The Commonplace
Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (16496 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
Filter claims →
Productivity
8807 claims
Filter claims →
Governance
7870 claims
Filter claims →
Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
Filter claims →
Org Design
4892 claims
Filter claims →
Innovation
4781 claims
Filter claims →
Labor Markets
4004 claims
Filter claims →
Skills & Training
3308 claims
Filter claims →
Inequality
2332 claims
Filter claims →

Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
The transition is in trivia count, not rate; the gap 1-α is the unrecorded mass.
Analytic argument/proof in the model showing that whether trivia allowance is finite or infinite (count) determines the phase transition in achievable coverage, and identifying 1-α as the portion of valuable mass not recorded by the literature core.
high mixed Flood and Harvest: The Provable Necessity of Trivia for Gene... dependence of coverage transition on trivia count and the size of unrecorded val...
Sharp dichotomy on the tight family: generators emitting finitely many trivia achieve optimal coverage α/2, while any infinite trivia allowance, even at vanishing rate, jumps the optimum to 1-α/2 (both tight, for cores presented as the candidate intersection), and one generator attains both ends.
Mathematical theorem(s) in the paper establishing tight upper/lower bounds on coverage for the 'tight family' under two regimes (finite trivia vs infinite trivia), expressed as functions of the core density parameter α.
high mixed Flood and Harvest: The Provable Necessity of Trivia for Gene... optimal coverage fraction of valuable statements produced by generators
Board composition, particularly the presence of female and minority directors, impacts AI adoption.
Statement in abstract reporting an analysis linking board composition variables (female and minority directors) to AI adoption outcomes in the dataset.
high mixed The AI workforce and firm maturity: old firms, new tech AI adoption / share of AI workers
With endogenous capital accumulation, data-driven automation generates explosive growth but stagnant long-run wages.
Extended model incorporating endogenous capital accumulation: analytical solution/characterization showing unbounded (explosive) growth in aggregate variables while real wages remain stagnant in the long run (model derivation).
high mixed Data-Driven Automation aggregate growth behavior (explosive growth); long-run real wages (stagnation)
Along the transition path of automation, data simultaneously augments the productivity of already-automated tasks and expands the automation frontier (dual role).
Analytical results from the dynamic model showing two mechanisms: (i) data increases productivity of tasks already automated; and (ii) data enables automation of additional tasks (model derivations).
high mixed Data-Driven Automation productivity of automated tasks; size of automation frontier
Defining query difficulty is one of the hardest problems in deployment engineering.
Statement/assertion in the paper (introductory claim); no specific empirical measurement in the abstract.
There were no significant differences in AI use based on most accountant characteristics, except in auditing where business owners reported a higher frequency of AI use.
Inferential statistical analysis of questionnaire data (comparative design); specific statistical tests and sample size not reported in the summary.
high mixed Utilization of Artificial Intelligence Technology among Acco... frequency of AI use (by accountant characteristics and by audit role/business ow...
This study identifies critical gaps in current Nvidia-centric roadmaps and proposes a competing reference architecture.
Paper's comparative analysis of existing (described as Nvidia-centric) roadmaps and presentation of an alternative reference architecture; no empirical validation or case-study evaluation reported.
high mixed From Stacks to Circuits: A Regenerative Socio-Technical Road... completeness/adequacy of industry roadmaps and availability of alternative archi...
Current models achieve penetration success rates ranging from 10.7% to 69.3%.
Empirical results reported from evaluation of the 19 LLMs across the designed target servers (success-rate measurements).
Frontier proprietary models achieve near-zero success under GUI-based interaction, whereas COM-based execution yields substantial immediate gains.
Experimental comparison reported in the paper on ComCADBench between GUI-based interaction by proprietary models and COM-based execution (authors report success rates and comparative performance).
high mixed ComAct: Reframing Professional Software Manipulation via COM... success rate on CAD tasks under GUI-based interaction vs COM-based execution
Environment engineering can amplify productive behaviors (e.g., open-ended exploration, systematic artifact management, inter-agent collaboration) while suppressing harmful behaviors (e.g., reward hacking and high-friction human oversight).
