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Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (7870 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
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Governance Remove filter
The primary way to establish and compare competencies in foundation and generative AI models has shifted from peer-reviewed literature to press releases and company blog posts, where model builders highlight results on selected benchmarks.
Descriptive/argumentative claim in the paper's introduction framing the research question; based on the authors' survey of contemporary practices and motivation for the dataset and analysis.
high mixed Unsteady Metrics and Benchmarking Cultures of AI Model Build... medium of public evaluation (peer-reviewed literature vs press releases/company ...
The central challenge is whether commercial influence in generative systems can be made trustworthy, i.e., attributable, measurable, contestable, and aligned with user welfare.
Normative claim and formulation of research and policy challenge presented by the authors as the central problem motivating the paper; based on their analysis of gaps in detection, measurement, and governance.
high mixed Generative AI Advertising as a Problem of Trustworthy Commer... trustworthiness attributes of commercial influence (attributable, measurable, co...
This reframes generative AI advertising as a problem of trustworthy intervention rather than content placement.
Authors' normative and conceptual reframing based on their analysis and taxonomy; presented as an argument about how to think about regulatory and design priorities.
high mixed Generative AI Advertising as a Problem of Trustworthy Commer... conceptual framing of the advertising problem (trustworthy intervention vs. cont...
Joint estimation confirms simultaneous adjustments across financing and innovation margins.
Joint estimation (likely a system or simultaneous-equations approach) showing concurrent changes in financing costs and innovation-related variables following the shock (method stated; no sample size or exact estimates in abstract).
high mixed Dissipation of Debt Financing Privilege on Corporate AI Wash... adjustments in financing margins and innovation margins
The system is generically bistable, with a stable partial adoption equilibrium coexisting alongside full genuine adoption.
Analytical results from the evolutionary game-theoretic model demonstrating multiple stable equilibria (bistability). No empirical sample (theoretical proof / model analysis).
high mixed The partial adoption trap: Coordination failure, trust, and ... equilibrium adoption state (partial vs full genuine adoption)
Doctors choose among three strategies: genuine adoption, partial adoption, and rejection, where genuine adoption is required for systemic benefits to materialise above a population threshold.
Model specification in an evolutionary game-theoretic framework; analytical description of strategy set and threshold condition. No empirical sample (theoretical model).
high mixed The partial adoption trap: Coordination failure, trust, and ... adoption equilibrium / attainment of systemic benefits
Outcome-only evaluation can certify economically unsafe agents: a policy can hit a business KPI while violating deployable behavioral discipline.
Illustrated by a hotel-pricing experiment (hidden competitor state) in which a learner achieves plausible revenue per available room while failing to preserve the rate discipline of a rule-based revenue-management competitor; based on experimental results in the paper's two-hotel benchmark.
high mixed When Outcome Looks Right But Discipline Fails: Trace-Based E... revenue per available room and preservation of rate discipline (behavioral disci...
Başta ABD, Avrupa Birliği ve Çin olmak üzere büyük ekonomilerin yapay zekâ alanında benimsediği sanayi ve ticaret politikaları karşılaştırmalı olarak incelenmektedir; bu ekonomilerin teknolojik hegemonya arayışının ekonomik olduğu kadar jeopolitik bir boyut kazandığı değerlendirilmektedir.
Karşılaştırmalı politika incelemesi (kavramsal ve betimleyici); çalışmada belirli politika örnekleri tartışılıyor ancak sistematik nicel karşılaştırma ya da örneklem büyüklüğü belirtilmiyor.
high mixed Yapay Zekâ ve Küresel Değer Zincirleri: Ticaret Politikası v... büyük ekonomilerin AI sanayi ve ticaret politikalarının benimsenmesi ve bu polit...
Yapay zekâ teknolojilerindeki hızlı ilerleme, küresel üretim ve ticaret organizasyonunu köklü biçimde dönüştürme potansiyeline sahiptir.
Kavramsal değerlendirme ve literatüre dayalı tartışma; çalışmada ampirik örnek veya nicel örneklem sunulmamaktadır.
high mixed Yapay Zekâ ve Küresel Değer Zincirleri: Ticaret Politikası v... küresel üretim ve ticaret organizasyonunun yapısal dönüşümü (genel, potansiyel e...
AI enhances forecasting accuracy only when integrated within institutional decision cycles.
Empirical finding from comparative analysis combining Flexibility Index (including AI integration) with measures of institutional decision cycles; conditional effect reported in results.
high mixed Budgeting for Agility: A Cross-Sectoral Analysis of Fiscal F... forecasting accuracy / predictive alignment
LLMs often generate responses with the structural clarity associated with early-career engineers, yet they display persistent weaknesses in factual grounding and contextual interpretation.
