The Commonplace
Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (8974 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
10085 claims
Filter claims →
Productivity
8974 claims
Filtered →
Governance
8062 claims
Filter claims →
Human-AI Collaboration
7749 claims
Filter claims →
Org Design
5057 claims
Filter claims →
Innovation
4896 claims
Filter claims →
Labor Markets
4088 claims
Filter claims →
Skills & Training
3372 claims
Filter claims →
Inequality
2377 claims
Filter claims →

Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 882 244 117 1097 2424
Governance & Regulation 1010 469 229 135 1875
Organizational Efficiency 977 235 149 90 1462
Technology Adoption Rate 781 299 143 128 1362
Research Productivity 506 155 74 363 1110
Output Quality 555 219 71 70 915
Decision Quality 395 200 95 54 751
Firm Productivity 523 67 101 27 724
AI Safety & Ethics 262 309 75 36 688
Market Structure 195 201 135 30 566
Task Allocation 248 77 96 38 464
Innovation Output 300 34 55 20 411
Skill Acquisition 207 75 65 21 368
Employment Level 138 67 119 24 350
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 156 80 53 33 329
Task Completion Time 211 38 13 16 280
Firm Revenue 183 52 29 5 270
Consumer Welfare 131 77 48 13 269
Inequality Measures 50 141 54 9 254
Worker Satisfaction 104 85 25 13 227
Error Rate 87 112 11 5 215
Automation Exposure 69 69 37 20 198
Wages & Compensation 102 49 31 11 193
Team Performance 115 30 30 11 187
Regulatory Compliance 88 74 17 7 186
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 116 21 15 8 161
Job Displacement 12 92 26 1 131
Hiring & Recruitment 57 12 9 5 83
Skill Obsolescence 6 59 10 2 77
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 23 17 1 59
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
Clear
Productivity Remove filter
Workspace-Bench includes files up to 20GB in size.
Dataset description in the paper specifying maximum file size.
high positive Workspace-Bench 1.0: Benchmarking AI Agents on Workspace Tas... maximum file size in the benchmark
We construct Workspace-Bench with 5 worker profiles, 74 file types, 20,476 files (up to 20GB), 388 tasks, and 7,399 total rubrics, each task associated with its own file dependency graph.
Dataset construction described in the paper; counts and sizes reported by authors.
high positive Workspace-Bench 1.0: Benchmarking AI Agents on Workspace Tas... benchmark size and heterogeneity (worker profiles, file types, file count, task ...
Workspace learning requires AI agents to identify, reason over, exploit, and update explicit and implicit dependencies among heterogeneous files in a worker's workspace, enabling them to complete both routine and advanced tasks effectively.
Conceptual definition and motivation presented by the authors in the paper (no empirical test reported).
high positive Workspace-Bench 1.0: Benchmarking AI Agents on Workspace Tas... ability of AI agents to use file dependencies to complete tasks
Conceptually, AI is positioned not as an automated controller but as an intelligence-augmenting co-regulator that supports learners' capacity to coordinate effort, attention, and understanding together.
Authors' conceptual framing and interpretation of empirical results showing that adaptive and proactive AI feedback supports shared regulation processes during dyadic programming tasks.
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... conceptual role of AI in co-regulation of learning
Proactive, forecast-based feedback using machine-learning predictions of future collaboration states (Study 3) further enhances performance and sustains shared regulation by anticipating breakdowns before they manifest.
Study 3 intervention using ML-based forecasts of future collaboration states to provide proactive support; reported improvements relative to reactive/single-channel conditions (per-study sample sizes and ML model metrics not provided in abstract).
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... collaboration performance and sustained shared regulation (reduction/prevention ...
Reactive adaptive feedback (Study 2) based on real-time deviations in JME and/or JVA improves collaboration outcomes, with combined feedback targeting both dimensions yielding the strongest improvements in performance, regulatory coherence, and cognitive-to-attentional causality, outperforming single-channel feedback.
Study 2 experimental intervention delivering reactive adaptive feedback tied to real-time JME/JVA deviations; comparisons between combined feedback, single-channel feedback, and presumably control conditions reported in paper (no per-condition sample sizes in abstract).
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... collaboration performance, regulatory coherence, cognitive-to-attentional causal...
In Study 1, there is a stable causal relationship in which JME predicts JVA (cognitive alignment drives attentional coordination).
Causal modeling / causal inference applied to time-series measures (JME, JVA) from dual eye-tracking and pupillometry in Study 1; reported directionality JME -> JVA.
