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Evidence (13870 claims)

Adoption
8467 claims
Productivity
7558 claims
Governance
6805 claims
Human-AI Collaboration
6363 claims
Org Design
4132 claims
Innovation
4065 claims
Labor Markets
3526 claims
Skills & Training
2945 claims
Inequality
2066 claims

Evidence Matrix

Claim counts by outcome category and direction of finding.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 749 196 98 892 1984
Governance & Regulation 817 394 188 121 1544
Organizational Efficiency 771 189 124 83 1177
Technology Adoption Rate 627 233 123 96 1088
Research Productivity 411 123 56 332 933
Output Quality 467 178 59 47 751
Decision Quality 320 174 75 42 618
Firm Productivity 435 55 88 20 604
AI Safety & Ethics 214 276 65 33 593
Market Structure 178 167 122 24 496
Task Allocation 207 64 71 32 379
Skill Acquisition 165 59 60 17 301
Innovation Output 203 27 43 18 292
Employment Level 105 52 107 13 279
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 131 69 43 26 276
Consumer Welfare 116 63 42 11 232
Firm Revenue 150 48 26 3 227
Inequality Measures 44 122 49 6 221
Task Completion Time 169 29 8 12 219
Worker Satisfaction 89 63 20 12 184
Error Rate 69 92 10 2 173
Regulatory Compliance 76 68 14 5 163
Training Effectiveness 93 21 13 19 148
Wages & Compensation 77 36 25 6 144
Automation Exposure 51 54 22 12 142
Team Performance 86 17 27 9 140
Developer Productivity 94 17 14 6 132
Job Displacement 12 80 20 1 113
Hiring & Recruitment 51 7 8 3 69
Creative Output 31 17 7 3 59
Skill Obsolescence 5 46 6 1 58
Social Protection 27 16 8 2 53
Labor Share of Income 17 17 17 51
Worker Turnover 11 12 3 26
Industry 1 1
We instantiate SoP in AgentCity on an EVM-compatible layer-2 blockchain (L2) with a three-tier contract hierarchy (foundational, meta, and operational).
Reported implementation/instantiation described in the paper (system implementation claim). The paper states the platform (AgentCity) and technical details (EVM-compatible L2, three-tier contracts).
high null result AgentCity: Constitutional Governance for Autonomous Agent Ec... existence/implementation of SoP via AgentCity on L2 with three-tier hierarchy
In this architecture, smart contracts are the law itself -- the actual legislative output that agents produce and that governs their behavior.
Architectural/design claim in the paper describing conceptual role of smart contracts within SoP; presented as an intended property of the system.
high null result AgentCity: Constitutional Governance for Autonomous Agent Ec... role of smart contracts as legislative instrument for agent behavior
Agents discover, transact with, and delegate to agents owned by other parties without centralized oversight.
Asserted behavior pattern of autonomous agents in the paper's motivation; presented as descriptive claim rather than supported by a reported experiment or dataset in the excerpt.
high null result AgentCity: Constitutional Governance for Autonomous Agent Ec... ability of agents to discover, transact, and delegate across ownership boundarie...
Autonomous AI agents are beginning to operate across organizational boundaries on the open internet.
Stated as an empirical observation in the paper's introduction/introduction-level motivation; no specific dataset or sample described in the text excerpt.
high null result AgentCity: Constitutional Governance for Autonomous Agent Ec... cross-organization operation of autonomous agents
The divergence in collective outputs is not driven by participants abandoning AI, but by how participants use it.
Behavioral/usage data from the RCT indicating continued AI use across incentive conditions and differing usage patterns (no sample size or quantitative metrics provided in excerpt).
high null result Incentives shape how humans co-create with generative AI continued use of AI (vs. abandonment)
The empirical basis of the study is industry data from the Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2020–2024.
Statement in the paper specifying the data source and years used for calibration of the model.
high null result The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Structural Tran... data source and period used
The study's methodological framework integrates the Bass model of innovation diffusion, an expanded production function with endogenous technological progress and the task-oriented Acemoglu–Restrepo approach, plus a multi-criteria system of industry prioritisation.
Description of the paper's modelling approach in the methods section; model components identified explicitly in the paper.
high null result The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Structural Tran... methodological framework (model components)
We evaluated EcoAssist through benchmarks of 500 websites and a controlled study with 20 developers.
Explicit methodological statement in paper: benchmark sample size = 500 websites; user study sample size = 20 developers.
high null result EcoAssist: Embedding Sustainability into AI-Assisted Fronten... evaluation sample sizes (benchmarks and controlled study)
Functional correctness (test-based correctness) exhibits negligible statistical association with design satisfaction.
