The Commonplace
Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (16496 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
Filter claims →
Productivity
8807 claims
Filter claims →
Governance
7870 claims
Filter claims →
Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
Filter claims →
Org Design
4892 claims
Filter claims →
Innovation
4781 claims
Filter claims →
Labor Markets
4004 claims
Filter claims →
Skills & Training
3308 claims
Filter claims →
Inequality
2332 claims
Filter claims →

Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
AI embeds algorithmic actors into the microfoundations of strategy, altering the role and behavior of individual-level actors that underlie firm-level phenomena.
Conceptual analysis of Microfoundations literature; theoretical proposition that algorithms act as actors at micro levels; no empirical sample provided.
high mixed Infusing Artificial Intelligence into Strategy Theory: Synth... composition and behavior of micro-level actors in firms
AI creates hybrid cognitive architectures by integrating algorithmic cognition with human cognition, thereby changing how strategic decisions are made.
Theoretical argument drawing on literature in Behavioral Strategy and cognitive theory; conceptual synthesis without reported empirical tests or sample.
high mixed Infusing Artificial Intelligence into Strategy Theory: Synth... architecture of decision-making/cognition in strategic contexts
AI introduces a theoretical discontinuity that challenges core assumptions of strategic management (specifically those rooted in industry-structure and resource-based perspectives).
Conceptual/theoretical analysis across literatures in strategic management; the paper synthesizes prior debates and argues AI undermines prior assumptions. No empirical sample or quantitative data reported.
high mixed Infusing Artificial Intelligence into Strategy Theory: Synth... robustness of foundational theoretical assumptions in strategic management
AIO’s decarbonization effects vary systematically across climate risk, industry competition, and AI exposure (heterogeneity analyses).
Authors state they performed heterogeneity/subgroup analyses showing systematic variation in the AIO–decarbonization relationship by climate risk, the degree of industry competition, and firms' AI exposure.
high mixed Artificial intelligence orientation and decarbonization spil... carbon emission intensity (heterogeneous effects)
Some merged PRs introduce new lint or security findings while simultaneously removing existing issues (i.e., merges sometimes involve both addition and removal of issues).
Before-and-after static analysis (Pylint and Bandit) of merged PRs showing coexistence of introduced and removed findings in observed diffs.
high mixed Quality and Security Signals in AI-Generated Python Refactor... co-occurrence of introduced and removed lint/security findings in merged PRs
We examine algorithmic co-supervision (ACoS) as a hybrid control mode in which supervisors and AC systems jointly direct, evaluate, and discipline workers.
The paper's stated empirical and conceptual focus; supported by the authors' analysis of 14 real-world ACoS settings (as reported in abstract).
high mixed A Taxonomy Of Algorithmic Co-Supervision task_allocation
Managerial authority is shifting from human supervisors alone toward varying hybrid arrangements in which humans and algorithms jointly control workers.
Claim drawn from prior literature and the authors' conceptual framing; the paper also analyzes real-world settings (14) to illustrate hybrid arrangements.
high mixed A Taxonomy Of Algorithmic Co-Supervision governance_and_regulation
"General knowledge application" is the second most popular category among highlighted benchmarks, yet it is vaguely defined.
Categorization results from applying the paper's taxonomy to the Benchmarking-Cultures-25 dataset (counts/rankings reported by category). The paper comments on the vagueness of the label.
high mixed Unsteady Metrics and Benchmarking Cultures of AI Model Build... frequency/popularity of taxonomy categories (rank of 'General knowledge applicat...
Benchmarks are attributed different competencies by different builders, depending on their narrative.
Qualitative and comparative analysis mapping benchmark labels and builders' claims in the Benchmarking-Cultures-25 dataset (139 model releases); the paper documents instances where the same benchmark is presented as evidence of different capabilities by different builders.
high mixed Unsteady Metrics and Benchmarking Cultures of AI Model Build... consistency of competency attributions across builders
The primary way to establish and compare competencies in foundation and generative AI models has shifted from peer-reviewed literature to press releases and company blog posts, where model builders highlight results on selected benchmarks.