Qualitative and comparative analysis of LLM responses against the expert rubric during the audit (six commercial LLMs); observed patterns in response form and substantive content.
high mixed Governance risks of AI reasoning in urban infrastructure thr... response structure and factual/contextual quality
This lack of focus creates uncertainty about whether regulatory technology helps legitimate economic recovery or instead strengthens exclusion and informality.
Interpretive observation from gaps identified in the reviewed literature; no empirical resolution provided.
high mixed RegTech-enabled governance of sanctions-safe enterprise ecos... impact of RegTech on legitimacy of economic recovery vs. exclusion/informality
There is a governance–task decoupling: under structural stress, text-only governance degrades on both governance and task dimensions simultaneously, whereas mechanical enforcement preserves governance quality even as task performance drops.
Experimental stress tests or structural-stress scenarios applied to both governance architectures in the paper's synthetic experiments; observed differential behavior across governance and task metrics. Abstract does not provide numeric details.
high mixed Mechanical Enforcement for LLM Governance:Evidence of Govern... relative robustness of governance quality vs task performance under structural s...
The improvement from mechanical enforcement is driven by architectural separation: LLM-generated rationales under mechanical enforcement show comparable CDL to text-only governance — the gain comes from removing clear-cut decisions from the model's control.
Analysis comparing LLM-generated rationales and a metric called CDL across governance architectures in the synthetic banking experiments; authors attribute improvement to removing certain decisions from the model's control. Specific statistics and CDL definition not provided in abstract.
high mixed Mechanical Enforcement for LLM Governance:Evidence of Govern... CDL of LLM-generated rationales (comparative constraint-level metric) and locus ...
Digital transformation reconfigures development patterns across regions and countries, altering established trajectories of regional development.
Theoretical integration of a technology–labor–space framework together with comparative regional field evidence illustrating changing development patterns (no quantified effect sizes or sample sizes reported).
high mixed Automation, Migration, and Development: Geography of Job Pre... regional development patterns (spatial-economic reconfiguration)
Perceived procedural improvement (participants preferring facilitation and higher reported trust) can coexist with measurable steering of outcomes and unchanged participation inequality, motivating evaluation practices treating outcomes, interaction dynamics, and perceptions as distinct governance targets.
Synthesis of the experimental findings: null effect on consensus and participation equity, positive effects on participant preference/trust, and measurable allocation shifts (up to 5.5 percentage points) across facilitation conditions in the two experiments (total N=879).
high mixed Real-Time Group Dynamics with LLM Facilitation: Evidence fro... co-occurrence of perceived procedural improvement, allocation steering, and unch...
Facilitators shifted select charity-level allocations by up to 5.5 percentage points, directly affecting the final charitable payout.
Analysis of final group allocation outcomes across experimental conditions showing shifts in allocation to specific charities; reported maximum observed shift of 5.5 percentage points attributable to facilitator condition(s). (Study-level sample covering the two experiments; participants organized in groups of three.)
high mixed Real-Time Group Dynamics with LLM Facilitation: Evidence fro... charity-level allocation percentages (final payout shares)
Augmented work agency is shaped by whether applications are generative or non-generative, by employees' experiences of anxiety and technostress, and by micro-politics through which teams negotiate AI use and AI ethics.
Thematic findings from semistructured interviews (28 participants) and document review identifying these factors as shaping agency in practice.
high mixed Reimagining work in the age of intelligent automation: a qua... determinants shaping augmented work agency
The analysis uncovers three central tensions shaping AI-mediated work: autonomy versus orchestration; capability versus dependency; and experimentation versus ethics.
Recurring themes identified through qualitative interviews (28 participants) and document review; interpretive synthesis presented in findings.
high mixed Reimagining work in the age of intelligent automation: a qua... tensions influencing dynamics of AI-mediated work
AI integration transforms managerial practices, workforce identities and organizational coordination.
Thematic and interpretive analysis of semistructured interviews with 28 managers/professionals across 12 organizations and review of organizational documents.
high mixed Reimagining work in the age of intelligent automation: a qua... managerial practices, workforce identities, organizational coordination
Specialized detectors generally perform better but remain inconsistent across generators and can produce false positives on real-damaged samples.
Experimental comparison showing specialized AI-generated image detectors outperform MLLMs on some generator subsets, yet show variability across generators and some false positives on genuine damaged images.
high mixed FraudBench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Detecting AI-Generate... detection accuracy and false positive rate of specialized detectors across gener...
The intervention serves as a middle ground in the trade-off between higher costs (from more granular demographic targeting) and skew (from ignoring demographics entirely).
Authors' comparative claim about cost–skew trade-offs observed in their intervention versus alternatives; no quantitative cost or skew figures provided in the excerpt.
high mixed Into the Unknown: Accounting for Missing Demographic Data wh... trade-off between advertising cost and magnitude of ad delivery skew
The research challenges for this vision stem from a broader flexibility–robustness tension that requires moving beyond the on-the-fly paradigm to navigate effectively.
