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Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (7560 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
Clear
Human Ai Collab Remove filter
The literature on AI-powered emotional intelligence systems is fragmented and insufficiently synthesised.
Authors' assessment based on a systematic literature review conducted following the PRISMA framework (details of databases, search terms, and included studies reported in the paper); exact number of studies not stated in the abstract.
high null result Emotional AI in the Workplace: Systematic Review of Effects ... state of the literature (comprehensiveness / synthesis)
The framework can be operationalized in future empirical research (the article outlines directions for operationalizing the framework).
Methodological/research agenda claim stated in the article's conclusion; describes future empirical operationalization rather than presenting results.
high null result Predation, acceleration, and loss of control: a multilevel t... research design and empirical operationalization of the theoretical framework
Density-normalized outcomes (e.g., smells per LOC) can mislead when treatment affects system size; raw counts and explicit decomposition are required for causal mining studies of AI tool adoption.
Interpretation and methodological recommendation derived from the observed pattern (unchanged smell counts + increased LOC leading to lower density) in the paper's empirical results.
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... validity of density-normalized metrics (e.g., smells/LOC) under treatment that c...
Per-type estimates and robustness checks (wild cluster bootstrap, Lee bounds, stale-observation sensitivity) corroborate the main pattern; pre-trends are flat (Wald p = 0.90), consistent with the parallel trends assumption.
Placebo and robustness analyses reported in the paper (per-type breakdowns and multiple sensitivity checks) applied to the 151-repository panel; pre-trend test result reported as Wald p = 0.90.
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... pre-treatment trends and robustness of estimated effects
Total architectural smell counts are essentially unchanged after adoption (+1.1%, p = 0.82).
Estimated treatment effect from staggered DiD / Borusyak imputation on total smell counts using the 151-repository panel (74 treated, 77 controls).
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... total architectural smell counts
The causal effect of adoption on architectural smell density (ASD) was estimated using a staggered difference-in-differences design and the Borusyak imputation estimator.
Methodological claim describing the causal identification and estimation strategy applied to the 151-repository panel.
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... architectural smell density (ASD)
We mined 151 open-source Java repositories, 74 with detectable agentic AI adoption (identified via configuration files and Co-Authored-By commit trailers) and 77 propensity-matched controls, across a 13-month per-repository window yielding 1,811 monthly Arcan snapshots.
Descriptive dataset and methods statement in paper: 151 repositories (74 treated, 77 matched controls), 13-month windows, producing 1,811 monthly Arcan snapshots.
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... dataset composition (number of repositories, treated vs control, snapshots)
Causal evidence on the effect of AI coding tool adoption on software architecture is scarce; prior causal work has focused on code-level outcomes (complexity, static analysis warnings) and whether such degradation propagates to architecture-level outcomes remains unknown.
Literature/background statement in abstract asserting gaps in prior work; not an empirical result from this paper's dataset.
high null result Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... state of the literature regarding causal evidence on architecture-level effects
We analyze 15,549 agentic PRs from 148 projects in the AIDev dataset.
Descriptive statement of dataset and sample used in the study (paper reports analysis of 15,549 agentic PRs from 148 projects).
high null result Toward Instructions-as-Code: Understanding the Impact of Ins... number of agentic pull requests and projects analyzed
From 2024 to 2026, more than 130 articles were submitted to this Special Issue (SI), and only 18 papers were accepted after rigorous peer review.
Editorial report in the paper describing CFP submissions and acceptance counts.
high null result Guest editorial: Digital age wisdom in Chinese management: a... number of submissions and acceptances for the SI
We conduct a qualitative study on a representative sample of 306 non-merged pull requests created or co-authored by the agents mentioned earlier, followed by a quantitative analysis of the reasons for rejection.
Authors' reported methods: qualitative study of a sample of 306 non-merged PRs and subsequent quantitative analysis.
high null result Understanding the Rejection of Fixes Generated by Agentic Pu... qualitative and quantitative characterization of non-merged PRs
Professional radiologists analyzed chest X-rays with access to state-of-the-art machine learning predictions in this replication setting.