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... causal influence of joint mental effort (JME) on joint visual attention (JVA)
High-performing dyads show a greater prevalence of productive high-JME–high-JVA episodes.
Episode-based analysis in Study 1 using eye-tracking/pupillometry to identify and count high-JME–high-JVA episodes; comparison between performance groups reported in paper.
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... frequency/prevalence of high-JME–high-JVA episodes
In natural collaboration (Study 1), high-performing dyads exhibit significantly higher joint mental effort (JME) and joint visual attention (JVA) than lower-performing dyads.
Study 1 empirical comparison of dyads during collaborative debugging using dual eye-tracking and pupillometry; performance-based grouping (high-performing vs lower-performing). Exact per-study sample not specified in abstract.
high positive Cognitive Alignment Drives Attention: Modeling and Supportin... joint mental effort (JME) and joint visual attention (JVA)
Results provide operations managers with tech-backed playbooks for responsible resource use without compromising profit motives, enabling operational excellence while meeting environmental and social responsibilities.
Paper conclusion/implication statement asserting managerial applicability of findings; grounded in the study's reported results but presented as a recommendation/implication rather than a quantified finding.
high positive Green Supply Chain Optimization: AI and IoT for Ethical Reso... availability/applicability of managerial playbooks for responsible resource use ...
Firms maintain competitive costs while implementing AI-IoT eco-networks.
Paper claims that waste and emissions reductions are achieved without compromising costs; specific cost metrics or statistical tests not provided in the abstract.
high positive Green Supply Chain Optimization: AI and IoT for Ethical Reso... cost competitiveness / operational costs
Firms embracing AI-IoT eco-networks trim carbon output by 20-35%.
Paper results reported as empirical findings; presumably measured via carbon footprint assessments and IoT/operational metrics across the case study firms and facilities.
high positive Green Supply Chain Optimization: AI and IoT for Ethical Reso... carbon output / emissions
Firms embracing AI-IoT eco-networks cut waste by 30-50%.
Paper results reported as empirical findings; based on mixed-methods case studies of 12 multinational companies and IoT data from 45 facilities (as stated in methods).
high positive Green Supply Chain Optimization: AI and IoT for Ethical Reso... waste (resource/material waste)
By placing networked IoT sensors in factories, trucks, storage sites, and upstream suppliers, real-time data were paired with machine-learning routines to schedule preventive maintenance, forecast orders, and guide blockchain tracking, routing adjustments, and automated decisions balancing green goals with everyday performance.
Paper description of system design and interventions: placement of sensors across supply chain nodes and pairing with ML routines for maintenance, forecasting, blockchain tracking, routing, and automated decisions.
high positive Green Supply Chain Optimization: AI and IoT for Ethical Reso... implementation of AI-IoT system functions (preventive maintenance scheduling, or...
Overall, GenAI coding assistants can increase developer productivity, although these gains depend strongly on context.
Synthesis of meta-analytic result showing a pooled positive effect on productivity (g = 0.33) together with reported substantial heterogeneity across settings and moderator analyses.
GenAI assistance produces a statistically significant, moderate positive effect on developer productivity (Hedges' g = 0.33, 95% CI [0.09, 0.58]).
Meta-analysis pooling k = 27 effect sizes (from n = 23 studies) using Hedges' g; the paper reports the pooled estimate and 95% confidence interval.
high positive A meta-analysis of the effect of generative AI on productivi... developer productivity (task completion time, commits, lines of code aggregated ...
AI development may widen income disparities across industries.
Further cross-industry analysis reported in the paper indicating that AI-related development is associated with greater inter-industry income dispersion.
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... income disparities across industries
The effect of AI development on the firm-level skill premium is more pronounced in firms operating in industries with lower market concentration.
Heterogeneity analysis by industry market concentration (industry-level concentration measures used to stratify firms).
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... firm-level skill premium (by industry concentration subgroup)
The effect of AI development on the firm-level skill premium is more pronounced in firms with higher levels of digitalization.
Heterogeneity analysis using measures of firm digitalization to split the sample and compare effects.
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... firm-level skill premium (by digitalization subgroup)
The effect of AI development on the firm-level skill premium is more pronounced in non-state-owned firms.
Heterogeneity analysis / subgroup regressions reported in the paper comparing ownership types (state-owned vs non-state-owned firms).
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... firm-level skill premium (by ownership subgroup)
The main findings remain robust after addressing endogeneity using an instrumental variable approach and conducting a series of robustness checks (alternative constructions/measures, AI pilot zone policy shock tests, alternative sample restrictions).
