature cited in the paper's synthesis; conceptual claim without new empirical testing.
high negative Continental shift: operations and supply chain management re... resource endowment versus development outcomes (value capture in supply chains)
Higher complaint volume is significantly associated with near-term stock price declines.
Fixed-effects panel path models estimated on monthly data for 261 financial firms (2018–2023) report statistically significant negative associations between firm–month complaint volume and subsequent abnormal returns.
high negative More than words: valuation of words for stock price by using... near-term abnormal stock returns
Consumer complaints—measured by monthly volume, topic composition, and VADER sentiment of complaint narratives—contain behavioral signals that predict short-term abnormal stock returns in U.S. financial firms.
CFPB complaint records matched to 261 publicly traded U.S. financial firms (monthly observations, 2018–2023); analyses use fixed-effects panel path models to link firm–month complaint features (volume, LDA topic prevalences, aggregated VADER sentiment) to firm-level abnormal returns; complementary machine-learning models evaluate out-of-sample predictive performance.
high negative More than words: valuation of words for stock price by using... short-term firm-level abnormal stock returns
Implementing the governed hyperautomation pattern raises upfront costs (governance tooling, monitoring, validation, compliance processes).
Economic and cost-structure discussion in the paper, based on qualitative reasoning and industry experience; no quantified cost estimates or sample-based cost analysis provided.
high negative Governed Hyperautomation for CRM and ERP: A Reference Patter... upfront implementation costs (governance tooling, validation, compliance overhea...
In a portfolio-management case study, an agent infers latent market regimes from market and macroeconomic information, generates belief-conditioned forecasts, and constructs portfolios using a Black–Litterman framework.
Empirical/methodological case study described in the paper implementing POMDP-based agent with Black–Litterman portfolio construction.
high neutral Model Validation of Agentic AI Systems: A POMDP-Based Framew... implementation of inference and portfolio construction
Digital transformation, AI adoption, and foreign direct investment (FDI) do not display statistically significant direct effects on export performance in the baseline specification.
Null statistical significance reported for these predictors in the study's baseline pooled OLS / fixed-effects regressions (abstract statement); no specific coefficients reported in abstract.
Each firm in CoffeeBench seeks to maximize cumulative net income through communication and transactions while managing cash, inventory, and pricing.
Specification of agent objectives and state variables in the benchmark design (cumulative net income objective; resources: cash, inventory; decision variables: pricing and transactions).
More than 5,000 ETH was deployed by agents during the experiment.
Accounting of ETH held/deployed by agent-controlled vaults during deployment.
Agents executed about $20M in trading volume over the deployment.
Aggregate trading-volume accounting from the bounded onchain market during deployment.
The average effect of AI adoption on market value (Tobin's Q) was not statistically significant across all firms.
TWFE and PSM estimates on KOSDAQ-listed firms (2018–2025) reporting firm-level Tobin's Q before and after identified AI-adoption timing.
high null result The Dynamic Causal Effects of Corporate AI Adoption on Profi... Tobin's Q (market value)
The emerging AI agent economy is projected to handle trillions of dollars in transactions by 2030.
Projection/assertion in report (no supporting empirical method or citation provided in the excerpt).
high positive Underwriting the Agent Economy: The Blueprint for an AI Insu... transaction volume / market size of AI agent economy
AI adoption moderated the relationship, strengthening the direct impact of green investment on stock returns.
Moderation analysis reported in the paper using the firm-level sample of heavily polluting Chinese firms (2012–2023), testing interaction between green investment and AI adoption on stock returns.
high positive Green investment and stock returns of heavily polluting firm... stock return (interaction effect with AI adoption)
Green technological innovation (G_patent) mediated the relationship between green investment and stock returns.
Mediation analysis using the same firm-level dataset (heavily polluting Chinese firms, 2012–2023) with G_patent included as the mediator variable.
high positive Green investment and stock returns of heavily polluting firm... stock return (mediated via green technological innovation / patents)
Green investment had a direct effect on the firm’s stock return.
Empirical analysis performed on firm-level data from heavily polluting firms in China (2012–2023); reported regression results showing a direct relationship between green investment and stock returns.
AI-powered CRM and predictive analytics systems improve marketing effectiveness and customer engagement.
Synthesis of findings from the 22 studies included in the systematic review (PRISMA-guided search across Scopus, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, 2017–2026) using thematic analysis.
high positive Artificial Intelligence-Aided Strategic Information System T... marketing effectiveness and customer engagement
In large-scale online A/B tests on Tao Factory, AIGP achieved +13.21% in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) over 14 days compared to the production baseline.
Reported result from 'large-scale online A/B tests on Tao Factory' comparing AIGP to production baseline over a 14-day period; exact experiment sample size not provided in the excerpt.
high positive AIGP: An LLM-Based Framework for Long-Term Value Alignment i... Gross Merchandise Value (GMV)
Digitalization enables service-sector expansion through fintech and e-commerce.
Empirical sectoral data and comparative case studies highlighting fintech and e-commerce impacts in services; policy analysis situates enabling conditions. No numeric sample size or quantified effect in summary.
high positive How to Utilize New Technologies to Improve Productivity service-sector expansion (market growth / firm revenue / activity)
Organizations that deliberately architect human-AI relationships are 2.5 times more likely to report superior financial performance.
Reported association from Deloitte's 2026 Global Human Capital Trends survey analysis (paper states '2.5 times more likely').
high positive Designing Human-Machine Collaboration: Strategic Imperatives... likelihood of reporting superior financial performance
Organizations that deliberately architect human-AI relationships are twice as likely to exceed AI investment returns.
Association reported in the paper based on analysis of Deloitte's 2026 Global Human Capital Trends survey (over 3,000 business leaders); specific comparative statistic 'twice as likely' reported.
high positive Designing Human-Machine Collaboration: Strategic Imperatives... likelihood of exceeding AI investment returns