Description of the experimental/contextual setting in the paper: professional radiologists using ML predictions on chest X-rays drawn from Collab-CXR.
high null result Revisiting the ABCs of Working with AI: A Replication with R... task context — radiology readings with ML assistance
The replication uses radiologist assessments from repeated-case designs, which include 68 radiologists and 11,420 paired radiologist–patient–pathology observations.
Direct reporting of study sample and design in the paper (repeated-case design; counts of radiologists and paired observations).
high null result Revisiting the ABCs of Working with AI: A Replication with R... sample composition (number of radiologists and paired observations)
This note leverages the public Collab-CXR data repository described by Moehring et al. (2025) and first analyzed for human-AI collaboration by Agarwal et al. (2023).
Explicit statement in the paper identifying the data source and prior analyses (references provided).
high null result Revisiting the ABCs of Working with AI: A Replication with R... dataset used for replication (Collab-CXR)
In a production switchback experiment, the offline-trained policy reduces courier-side time costs without degrading customer-facing delivery quality.
Empirical claim supported by production switchback experiment described in the paper; asserts no degradation in customer-facing delivery quality concurrent with courier-side time improvements (no numerical metrics or sample sizes provided in excerpt).
high null result Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning from Delayed Marketplace ... customer-facing delivery quality
In our setting, the locus of AI bias is not estimation but interpretation.
Overall experiment results: agent coefficient/estimate distributions remained aligned with human consensus and largely unchanged under biased prompts, while final-verdict outcomes were flip-prone under confirmatory prompts (e.g., Claude Code 10%→90%).
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... whether bias manifests in estimation (coefficients) versus interpretation (verdi...
Unlike for biased human analysts in the same data, the anti-immigration prior prompt does not shift agents' aggregate estimates or final verdicts.
Comparison of the effect of an anti-immigration prior on human analysts (reported bias) versus agents (20 runs), showing that agent aggregate estimates and final verdict rates remained stable despite changes in methodological decisions.
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... aggregate effect estimates and final verdict support rates under the anti-immigr...
No agent model exactly matches any human model.
Specification-by-specification comparison showing that none of the agent-generated models (from 20 executions) are identical to any human analyst's model in the many-analysts baseline.
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... exact match count between agent models and human analyst models
Both agents' effect estimates remain broadly aligned with the human consensus.
Comparison of effect estimate distributions from Claude Code and Codex (20 runs each) to the human many-analysts consensus; reported alignment/broad agreement between agent estimates and human consensus.
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... distribution of estimated effects (coefficients) relative to human consensus
At the design layer, Codex matches human methodological diversity.
Comparison of methodological specifications produced by Codex (20 independent executions) to the many-analysts human baseline; reported similarity in diversity metrics between Codex outputs and human analysts.
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... methodological diversity (variety of model/specification choices)
We run 20 independent executions of Claude Code and Codex on a prominent immigration and social-policy problem and compare them against a many-analysts human baseline.
Experimental method described in the paper: 20 independent runs/executions of each agent model (Claude Code and Codex), compared to an existing many-analysts human baseline.
high null result AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... execution/sample of agent analyses compared to human many-analysts baseline
After screening, 35 studies were included in the thematic synthesis and supplemented by official regulatory and industry documents.
Review screening result reported in the paper: number of included studies = 35; supplementation by regulatory and industry documents stated.
high null result Artificial Intelligence-Driven Optimization in Pharmacy Inve... number of included studies and supplementary documents
A structured search protocol was designed for Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, IEEE Xplore, and Google Scholar covering January 2016 to May 2026, English-language records only.
Methods statement in the review describing the databases, date range, and language restriction used for the systematic search.
high null result Artificial Intelligence-Driven Optimization in Pharmacy Inve... search protocol (databases, date range, language)
The implementation literature on AI for pharmacy inventory and pharmaceutical supply chains remains dispersed across pharmacy operations, operations research, health informatics, and supply chain analytics.
The review's thematic synthesis of the searched literature (review methods described below) identified studies across these disciplinary areas.
high null result Artificial Intelligence-Driven Optimization in Pharmacy Inve... disciplinary distribution of implementation literature
Specification, reference implementation, conformance suite, and worked examples are available at: https://github.com/BrightbeamAI/chap
Claim of artifact availability hosted on GitHub (URL provided) as part of the paper's resources.
high null result Collaborative Human-Agent Protocol (CHAP) availability of specification and accompanying artifacts
Two protocol standards address adjacent concerns: MCP standardises agent access to tools and data, and A2A standardises agent-to-agent interoperability.