Reported IV analysis and multiple robustness checks in the paper (alternative dependent variable constructions, alternative AI measures, policy shock tests, sample restrictions).
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... robustness of the positive effect of AI on firm-level skill premium
AI increases the firm-level skill premium by facilitating technological upgrading.
Mechanism analysis showing AI development correlates with indicators of technological upgrading or innovation within firms.
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... technological upgrading / innovation outcomes
AI increases the firm-level skill premium by promoting capital deepening.
Mechanism analysis in the paper indicating AI development is associated with higher capital intensity / capital deepening at the firm level.
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... capital deepening (higher capital per worker/capital intensity)
AI increases the firm-level skill premium by improving firm productivity.
Mechanism analysis showing positive association between AI development and measures of firm productivity in regression analyses.
AI development significantly increases the firm-level skill premium.
Econometric analysis on Chinese listed firms using the constructed firm-level AI development measure; baseline regressions reported, with endogeneity addressed using an instrumental variable (IV) approach.
high positive The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Skill Pre... firm-level skill premium (earnings difference between high- and low-skilled work...
Proactive feedback produces post-intervention gains in Joint Visual Attention (JVA) and Joint Mental Effort (JME).
Within-subject empirical study with 26 dyads reporting post-intervention increases in JVA and JME measures following proactive feedback.
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... Joint Visual Attention (JVA) and Joint Mental Effort (JME)
Proactive feedback significantly improves feedback uptake.
Reported results from the within-subject study (26 dyads) indicating higher uptake/adoption of feedback when proactive feedback was provided.
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... feedback uptake (adoption of scaffolded suggestions)
Proactive feedback significantly improves task efficiency.
Within-subject empirical study with 26 dyads reported in the paper; authors report significant improvement in task efficiency for proactive feedback condition.
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... task efficiency (e.g., time to complete debugging tasks)
In a within-subject study with 26 pair-programming dyads, proactive feedback significantly improves debugging success.
Within-subject empirical study reported in the paper with 26 pair-programming dyads; statistical claim of significant improvement in debugging success under proactive feedback condition.
ProPACT uses a hierarchical adaptive policy that delivers minimally intrusive scaffolds while fading support during productive collaboration.
Algorithm/policy design described in the paper (hierarchical adaptive policy and scaffold delivery/fading behavior).
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... scaffolding intrusiveness and adaptive fading of support
ProPACT employs an XGBoost-based forecasting model to predict emerging suboptimal collaboration states up to 30 seconds in advance.
Modeling and evaluation described in the paper; forecasting model implementation stated as XGBoost and claim of 30-second-ahead prediction (trained/evaluated on study data from the paper).
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... prediction of emerging suboptimal collaboration states (prediction horizon up to...
ProPACT constructs a multimodal dyadic learner model based on Joint Visual Attention (JVA), Joint Mental Effort (JME), and individual mental effort.
System design / modeling description in the paper (multimodal dyadic learner model specification).
high positive ProPACT: A Proactive AI-Driven Adaptive Collaborative Tutor ... Joint Visual Attention (JVA) and Joint Mental Effort (JME) measurements
ProPACT is a proactive AI-driven adaptive collaborative tutor that treats collaboration itself as the object of instruction.
System description presented in the paper (design/implementation claim); authors introduce ProPACT as an AI-driven adaptive collaborative tutor.
Exposing the curated index as a callable tool suggests that each frontier system can close most of the recall gap by swapping generic web search for a curated index behind the same chat interface.
Authors' argument/inference based on exposing the index as an MCP server; phrased as a suggestion (not reported as fully executed across all frontier models).
high positive Curated AI beats frontier LLMs at pharma asset discovery change in recall gap when using a curated index versus generic web search
Gosset achieved perfect precision and 100% recall against the cross-system union of verified drugs.
Empirical evaluation reported in paper using the cross-system union of verified drugs as the reference set across the 10-target benchmark.
high positive Curated AI beats frontier LLMs at pharma asset discovery precision and recall of verified drug retrieval
Across 10 targets Gosset returns 3.2x more verified drugs per query than the best frontier system.
Empirical result from the authors' benchmark comparing verified drugs-per-query across systems on 10 targets.
high positive Curated AI beats frontier LLMs at pharma asset discovery number of verified drugs returned per query
General-purpose LLMs with web search are increasingly used to scout the competitive landscape of pharmaceutical pipelines.
Statement in paper's introduction/background; no empirical measurement provided in the excerpt.
high positive Curated AI beats frontier LLMs at pharma asset discovery usage/adoption of general-purpose LLMs with web search for scouting pharmaceutic...