Framing and argument in the paper describing expected effects of environment design (conceptual; no quantification provided in the excerpt).
high mixed EurekAgent: Agent Environment Engineering is All You Need Fo... agent behavior quality (productive vs. harmful behaviors)
Trust is conceptualized as network-mediated expectation stabilization in the embodied finance framework.
Theoretical claim in the framework articulating trust as stabilized through network interactions among humans, machines, and platforms; no empirical data.
high mixed Embodied Finance: A Conceptual Framework for Agency, Value, ... conceptualization of trust in AI-enabled financial interactions (network-mediate...
The proposed framework—the machine–platform–crowd triangle—reframes agency, trust, and value as emergent properties rather than institutional attributes.
Conceptual framing and argumentation within the paper; synthesis of theory to reconceptualize agency, trust, and value; no empirical testing reported.
high mixed Embodied Finance: A Conceptual Framework for Agency, Value, ... conceptualization of agency, trust, and value in socio-technical financial syste...
Architectural smell density (ASD) declines by 6.7% (p = 0.004), but this decline is a denominator effect resulting from lines-of-code growth rather than an actual architectural improvement.
Observed ASD change computed from estimated smell counts and LOC changes in the 151-repository panel and interpreted by decomposing density into numerator (smells) and denominator (LOC).
high mixed Mining Architectural Quality Under Agentic AI Adoption: A Ca... architectural smell density (ASD)
The same observation is seen with the amount of changes (e.g., code churn, number of modified files) and with the efforts to merge an agentic PR (e.g., merge time and number of comments).
Reported that pre/post comparison across projects shows mixed/no consistent improvement patterns for code churn, modified files, merge time, and comment counts after instruction-file creation (analysis over 15,549 PRs in 148 projects).
high mixed Toward Instructions-as-Code: Understanding the Impact of Ins... amount of changes (code churn, number of modified files) and effort to merge (ti...
Specifying instructions for AI-agents does not necessarily lead to better results.
Project-level before/after comparison of performance metrics for projects that created instruction files (pre/post comparison across 148 projects using the 15,549 PRs).
high mixed Toward Instructions-as-Code: Understanding the Impact of Ins... overall performance of agentic PRs (merge rate, code churn, merge time, comments...
The image of a single transformative step change caused by the introduction of human-level AGI may be inaccurate; a more apt prospect is a series of transformative societal changes caused by AI-enabled progress and breakthroughs across many areas of science and technology.
Interpretive claim in the report arguing for a multi-step, multifaceted impact scenario rather than a single-step discontinuity; based on conceptual synthesis of possible pathways and impacts.
high mixed From AGI to ASI pattern of societal change attributable to AI (single-step vs. series of changes...
There exist frictions and bottlenecks along these AGI→ASI pathways, and whether their impacts are negligible or substantial is an open set of concrete research questions.
Report analysis identifying potential frictions and bottlenecks and posing open research questions; conceptual analysis without quantified empirical measures.
high mixed From AGI to ASI magnitude of frictions/bottlenecks affecting AGI→ASI transitions
Du et al. (2026) find that information-based team faultlines can enhance proactive behavior via deep information processing, while AI adoption moderates and mitigates the negative effects of social-based faultlines on team cooperation.
Information-processing theoretical framing and empirical analysis reported in the paper (study type and sample size not specified in the excerpt).
high mixed Guest editorial: Digital age wisdom in Chinese management: a... proactive behavior and team cooperation under team faultlines and AI adoption
Liao et al. (2026) identify multiple equifinal pathways to high performance in digit-oriented spin-offs (parent-oriented, independent-oriented, ambidextrous-oriented configurations) using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA).
fsQCA analysis reported in the paper (methodological approach described; sample not specified in excerpt).
high mixed Guest editorial: Digital age wisdom in Chinese management: a... high performance of digit-oriented spin-offs
A store-level policy learned from logged marketplace data selects a discrete multiplier that shifts the dispatch optimizer's tradeoff between delivery quality and batching efficiency.