Factual claim referencing existing standards (MCP and A2A) and their scopes; no citations or supporting documentation included in the provided excerpt.
high null result Collaborative Human-Agent Protocol (CHAP) scope of existing protocol standards
Production deployments are no longer one human supervising one model; they are multi-human, multi-agent collaborations that cross teams, time zones, and trust boundaries.
Stated as a general characterization of modern production deployments; no quantitative data or case counts provided in the excerpt.
high null result Collaborative Human-Agent Protocol (CHAP) structure of production deployments (multi-human, multi-agent)
Retrieval augmentation and scientist persona prompting yield only marginal gains.
Ablation/augmentation experiments comparing baseline LLM outputs to versions augmented with retrieval or scientist-persona prompting, showing only small improvements in judged quality.
high null result Contemporary AI lacks the imagination to diverge or negate i... change in judged quality due to retrieval augmentation or persona prompting
6,749 scientists returned 25,139 sets of ratings on novelty, empirical feasibility, probability of being true, and favorability of adoption.
Reported study participation and rating counts: 6,749 respondents providing 25,139 rating sets on specified dimensions.
high null result Contemporary AI lacks the imagination to diverge or negate i... number of respondents and rating sets
We invited authors of 121,640 recent preprints across biology, medicine, chemistry, and the social sciences to judge follow-up ideas that large language models (LLMs) generated from the context and puzzles of their own papers.
Study recruitment described in paper: invitations sent to authors of 121,640 recent preprints across multiple fields (biology, medicine, chemistry, social sciences).
high null result Contemporary AI lacks the imagination to diverge or negate i... number of invited authors (study recruitment)
The findings provide empirical insights for managing employee wellbeing and refining human resource strategies during organizational digital transformation.
Authors' stated implications in the discussion, based on the reported empirical associations and moderation results from the survey of 411 employees.
high null result The impact of artificial intelligence application on employe... managerial implications for employee wellbeing and HR strategies
The study draws on the Conservation of Resources Theory and the Cognitive Appraisal Theory of Stress to explain how AI application influences employees' job insecurity via resource gain and resource threat mechanisms.
Theoretical framing stated in the introduction and discussion explaining the mechanisms (resource gain vs. resource threat) underlying the observed U-shaped association.
high null result The impact of artificial intelligence application on employe... theoretical explanation of mechanisms behind job insecurity
Data were collected via mixed online and offline questionnaires: 453 questionnaires were distributed (242 online, 211 offline); 449 were returned (242 online, 207 offline); following validity screening, 411 valid questionnaires were retained (219 online, 192 offline), yielding an effective response rate of 90.73%.
Reported survey administration and response counts provided in the methods section of the paper.
high null result The impact of artificial intelligence application on employe... survey response / valid sample size / response rate
Devil's Advocate (DA) is an AI assistant that critiques the human's initial ideas, whereas Dialectical Inquiry (DI) provides alternatives and synthesizes a resolution.
Conceptual/definitional claim in the paper describing the operationalization of DA and DI for the experiments.
high null result Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... operational definition of AI-supported conflict techniques
This research empirically compares DA and DI in AI contexts.
Paper reports experimental comparison between AI behaviors implementing Devil's Advocate (DA) and Dialectical Inquiry (DI) across the studies.
high null result Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... comparative effects of DA vs DI on SDM outcomes
Both studies examine benefit (information elaboration) and cost (cognitive load) pathways when AI supports SDM.
Paper explicitly frames both studies to measure information elaboration as a benefit pathway and cognitive load as a cost pathway; stated measurement plan in methods.
high null result Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... information elaboration and cognitive load
Study 2 tests mind-shaping interventions through user strategy training.
Study design described in the paper: a second experiment (Study 2) manipulating user strategy training (mind-shaping) to evaluate effects on SDM processes and outcomes.
high null result Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... effects of user strategy training on information elaboration and cognitive load
Study 1 tests tool-shaping interventions by comparing three AI bot prototype conditions (Information-only, DA, DI) against a control treatment.