Descriptive/argumentative claim in the paper's introduction framing the research question; based on the authors' survey of contemporary practices and motivation for the dataset and analysis.
high mixed Unsteady Metrics and Benchmarking Cultures of AI Model Build... medium of public evaluation (peer-reviewed literature vs press releases/company ...
Cross-model validation reveals architecture-level trade-offs independent of specific LLMs: Dual Process excels at numeric/temporal queries (65-90% accuracy) while RAG excels at historical retrieval (60-85% accuracy).
Empirical cross-model tests across six LLMs; reported accuracy ranges for different query types and architectures.
high mixed Episodic-Semantic Memory Architecture for Long-Horizon Scien... accuracy on numeric/temporal queries; accuracy on historical retrieval queries
AI functions both as a general-purpose technology and as an innovation in the method of innovation.
Conceptual/theoretical framing presented in the paper (the authors characterize AI as both a GPT and an innovation in methods of innovation).
high mixed AI as an Innovation in the Method of Innovation: Implication... classification of AI as a type of technological innovation (GPT and method-of-in...
Clarifying-question prompts produced mean rubric scores of 6.67 out of 8, higher than raw prompts but lower than checklist-improved prompts.
Reported mean rubric scores in the abstract showing clarifying-question prompts scored 6.67, compared to 5.67 for raw and 7.50 for checklist.
Classical categories (labour, capital, firm, market, productivity, trust) remain necessary but are incomplete for describing economic action when technologies prepare decisions, coordinate workflows, support tasks, verify transactions, and reshape responsibility.
Conceptual analysis supported by diagnostic indicators showing distributed decision/action capacity across humans, AI agents, robots, protocols, compute and energy systems; argumentative/theoretical evidence rather than causal inference.
high mixed The Agentic Economy: Humans, AI Agents, Robots, and the Meas... conceptual adequacy of economic categories
Labour projections are more consistent with task reallocation than labour disappearance.
Analysis of labour-market reallocation data and labour projections (public sources) interpreted under a task-reallocation framework rather than full employment loss, using relative growth and reallocation indicators.
high mixed The Agentic Economy: Humans, AI Agents, Robots, and the Meas... labor-market reallocation / projected employment changes
Readiness and performance-related variables are associated with higher predicted success, whereas higher barrier levels are associated with lower predicted success.
Model coefficients/feature effect analyses and nonlinear diagnostics from the fitted models.
high mixed Determinants of Successful IoT and AI Initiatives in the SMA... predicted reported AI/IoT success related to readiness, performance, and barrier...
The central challenge is whether commercial influence in generative systems can be made trustworthy, i.e., attributable, measurable, contestable, and aligned with user welfare.
Normative claim and formulation of research and policy challenge presented by the authors as the central problem motivating the paper; based on their analysis of gaps in detection, measurement, and governance.
high mixed Generative AI Advertising as a Problem of Trustworthy Commer... trustworthiness attributes of commercial influence (attributable, measurable, co...
This reframes generative AI advertising as a problem of trustworthy intervention rather than content placement.
Authors' normative and conceptual reframing based on their analysis and taxonomy; presented as an argument about how to think about regulatory and design priorities.
high mixed Generative AI Advertising as a Problem of Trustworthy Commer... conceptual framing of the advertising problem (trustworthy intervention vs. cont...
High-AIC participants realized outsized gains from GenAI access; low-AIC participants saw limited or even negative marginal returns.
Subgroup analysis of the randomized experiment comparing treatment effects by AIC level; authors report large positive treatment effects for high-AIC subgroup and small or negative effects for low-AIC subgroup.
high mixed Generative AI and the Productivity Divide: Human-AI Compleme... treatment effect on task performance by AIC subgroup
The distribution of gains from GenAI access was highly uneven across users.
Experimental results showing heterogeneous effects across participants (variance/heterogeneity analyses reported in the paper).
high mixed Generative AI and the Productivity Divide: Human-AI Compleme... distribution (variance) of performance gains
Joint estimation confirms simultaneous adjustments across financing and innovation margins.