Statistical analysis reported in experiments comparing test pass (functional correctness) and design-satisfaction labels produced by verifier; paper states negligible association.
high null result Does Pass Rate Tell the Whole Story? Evaluating Design Const... association between functional correctness and design satisfaction
The review covers publications between 2019 and 2025.
Explicit scope of the literature search reported by the authors (time window of included/considered publications).
high null result GeoAI and Multimodal Geospatial Data Fusion for Inclusive Ur... temporal coverage of the literature review
The survey synthesizes methodological trends across data-, feature-, and decision-level fusion strategies.
Synthesis and categorization reported in the paper based on analysis of the included studies (n=18).
high null result GeoAI and Multimodal Geospatial Data Fusion for Inclusive Ur... prevalence and types of fusion strategies (data-, feature-, decision-level) in m...
The review examines 18 multimodal GeoAI studies identified through a PRISMA-ScR screening process from 57 candidate publications between 2019 and 2025.
Explicit methodological reporting in the paper: PRISMA-ScR screening yielded 18 included studies out of 57 candidates over the 2019–2025 period.
high null result GeoAI and Multimodal Geospatial Data Fusion for Inclusive Ur... number of included multimodal GeoAI studies
This paper presents a systematic survey of recent GeoAI studies that fuse multiple geospatial data modalities for key urban mobility tasks.
Authors report conducting a systematic literature survey using a PRISMA-ScR screening process described in the paper.
high null result GeoAI and Multimodal Geospatial Data Fusion for Inclusive Ur... existence and synthesis of multimodal GeoAI studies in urban mobility literature
Inclusive urban mobility examines whether transport systems equitably support the everyday movements and accessibility needs of historically marginalized and underserved populations.
Definition/interpretive claim presented in the paper as conceptual framing (no empirical measurement reported).
high null result GeoAI and Multimodal Geospatial Data Fusion for Inclusive Ur... equitable support of transport systems for marginalized populations (conceptual ...
Without further assumptions, fitness need not increase over time.
Theoretical result from the model: analysis shows no guaranteed monotonic increase in fitness absent additional assumptions (proof/derivation in paper).
high null result A mathematical theory of evolution for self-designing AIs temporal trend of fitness (whether it increases over time)
Humans retain partial control through a 'fitness function' that allocates limited computational resources across lineages.
Model assumption and formalization in the mathematical model: fitness function used to allocate computational resources across AI lineages (theoretical model specification).
high null result A mathematical theory of evolution for self-designing AIs control over descendant propagation via resource allocation (fitness function)
Biological DNA mutations are random and approximately reversible, but descendant design in AIs will be strongly directed (so standard biological evolutionary models are not appropriate).
Analytic comparison and conceptual argument in the paper; replacement of random-mutation assumptions with a directed tree model of possible AI programs (theoretical discussion and model construction).
high null result A mathematical theory of evolution for self-designing AIs comparative structure of mutation/design processes (random reversible vs directe...
The authors build a dynamic model of public good provision in which agents contribute by solving problems posted on a public platform and accumulated solutions form a depreciating public archive.
Methodological claim in the paper — statement that a dynamic theoretical model is constructed; this is a description of the paper's method.
high null result When AI Improves Answers but Slows Knowledge Creation: Match... structure of contributions and archive dynamics (model object)
We conducted a systematic review and bibliometric analysis of 627 articles.
Statement in abstract reporting a systematic review and bibliometric analysis; sample size explicitly given as 627 articles.
high null result Advancing Decision-Making through AI-Human Collaboration: A ... number of articles reviewed / literature corpus
Injecting generic green language into prompts has no reliable effect.
Controlled prompting experiments reported in the benchmark comparing prompts with 'generic green language' to other prompt types; claim of no reliable effect on measured footprint (no numerical statistics given in abstract).
high null result On the Carbon Footprint of Economic Research in the Age of G... carbon footprint / runtime of the workflow under 'green language' prompts
This study uses data from 743 listed enterprises in China’s strategic emerging industries from 2014 to 2023 and employs mediation and moderation (interaction) tests to examine mechanisms (digital-green synergy, information asymmetry, financing constraints) and the moderating role of AI applications.
Statement of data and methods in the paper: panel of 743 listed firms (2014–2023); empirical strategy includes mediation analyses and moderation (interaction) tests.
high null result The Impact of Patient Capital on the High-Quality Developmen... research design / dataset description
This paper has been accepted at PEARC 2026.