Study design described in the paper: randomized/controlled experiment (Study 1) with four conditions (three AI prototype conditions plus control).
high null result Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... effects of AI prototype conditions on information elaboration and cognitive load
The 'do no harm' property is confirmed empirically.
Abstract states empirical confirmation in simulations and applications; specifics (e.g., datasets, sample sizes) not included in abstract.
high null result AI-Assisted Variance Reduction in Randomized Experiments empirical verification that adjusted estimator does not worsen performance when ...
Including AI predictions as covariates has a 'do no harm' property: the adjusted estimator reverts to the unadjusted difference in means when predictions are uninformative.
Stated theoretical property in the paper and described as empirically confirmed in simulations and applications (per abstract).
high null result AI-Assisted Variance Reduction in Randomized Experiments bias/consistency and non-worsening of estimator when predictions uninformative
Raw blind-panel decision quality is similar for A and B (7.01 vs. 6.96).
Blind-panel scoring of generated reports from agents A and B; panel size and panel methodology not specified in abstract.
high null result AI Scientists Are Only as Good as Their Evidence: A Stratifi... raw blind-panel decision-quality score
The value of an in-band cooperative deny signal (Recuse Signal) is an empirical question: it was previously unmeasured and the paper measures whether compliant LLM agents honor such a signal.
Motivation and framing in the paper; they position their controlled experiment as the measurement addressing this previously unmeasured question.
high null result Will the Agent Recuse Itself? Measuring LLM-Agent Compliance... degree to which LLM agents honor an in-band cooperative deny signal
We searched seven databases (plus backward and forward citation searching) and synthesised 13 empirical studies published between 2018 and 2025.
Methods reported in abstract: PRISMA-ScR scoping review with a preregistered protocol; explicit count of included studies and publication date range.
high null result Artificial intelligence applications supporting women’s care... number of empirical studies identified and synthesized
Self-evaluated creative performance remained unchanged when using GenAI.
Same experiment with 82 participants; authors report no significant difference in self-evaluated creative performance between GenAI users and controls.
high null result When Ai Sparks Less: Generative Ai And The Decline Of Self-P... self-evaluated creative performance
Each of the four published papers used in the experiments contained an error that I helped identify or correct.
Author statement that the 4 papers each contained an error; author involvement in identification/correction is asserted.
high null result Can AI Refute Economic Theory? Evidence from Beyond the Know... presence of errors in the 4 target papers
I conducted experiments in which I asked several AI models (Gemini, Refine, Claude, and ChatGPT) to check the correctness of four published papers in economic theory.
Author reports running direct experiments: prompted listed models to check 4 published economic-theory papers.
high null result Can AI Refute Economic Theory? Evidence from Beyond the Know... existence of experiments using specified models on 4 papers
From Codeforces histories we build an AI-prompt signature characterised by more first-attempt acceptances and fewer attempts and retries, consistent with AI-assisted practice.
Empirical construction from CF submission histories (pattern: increased first-try accepts, fewer retries). Method: analysis of historical submission logs; sample size not stated in abstract.
high null result When the Scaffold Stays On: AI, Practice Style, and Screenin... submission patterns (first-attempt acceptances, attempts, retries)
The International Collegiate Programming Contest (ICPC) and the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) prohibit AI under proctoring and admit entrants through qualification rounds, whereas online Codeforces (CF) contests are unproctored and open to all.
Descriptive factual claim about contest rules and formats (institutional description in paper); based on contest rules and organizational formats referenced by authors.
high null result When the Scaffold Stays On: AI, Practice Style, and Screenin... institutional design (proctoring and entry requirements)
We evaluate the system on operator feedback and a question set collected from production usage, graded by human and automated panels.
Paper's stated evaluation methodology: operator feedback + production question set, graded by humans and automated panels.
high null result Archi: Agentic Operations at the CMS Experiment evaluation methodology (feedback and graded question set)
Over 100 participants collaborated with one of four frontier models (Claude-Opus-4.6, GPT-5.4, Gemini-3.1-Pro, and MiniMax-M2.7) on a long-horizon coding task lasting around five hours.
Study description: experimental participants (reported as "Over 100 participants") each paired with one of four named models on a ~5-hour coding task designed to mimic real-world workflows.
high null result Coding with "Enemy": Can Human Developers Detect AI Agent Sa... study sample and experimental setup (models used, task duration)