Joint estimation (likely a system or simultaneous-equations approach) showing concurrent changes in financing costs and innovation-related variables following the shock (method stated; no sample size or exact estimates in abstract).
high mixed Dissipation of Debt Financing Privilege on Corporate AI Wash... adjustments in financing margins and innovation margins
The same observable behavioral signal can carry opposite meaning for different agent configurations.
Synthesis of the cross-configuration empirical findings (directional disagreements such as the error-rate example and other features).
high mixed Same Signal, Different Semantics: A Cross-Framework Behavior... interpretation of behavioral signals (sign of correlation with outcomes)
Five other continuous features and three of seven binary patterns from prior SE literature show similar directional disagreement across configurations.
Aggregate empirical finding across the set of features and binary patterns analyzed in the 126-configuration dataset.
high mixed Same Signal, Different Semantics: A Cross-Framework Behavior... directional agreement/disagreement of feature–outcome relations for five continu...
Error rate is the cleanest case: 47 configurations resolve more issues when their error rate is lower, while 48 resolve more when it is higher.
Empirical counts from the paper's analysis of configurations (reported 47 vs 48 configurations showing opposite sign relations between error rate and issue resolution).
high mixed Same Signal, Different Semantics: A Cross-Framework Behavior... issue resolution count/rate as a function of error rate
On most signals, configurations disagree not merely in magnitude but in direction (i.e., the same signal correlates positively with resolution in some configurations and negatively in others).
Across-configuration comparison of behavior–outcome correlations for many signals in the dataset of 126 configurations / 64,380 runs.
high mixed Same Signal, Different Semantics: A Cross-Framework Behavior... direction of correlation between behavioral signals and issue resolution
Swapping the framework while the LLM is held fixed produces large behavioral differences in every action feature.
Comparative analysis across configurations holding LLM fixed; reported observation across action features.
high mixed Same Signal, Different Semantics: A Cross-Framework Behavior... action features (behavioral signals/actions taken by agents)
The system is generically bistable, with a stable partial adoption equilibrium coexisting alongside full genuine adoption.
Analytical results from the evolutionary game-theoretic model demonstrating multiple stable equilibria (bistability). No empirical sample (theoretical proof / model analysis).
high mixed The partial adoption trap: Coordination failure, trust, and ... equilibrium adoption state (partial vs full genuine adoption)
Doctors choose among three strategies: genuine adoption, partial adoption, and rejection, where genuine adoption is required for systemic benefits to materialise above a population threshold.
Model specification in an evolutionary game-theoretic framework; analytical description of strategy set and threshold condition. No empirical sample (theoretical model).
high mixed The partial adoption trap: Coordination failure, trust, and ... adoption equilibrium / attainment of systemic benefits
Outcome-only evaluation can certify economically unsafe agents: a policy can hit a business KPI while violating deployable behavioral discipline.
Illustrated by a hotel-pricing experiment (hidden competitor state) in which a learner achieves plausible revenue per available room while failing to preserve the rate discipline of a rule-based revenue-management competitor; based on experimental results in the paper's two-hotel benchmark.
high mixed When Outcome Looks Right But Discipline Fails: Trace-Based E... revenue per available room and preservation of rate discipline (behavioral disci...
The future of work will be shaped by decisions made at every level of society.
Normative/concluding statement in the chapter; presented as an implication of the prior analysis rather than an empirically tested claim.
high mixed 7. AI and the Future of Work influence of multi-level decisions on future labour-market outcomes
AI affects the labour market through four channels: evolution of existing roles, creation of entirely new ones, redistribution across geographies and demographics, and selective displacement concentrated among older and lower-mobility workers.
Chapter synthesises labour market data, historical analogy, and emerging workplace evidence to propose these four channels; selective displacement claim references demographic concentration (older and lower-mobility workers).
high mixed 7. AI and the Future of Work modes of labour-market impact (role evolution, new roles, geographic/demographic...
Adaptation determines who benefits from technological (AI) change.
One of five lessons; argued using historical analogy and labour market patterns (qualitative claim in chapter).
high mixed 7. AI and the Future of Work distribution of benefits from AI (who benefits)
Rising density from rack- and pod-scale AI systems shapes these outcomes (deployable capacity, capex, performance) — we quantify how density changes these outcomes.