Methodological description: store-level policy trained from logged data that outputs a discrete multiplier to alter optimizer objective weights; stated design and training approach in paper (no numerical evaluation details provided in the excerpt).
high mixed Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning from Delayed Marketplace ... tradeoff between delivery quality and batching efficiency (via discrete multipli...
The article develops a conceptual framework linking GenAI use in higher education to knowledge transformation, critical thinking, ethical judgment, digital capability, managerial decision-making, business ethics, workforce readiness, and organizational readiness.
Presentation of a conceptual framework by the authors as part of the review (theoretical/conceptual work; no empirical validation reported).
high mixed Instructing Higher Education in the Era of Generative AI: Im... conceptual linkage among educational inputs and downstream capabilities (knowled...
GenAI should be understood as more than an educational technology: it affects the development of managerial decision-making, business ethics, and workforce readiness for future managers, entrepreneurs, administrators, policymakers, and business professionals.
Conceptual argument and literature synthesis presented in the review article (no primary empirical sample).
high mixed Instructing Higher Education in the Era of Generative AI: Im... managerial decision-making capabilities and ethical judgment
Generative AI (GenAI) is reshaping higher education by changing learning practices, academic writing, knowledge access, assessment preparation, research support, and student engagement.
Narrative literature review / synthesis (review article). No primary empirical sample reported — claim drawn from cited literature and conceptual synthesis.
high mixed Instructing Higher Education in the Era of Generative AI: Im... learning practices (academic writing, assessment prep, research support, student...
AI agents can rival or exceed human methodological diversity at the design layer while remaining vulnerable at the verdict layer.
Synthesis of above experimental findings: Claude Code and Codex matched/exceeded human methodological diversity measures (20 runs) but exhibited vulnerability to prompt-induced changes in verdict behavior (especially Claude Code).
high mixed AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse... methodological diversity at design layer and vulnerability of final verdicts at ...
Implementation success depends heavily on data quality, workflow redesign, interpretability, governance, and procurement alignment.
Synthesis of factors identified across included studies and supporting regulatory/industry documents as important determinants of successful deployment.
high mixed Artificial Intelligence-Driven Optimization in Pharmacy Inve... determinants of implementation success (data quality, workflow redesign, interpr...
However, evidence is uneven: many studies are simulation-based.
Review observation from the synthesis of the 35 included studies noting study designs (simulation prevalence noted but not numerically specified).
high mixed Artificial Intelligence-Driven Optimization in Pharmacy Inve... study design composition (simulation vs empirical)
Perkembangan AI mengotomatisasi tugas rutin sekaligus menciptakan peluang pekerjaan baru berbasis digital.
Sistematis studi literatur yang menelaah 33 sumber ilmiah, laporan lembaga internasional, dan kebijakan terkait (n=33).
high mixed Transformasi SDM di Era AI: Strategi Menjaga Daya Saing Tena... perubahan struktur pasar kerja (otomatisasi tugas rutin dan penciptaan pekerjaan...
The comparative evaluation shows differences in economic inclusiveness between ML, DL, and Generative AI.
Abstract states differences in economic inclusiveness found in the review; no quantitative inclusiveness metrics or sample sizes provided in abstract.
The comparative evaluation shows differences in explainability among ML, DL, and Generative AI.
Abstract notes comparative differences in explainability as part of review findings; no empirical measures of explainability included in abstract.
high mixed AI Technologies and Economic Transformation: A Systematic Re... explainability / interpretability of AI approaches
The comparative evaluation shows differences in patterns of substituting labor across ML, DL, and Generative AI.