These evolved models improve downstream end-to-end agentic data-science (ADS) performance, increasing performance for Copilot CLI, Claude Code, and Codex on the BLADE benchmark by up to 73%.
Empirical evaluation on the BLADE benchmark comparing downstream ADS performance using Copilot CLI, Claude Code, and Codex with and without the evolved models; reported maximum improvement 'up to 73%'.
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... downstream ADS performance on the BLADE benchmark (measured as benchmark perform...
The evolved models generalize to new datasets.
Reported experiments showing performance of the evolved models on datasets not used during evolution / training (as described in the paper's experimental results).
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... generalization of model performance to new datasets
The evolved models jointly improve agent-facing interpretability (as measured by the LLM-based metric) and generalize to new interpretability tests.
Experimental evaluation using the proposed LLM-based interpretability metric, including tests on held-out interpretability evaluations described in the paper.
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... agent-facing interpretability (LLM-graded simulatable test performance)
The evolved models jointly improve predictive performance.
Experimental results reported in the paper comparing evolved models to baselines on predictive metrics across datasets (details of datasets and metrics referenced in the experiments section).
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... predictive performance (e.g., prediction accuracy or other predictive metrics)
We introduce a novel LLM-based interpretability metric that measures a suite of LLM-graded tests probing whether a fitted model's string representation is 'simulatable' by an LLM (i.e., whether the LLM can answer questions about the model's behavior by reading its string output alone).
Design and specification of an interpretability metric based on LLM-graded tests, described in the paper; metric operationalized by asking LLMs questions about models' string representations.
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... agent-facing interpretability as measured by LLM-graded simulatable tests
Agentic-imodels develops a library of scikit-learn-compatible regressors for tabular data that are optimized for both predictive performance and a novel LLM-based interpretability metric.
Implemented library of scikit-learn-compatible regressors described in the paper and used in experiments; optimization objective includes predictive performance and an LLM-based interpretability metric.
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... availability and optimization of a library of regressors (predictive performance...
We introduce Agentic-imodels, an agentic autoresearch loop that evolves data-science tools designed to be interpretable by agents.
Description and implementation of a new system (Agentic-imodels) presented in the paper; methodological contribution described as an autoresearch loop that evolves tools.
high positive Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via... existence and implementation of Agentic-imodels (a system-level contribution)
The United States' existing public active labor market programming (WIOA) can support baseline wage recovery for vulnerable populations.
Aggregate results from the WIOA records (2017-2023) indicate general wage recovery among participants, interpreted as baseline support for vulnerable populations.
high positive Did US Worker Retraining Reduce Participant Automation Expos... post-intervention wages among vulnerable populations
Employer-led programs—most notably apprenticeships—are associated with the highest incidence of successful outcomes.
Comparative analysis of program types within the WIOA dataset (2017-2023) showing employer-led interventions (apprenticeships) have higher rates on the Retrainability Index / success metrics than other program types.
high positive Did US Worker Retraining Reduce Participant Automation Expos... incidence/rate of successful Retrainability Index outcomes by program type (empl...
Successful WIOA outcomes are driven mostly by post-program wage gains (possibly due to 'catch-up' mean reversion) rather than by occupational changes.
Decomposition of the Retrainability Index on the WIOA dataset (2017-2023) shows that observed program 'success' corresponds primarily to wage recovery measures rather than large shifts in RTI/occupation; authors note mean reversion as a possible explanation.
high positive Did US Worker Retraining Reduce Participant Automation Expos... post-intervention wage recovery
Mechanism tests reveal efficiency gains via automation are a key pathway by which AI increases productivity in constrained firms.
Mechanism analysis reported in the paper (tests linking AI adoption to automation-related efficiency improvements in constrained firm clusters).
high positive The Heterogeneous Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Ente... Efficiency gains / productivity via automation
Firms constrained by limited intangibles, outdated hardware, or weak human capital benefit most from AI adoption when AI mitigates bottlenecks (i.e., larger positive TFP effects for resource-constrained firms).
Subgroup/cluster-specific estimates from panel analysis showing larger productivity gains in clusters characterized by limited intangibles, outdated hardware, or weak human capital.
high positive The Heterogeneous Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Ente... Total Factor Productivity (TFP) / productivity gains
AI integration reduces regulatory breaches.
Reported empirical association showing fewer regulatory breaches following AI integration, estimated via System GMM with FE and RE robustness checks (no count data or effect sizes provided in the supplied summary).
high positive Research on the Transformation Acceleration of Financial Ins... Regulatory breaches (incidence/count)