Modeling/simulation results reported in the paper quantifying the impact of rising rack/pod-scale density on deployable capacity, capex, and performance; specific numeric quantification not included in the abstract.
high mixed Designing Datacenter Power Delivery Hierarchies for the AI E... impact of rising rack/pod-scale density on deployable capacity, capex, performan...
Başta ABD, Avrupa Birliği ve Çin olmak üzere büyük ekonomilerin yapay zekâ alanında benimsediği sanayi ve ticaret politikaları karşılaştırmalı olarak incelenmektedir; bu ekonomilerin teknolojik hegemonya arayışının ekonomik olduğu kadar jeopolitik bir boyut kazandığı değerlendirilmektedir.
Karşılaştırmalı politika incelemesi (kavramsal ve betimleyici); çalışmada belirli politika örnekleri tartışılıyor ancak sistematik nicel karşılaştırma ya da örneklem büyüklüğü belirtilmiyor.
high mixed Yapay Zekâ ve Küresel Değer Zincirleri: Ticaret Politikası v... büyük ekonomilerin AI sanayi ve ticaret politikalarının benimsenmesi ve bu polit...
Yapay zekâ teknolojilerindeki hızlı ilerleme, küresel üretim ve ticaret organizasyonunu köklü biçimde dönüştürme potansiyeline sahiptir.
Kavramsal değerlendirme ve literatüre dayalı tartışma; çalışmada ampirik örnek veya nicel örneklem sunulmamaktadır.
high mixed Yapay Zekâ ve Küresel Değer Zincirleri: Ticaret Politikası v... küresel üretim ve ticaret organizasyonunun yapısal dönüşümü (genel, potansiyel e...
AI enhances forecasting accuracy only when integrated within institutional decision cycles.
Empirical finding from comparative analysis combining Flexibility Index (including AI integration) with measures of institutional decision cycles; conditional effect reported in results.
high mixed Budgeting for Agility: A Cross-Sectoral Analysis of Fiscal F... forecasting accuracy / predictive alignment
LLMs often generate responses with the structural clarity associated with early-career engineers, yet they display persistent weaknesses in factual grounding and contextual interpretation.
Qualitative and comparative analysis of LLM responses against the expert rubric during the audit (six commercial LLMs); observed patterns in response form and substantive content.
high mixed Governance risks of AI reasoning in urban infrastructure thr... response structure and factual/contextual quality
The negative quadratic term confirms a concave (inverted-U) relationship between AI and economic growth (diminishing marginal returns of AI).
Panel data for 19 G20 countries (2005–2023) estimated with a quadratic specification in GMM; reported negative and statistically significant coefficient on the AI-squared term.
Anhand von Fallstudien aus den G7-Ländern werden verschiedene Einsatzmöglichkeiten veranschaulicht und die wichtigsten Erfolgsfaktoren benannt – Netzanbindung, KI-Inputs, Kompetenzen und Finanzierung.
Evidence comes from G7 country case studies reported in the paper; method = qualitative case studies identifying key success factors (no number of case studies or sample size provided in excerpt).
high mixed Einführung von KI in kleinen und mittleren Unternehmen Schlüssel-Faktoren für erfolgreiche KI-Einführung in KMU (Netzanbindung, Inputs,...
This lack of focus creates uncertainty about whether regulatory technology helps legitimate economic recovery or instead strengthens exclusion and informality.
Interpretive observation from gaps identified in the reviewed literature; no empirical resolution provided.
high mixed RegTech-enabled governance of sanctions-safe enterprise ecos... impact of RegTech on legitimacy of economic recovery vs. exclusion/informality
There is a governance–task decoupling: under structural stress, text-only governance degrades on both governance and task dimensions simultaneously, whereas mechanical enforcement preserves governance quality even as task performance drops.
Experimental stress tests or structural-stress scenarios applied to both governance architectures in the paper's synthetic experiments; observed differential behavior across governance and task metrics. Abstract does not provide numeric details.
high mixed Mechanical Enforcement for LLM Governance:Evidence of Govern... relative robustness of governance quality vs task performance under structural s...