Statement in the paper indicating conference acceptance.
The University's GIS Center Ecological Archive (849 curated datasets) serves as a single-agent baseline deployment of EnviSmart.
Reported deployment dataset count provided in the paper: 849 curated datasets used as a single-agent baseline.
high null result Exploring Robust Multi-Agent Workflows for Environmental Dat... number of curated datasets in baseline deployment
The study employed a mixed-methods approach: a quantitative survey of 150 leading Nigerian firms across finance, tech, and manufacturing, complemented by qualitative analysis of government policy and workforce interviews.
Methodological statement in the paper explicitly describing sample and methods (quantitative survey n=150; qualitative policy and interviews).
high null result Human Capital and the AI-Powered Future of Work: (Training, ... methodology (survey and qualitative analysis)
The governance calibration problem — balancing control with the autonomy that gives agentic AI its value — emerges as the STS joint optimization challenge: governance must simultaneously enable and constrain autonomous operation.
Authors' synthesis and theoretical claim based on STS analysis and identified tensions between autonomy benefits and control needs in the literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION governance_calibration_challenge
Agentic AI transformation barriers constitute an interdependent sociotechnical system rather than isolated obstacles.
Interpretive conclusion drawn from STS mapping and cross-barrier interaction analysis across the reviewed literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION interdependence_of_barriers
Governance serves as the social subsystem's primary mechanism for managing the technical subsystem.
Interpretation from STS analysis in the review: authors identify governance as the key social mechanism constraining/enabling technical subsystem behavior.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION role_of_governance_between_subsystems
STS mapping based on root-cause analysis revealed that 12 barriers originate in the technical subsystem and 17 in the social subsystem.
Authors' STS mapping of the 29 barriers to subsystem origins (technical vs. social) as derived from their root-cause analysis of the coded literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION subsystem_origin_of_barriers
Twenty-nine barriers were identified and classified into five dimensions: technological (7), organizational (7), human (6), governance and regulatory (4), and economic (5).
Results of inductive coding of the 30-source literature corpus yielding 29 distinct barriers and reported counts per dimension.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION number_and_classification_of_barriers
Sociotechnical Systems (STS) theory was applied as an interpretive lens to map dimensions onto social and technical subsystems and analyze cross-subsystem interactions.
Self-reported analytic approach: application of STS theory to the coded barriers to map origins and interactions across subsystems.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION analytic_framework_application
Barriers were identified inductively through open and axial coding.
Self-reported qualitative method: inductive thematic analysis using open and axial coding on the literature corpus.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION analytic_method
A critical narrative literature review of 30 sources (2019–2026) was conducted.
Self-reported study method: critical narrative literature review; sample_size = 30 sources published between 2019 and 2026.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION study_design
Acemoglu (2025) argues that near-term aggregate productivity gains from AI may be quite modest.
Citation to Acemoglu (2025) viewpoint noted in the introduction.
high null result Steering Technological Progress aggregate productivity gains from AI
The experiment used stratified randomization across 32 strata with 255 treatment firms and 260 control firms; baseline characteristics are well balanced across groups.
Experimental design description: stratification by geography, traction score, and baseline AI use; reporting of allocation counts and balance tests in Table 2.
high null result Mapping AI into Production: A Field Experiment on Firm Perfo... randomization balance (baseline covariates)
Attrition from the accelerator was low (1.6%, eight ventures) and balanced across treatment and control.
Program enrollment and retention records for the 515 firms in the randomized accelerator; 8 firms attrited.
high null result Mapping AI into Production: A Field Experiment on Firm Perfo... attrition / program dropout rate
The gains from treatment are broad-based: there are no significant differential effects by baseline firm performance or founder technical background.
Heterogeneity/subgroup analyses in the randomized sample (515 firms) comparing treatment effects across strata defined by baseline traction and founder technical background.
high null result Mapping AI into Production: A Field Experiment on Firm Perfo... heterogeneity of treatment effects by baseline performance and founder technical...
Treated firms' demand for labor remains unchanged.
RCT with 515 firms; firms reported labor demand/changes, comparison between treatment and control groups showed no significant change.
high null result Mapping AI into Production: A Field Experiment on Firm Perfo... demand for labor / employment
The authors measure the set of tasks that are automated in a given year via queries to ChatGPT's Deep Research (their 'heroic measurement').