Analytical claim in paper identifying a design trade-off (flexibility vs. robustness) as the core challenge motivating the proposed shift; no empirical demonstration provided.
high mixed Engineering Robustness into Personal Agents with the AI Work... trade-off between flexibility and robustness in agent design
Under open-ended prompts, trust drops to 3-55%, confirming prompt framing as a confound; we report both conditions.
Experimental comparison reported by authors between directed queries and open-ended prompts; observed trust rates under open-ended prompts ranged from 3% to 55% (no explicit per-model sample sizes reported in the summary).
high mixed Oracle Poisoning: Corrupting Knowledge Graphs to Weaponise A... model trust rate in accepting poisoned data under open-ended prompts
Depending on the used fairness metric, the Pareto frontier may include upper-bound threshold rules, thus preferring individuals with lower success probabilities.
Analytical derivations showing that for certain fairness metrics the set of Pareto-optimal rules includes rules that impose upper-bound thresholds; theoretical examples and arguments in the paper.
high mixed Fairness vs Performance: Characterizing the Pareto Frontier ... presence of upper-bound threshold rules on Pareto frontier (preference toward lo...
The study reframes VTech adoption as legitimacy-seeking rather than efficiency-driven.
Thematic analysis using Rogers' diffusion of innovations and institutional theory, resulting in the institutionally mediated diffusion of innovations (IDOI) framework which emphasizes legitimacy concerns.
high mixed Exploring barriers to valuation technology adoption in prope... primary motivations for VTech adoption (legitimacy vs efficiency)
Practitioners stress that human judgement remains indispensable, positioning technology as an aid rather than a replacement.
Interview responses from valuers and firm leaders emphasizing the continued role of human judgement; thematic analysis framed by the IDOI model.
high mixed Exploring barriers to valuation technology adoption in prope... role of human judgement vs automation in valuation practice
Responses [about AI's effects] vary by cohort and depending on survey framing.
Paper asserts heterogeneity in survey responses across demographic cohorts and due to framing effects (no subgroup sample sizes or framing experiment details in excerpt).
high mixed AI’s Economy and Its Political and Institutional Consequence... variation in survey responses by cohort and framing
This [model divergence] may explain why public opinion is not settled about the effects of AI.
Paper's interpretive claim linking model divergence to unsettled public opinion (presented as a plausible explanation; no causal test or survey linkage provided in excerpt).
high mixed AI’s Economy and Its Political and Institutional Consequence... public opinion about AI's effects
Current models about the vulnerability level of occupations and economic sectors differ widely in their forecasts.
Paper's comparative statement about existing models and their forecasts (no specific models, quantitative comparisons, or sample sizes provided in the excerpt).
high mixed AI’s Economy and Its Political and Institutional Consequence... disagreement across model forecasts of occupational/sector vulnerability
Message for AI alignment: smooth scoring-based oversight cannot elicit truthful reports from a strategic agent; sharp thresholds (step functions) are the calibration-preserving design.
Synthesis of the paper's theoretical impossibility and constructive results applied to AI oversight setting (argument plus the step-function constructive escape).
high mixed The Endogeneity of Miscalibration: Impossibility and Escape ... ability of oversight designs (smooth scoring vs. sharp thresholds) to preserve c...
Governance machinery from energy systems and critical infrastructure offers a partial template for governing automated web actors, but only some dimensions transfer.
Comparative governance argument drawing on adjacent-sector governance literature; conceptual mapping rather than empirical governance trial reported.
high mixed The Vanishing User: Web Analytics in an Agent-Dominated Inte... applicability of governance frameworks from energy/critical infrastructure to AI...
Public discussion of generative AI in accounting swings between the allure of full automation and job-displacement anxiety, yet the most immediate reality in organizations is human + AI work.
Paper's background/intro synthesizing recent research and practitioner commentary (2023–2025); conceptual observation rather than empirical test.
The novel governance problem is not that AI creates new failure modes, but that AI changes their incidence, observability, and persuasive force enough to require different governance responses.
Normative/analytic claim in the paper; argumentation rather than empirical evidence.
high mixed Vibe Econometrics and the Analysis Contract need for adapted governance responses to AI-mediated inferential failures
The study provides new empirical evidence that technological innovation (specifically generative AI) reshapes financial spillover networks and highlights the importance of considering both the level and structure of connectedness in assessing systemic risk.
Overall empirical results from the TVP-VAR analysis of connectedness across AI equities, cryptocurrencies, and traditional assets, and discussion of implications for systemic risk assessment.
high mixed Artificial Intelligence and Financial Market Connectedness: ... reshaping of spillover networks; relevance for systemic risk assessment
The impact of AI on financial markets is better understood as a structural transformation of interconnectedness rather than a simple intensification of linkages.