The improvement from mechanical enforcement is driven by architectural separation: LLM-generated rationales under mechanical enforcement show comparable CDL to text-only governance — the gain comes from removing clear-cut decisions from the model's control.
Analysis comparing LLM-generated rationales and a metric called CDL across governance architectures in the synthetic banking experiments; authors attribute improvement to removing certain decisions from the model's control. Specific statistics and CDL definition not provided in abstract.
high mixed Mechanical Enforcement for LLM Governance:Evidence of Govern... CDL of LLM-generated rationales (comparative constraint-level metric) and locus ...
The results vary across the 10 selected countries: the magnitude and significance of AI’s effects differ due to varying technological readiness and differing industrial structures.
Paper statement that results vary across the 10 selected countries and that nuances differ across countries due to varying industrial structures and technological readiness. Implied heterogeneity analysis across countries using the firm-level dataset and regression approaches; no country-level sample counts provided in the excerpt.
high mixed Estimation of Firm Labour Productivity and Sales Growth from... country-level heterogeneity in AI impact on labour productivity and sales growth
Digital transformation reconfigures development patterns across regions and countries, altering established trajectories of regional development.
Theoretical integration of a technology–labor–space framework together with comparative regional field evidence illustrating changing development patterns (no quantified effect sizes or sample sizes reported).
high mixed Automation, Migration, and Development: Geography of Job Pre... regional development patterns (spatial-economic reconfiguration)
Differences in human intervention effectiveness across escalation types are partly explained by variation in workers' post-escalation intervention effort.
Observed correlations (and subgroup comparisons) in the randomized experiment showing that measures of post-escalation effort (e.g., message counts, share of chat rounds, proactivity) vary across escalation types and relate to outcome differences.
high mixed Agentic AI and Human-in-the-Loop Interventions: Field Experi... post-escalation intervention effort and its mediating role on service outcomes
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly reshaping knowledge-intensive work by automating, augmenting, and reconfiguring core professional activities.
Paper asserts this as a motivating observation based on prior literature and descriptive claims; no original empirical sample or quantified data reported.
high mixed AI-driven skill volatility and the emergence of re-skilling ... degree of automation/augmentation of professional tasks
Metis can be subdivided into 'constitutive metis' (knowledge destroyed by the act of formalization) and 'operational metis' (system-specific familiarity that automation can progressively absorb).
Conceptual taxonomy proposed by the authors; definitions and distinctions are theoretical and illustrated via argumentation and prior literature rather than quantified empirical measurement.
high mixed Metis AI: The Overlooked Middle Zone Between AI-Native and W... types of tacit/practical knowledge affecting automation
There is a fundamental reward-coverage tradeoff: concentrating probability mass on high-reward actions reduces variance but risks missing signal on actions the target policy may take.
Explicit characterization in abstract; claimed theoretical analysis/derivation of the tradeoff between variance reduction and coverage when designing logging policies.
high mixed Logging Policy Design for Off-Policy Evaluation variance of OPE estimators and coverage of actions relevant to the target policy
Perceived procedural improvement (participants preferring facilitation and higher reported trust) can coexist with measurable steering of outcomes and unchanged participation inequality, motivating evaluation practices treating outcomes, interaction dynamics, and perceptions as distinct governance targets.
Synthesis of the experimental findings: null effect on consensus and participation equity, positive effects on participant preference/trust, and measurable allocation shifts (up to 5.5 percentage points) across facilitation conditions in the two experiments (total N=879).
high mixed Real-Time Group Dynamics with LLM Facilitation: Evidence fro... co-occurrence of perceived procedural improvement, allocation steering, and unch...
Facilitators shifted select charity-level allocations by up to 5.5 percentage points, directly affecting the final charitable payout.
Analysis of final group allocation outcomes across experimental conditions showing shifts in allocation to specific charities; reported maximum observed shift of 5.5 percentage points attributable to facilitator condition(s). (Study-level sample covering the two experiments; participants organized in groups of three.)
high mixed Real-Time Group Dynamics with LLM Facilitation: Evidence fro... charity-level allocation percentages (final payout shares)