Methodological statement in the introduction describing the measurement approach for identifying automated tasks.
high null result Past Automation and Future A.I.: How Weak Links Tame the Gro... method for identifying automated tasks in historical accounting
When the automation process is continuous, firms switch from labor to capital at exactly the point where costs are equal; the switching process itself generates no productivity growth.
Theoretical result (Proposition in the model) derived in the task-based framework under competitive equilibrium and the no-de-automation assumption.
high null result Past Automation and Future A.I.: How Weak Links Tame the Gro... productivity growth attributable to the immediate act of switching inputs when c...
Despite substantial expected AI progress, most respondents do not forecast major departures from recent macroeconomic baselines, citing factors like historical base rates, adoption lags, demographic headwinds, policy responses, and infrastructure bottlenecks.
Qualitative summary of respondents' reasoning accompanying their unconditional forecasts (Key Findings and 1.2 description of survey elicitation).
high null result Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI degree of departure from recent macroeconomic baselines in unconditional forecas...
AIGC and HGC exhibit distinct creation behaviors and consumption behaviors.
Descriptive comparisons in the longitudinal dataset showing differences in production rates, content volumes, and consumption patterns between AIGC and HGC.
high null result Scale over Preference: The Impact of AI-Generated Content on... creation behavior (upload frequency/volume) and consumption behavior (views/enga...
The paper uses a comprehensive longitudinal dataset comprising tens of millions of users from a leading Chinese video-sharing platform.
Statement in paper summarizing data source: a longitudinal dataset covering 'tens of millions of users' from a major Chinese video-sharing platform; used for descriptive and comparative analyses of creation and consumption behavior.
high null result Scale over Preference: The Impact of AI-Generated Content on... dataset coverage (number of users observed)
Increasing reasoning effort (low, medium, high) provides no consistent benefit to estimation performance.
Controlled variation of each model's reasoning effort (low/medium/high) while asking them to produce 95% credible intervals for population statistics.
high null result Bayesian Elicitation with LLMs: Model Size Helps, Extra "Rea... impact of prompting/reasoning effort on estimate accuracy and calibration
These chats were committed to public repositories as part of routine development, capturing in-the-wild behavior.
Data collection method: analysis of chat transcripts that were committed to public repositories (authors state collected from repos and describe them as routine commits).
high null result Programming by Chat: A Large-Scale Behavioral Analysis of 11... degree to which collected chats represent in-the-wild developer behavior (public...
We analyze 74,998 developer messages from 11,579 chat sessions across 1,300 repositories and 899 developers using Cursor and GitHub Copilot.
Reported dataset counts in the paper (message, session, repository, developer counts) drawn from public commit histories of chats.
high null result Programming by Chat: A Large-Scale Behavioral Analysis of 11... number of developer messages / chat sessions / repositories / developers analyze...
As advanced artificial systems become more autonomous participants in these processes, the resulting interaction space begins to resemble a new kind of ecosystem in which diverse agents exchange information, cooperate, compete, and jointly explore complex adaptive landscapes.
Conceptual argument presented in the paper drawing on theories of adaptive systems and collective intelligence; no empirical test or dataset reported.
high null result A Case for Coevolution structure of interaction space (ecosystem-like properties among agents)
Human and artificial agents are increasingly interacting within a shared informational environment that shapes economic activity, scientific discovery, governance, and collective decision making.
Statement in paper's introduction; based on observational/phenomenological claim and citation-less framing (conceptual assertion rather than empirical analysis). No sample or empirical method reported.
high null result A Case for Coevolution degree of interaction within a shared informational environment
Conventional microeconomic models often treat interactions between algorithmic platforms and workers as static principal-agent problems.
Literature statement in paper (conceptual framing / literature review); no empirical sample reported.
high null result THE RED QUEEN in the DASHBOARD: CO-EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS of ... characterization of theoretical models (static principal-agent framing)
We evaluate APEX across three baselines and six scenarios using sample sizes 2–4x larger than initial experiments (N=20–40 per scenario).
Experimental design statement in the paper (three baselines, six scenarios, reported N range of 20–40 per scenario).
high null result APEX: Agent Payment Execution with Policy for Autonomous Age... experimental evaluation breadth (number of baselines/scenarios) and sample sizes...
The HTTP 402 protocol treats payment as a first-class protocol event, but most implementations rely on cryptocurrency rails.
Descriptive claim in the paper about the state of HTTP 402 and common implementations (literature/implementation survey-style claim in paper).
high null result APEX: Agent Payment Execution with Policy for Autonomous Age... implementation choice for HTTP 402 (use of cryptocurrency rails)