Synthesis of empirical findings from the TVP-VAR showing changes in network structure and heterogeneous directional roles across asset groups, rather than a monotonic increase in aggregate connectedness.
high mixed Artificial Intelligence and Financial Market Connectedness: ... nature of change in financial interconnectedness (structural transformation vs. ...
The structure of spillovers undergoes significant changes over the sample period.
TVP-VAR estimated time-varying spillover/connectedness network showing changes in directional spillovers and network topology (paper states 'significant changes').
high mixed Artificial Intelligence and Financial Market Connectedness: ... structure/topology of spillover network
Introducing taxes on AI returns (τ_ai) and financial gains (τ_f) yields three distinct long-run regimes: low-tax (extreme inequality), moderate-tax (stable mixed economy), and high-tax (post-scarcity with universal basic income).
Model extension with tax parameters τ_ai and τ_f and analysis of steady states/long-run regimes; bifurcation analysis identifying regime types associated with ranges of (τ_ai, τ_f).
high mixed The Economic Singularity: Core Mathematical Model long-run regime (inequality vs. stability vs. post-scarcity/UBI)
The rapid emergence of agentic AI tools raises new questions that the political science discipline must address.
Epilogue of the report raises agentic AI tools as a rapidly emerging phenomenon and lists questions for the discipline; based on expert judgment and forward-looking analysis rather than empirical measurement in the introduction/epilogue.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... policy and research questions arising from agentic AI capabilities (norms, accou...
AI will affect political science research and teaching.
Report introduction explicitly notes the report investigates implications for political science research and teaching; based on the task force's review and analysis rather than a quantitative study.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... research methods, replicability, teaching practices, and curriculum in political...
AI will affect public opinion and the information ecosystem.
Introductory chapter enumerates public opinion and the information ecosystem as report topics; based on conceptual synthesis and literature review.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... public opinion formation and information ecosystem integrity (misinformation, pe...
AI will affect the labor market.
Report introduction identifies the labor market as an area the task force examines; presented as a conceptual claim without primary-sample estimates in the introduction.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... labor market outcomes (employment, occupational change, job tasks)
AI will affect international relations.
Introductory chapter lists international relations as a topic the report investigates; claim arises from conceptual analysis and synthesis by task force authors.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... international relations dynamics (state behavior, diplomacy, conflict/cooperatio...
AI will affect national security.
Report introduction stating a section addressing national security implications; based on expert assessment and literature review rather than a specific empirical sample.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... national security capabilities and decision-making (defense, intelligence operat...
AI will affect public administration.
Report introduction describing a section focused on how AI will affect public administration; based on expert synthesis rather than reported empirical study.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... public administration processes and organizational efficiency (service delivery,...
AI will affect democracy (i.e., democratic processes and institutions).
Report introduction listing a section of the report devoted to democracy and AI; conceptual argumentation rather than reported empirical tests.
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... democratic processes and institutions (electoral integrity, civic participation,...
AI has the potential to reshape politics and political science, similar to how it is transforming other social phenomena and academic fields.
Introductory chapter of the APSA Presidential Task Force report; conceptual framing and literature synthesis by the task force authors (no primary empirical sample reported).
high mixed Introduction: Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Politic... scope and practice of politics and political science as fields (institutional ro...
We empirically validate these theoretical observations using both synthetic and real datasets.
Experimental evaluation reported in the paper applying proposed policies and measures to synthetic data and at least one real dataset (details not given in abstract).
high mixed Price of Fairness in Short-Term and Long-Term Algorithmic Se... empirical consistency of theoretical findings (PoF behavior and long-term dispar...
Two minimal extension policies, each derived from the observation, close the regime along orthogonal axes: a sample-size-aware static rule (Periodic-with-floor) closes the granularity-failure case, while a history-conditioned suspicion-escalation policy closes the coverage-failure case for the naive Drift strategy — and neither closes both, exactly as the observation predicts.
Design and analysis of two auditor policies in the paper; theoretical argument from Observation 1 and supporting simulation results illustrating which failure modes each policy addresses.
high mixed A Benchmark for Strategic Auditee Gaming Under Continuous Co... ability of proposed auditor policies to close granularity or coverage failures
A standard learning agent can obtain near-reference revenue per available room (RevPAR) while failing to learn market-like yield management: it sells too aggressively, undercuts, or collapses to modal price buckets.
Experiments in a two-hotel revenue-management simulator where Hotel A is trained against a fixed rule-based competitor (Hotel B); comparison of learned agent behavior to market-like yield management patterns observed in traces.
high mixed Market-Alignment Risk in Pricing Agents: Trace Diagnostics a... RevPAR (revenue per available room) and pricing behavior (aggressiveness, underc...