Abstract states comparative differences in labor-substitution patterns based on the systematic review of literature; no empirical counts or sizes in abstract.
high mixed AI Technologies and Economic Transformation: A Systematic Re... labor substitution / displacement patterns
The comparative evaluation shows differences in scale of impact across ML, DL, and Generative AI.
Abstract reports a comparative evaluation highlighting scale differences across AI phases; no quantitative scale measures given in abstract.
high mixed AI Technologies and Economic Transformation: A Systematic Re... relative scale of economic impact
Generative AI brings innovative disruption with profound effects on the structure of employment, knowledge-based ecosystems, and high-skill industries.
Synthesis claim in abstract based on reviewed peer‑reviewed literature; no specific studies, sample sizes, or quantitative effects reported in abstract.
high mixed AI Technologies and Economic Transformation: A Systematic Re... innovative disruption and employment structure
Although the geometry (bipolar structure) is stable, its content is not: across a decade the polarity has inverted relative to Frey and Osborne (2013).
Comparison of macro-level placements between the paper's LLM-era OAI and the Frey-Osborne (2013) rankings; authors report inversion and supporting correlation statistics.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... change in directionality of macro-level automation risk (polarity) over time
Tool-Mediated Physical (M2) and Planning & Design (M7) are separated by Cohen's d = 2.41 (H = 172.88, p = 6.21e-34).
Statistical comparison reported in the paper (Cohen's d, H-statistic, p-value) between the two macro clusters' OAI distributions.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... effect size (standardized mean difference) between macro M2 and M7 OAI distribut...
Projecting the DWA-level Occupational Automation Index (OAI) onto a 7-macro semantic typology produces a bipolar structure (two poles separated by a low-contrast middle band).
Authors' projection of previously computed DWA-level OAI onto a 7-cluster semantic typology and subsequent analysis of cluster structure.
high mixed Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of A... structure of macro-level OAI distribution (bipolarity between macros)
For all the hype, today's scientific AI still represents a collaborator whose imagination, outputs and judgment benefit from human grounding.
Synthesis of study findings: limited diversity in non-reasoning models, field-specific failures, weak agreement of automated evaluators with experts, and modest gains from augmentations, all supporting the conclusion that human grounding improves AI outputs and judgment.
high mixed Contemporary AI lacks the imagination to diverge or negate i... overall utility of AI as scientific collaborator (need for human grounding)
Reasoning models roam a wider hypothesis space, yet no model class spontaneously proposes null hypotheses — a move humans make more freely.
Model-output analysis comparing 'reasoning' vs 'non-reasoning' classes on hypothesis-space breadth and presence/absence of null hypotheses; human responses used as comparison.
high mixed Contemporary AI lacks the imagination to diverge or negate i... breadth of hypothesis space and frequency of null-hypothesis proposals
Coding agents already know how to navigate files, edit code, run commands, and repair outputs, but lack the simulator's executable contract (vocabulary, structural constraints, validation rules, termination conditions).
Framing/assumption presented in the paper motivating the approach (not an empirical claim).
high mixed SIGA: Self-Evolving Coding-Agent Adapters for Scientific Sim... agents' pre-existing capabilities vs missing simulator-specific contract
While net-zero targets for 2050 may be achieved, critical emission risks may appear in intermediate years and the EU may compromise its carbon‑neutral goals unless policies adapt to the accelerating digital transformation.
Scenario trajectories from the optimisation model indicating that 2050 net-zero remains attainable in some scenarios but with interim emissions overshoots; policy conclusions drawn by the authors.
high mixed Powering the Future of AI: Navigating the Trade-offs for Eur... attainment of net-zero by 2050 and interim emission risk (policy implication)
After 2030, the geography of AI infrastructure will be shaped more by firm power and system flexibility than by the mere abundance of clean energy.
Modelled spatial deployment outcomes across the 21 AI growth scenarios indicating determinant factors for infrastructure siting after 2030.
high mixed Powering the Future of AI: Navigating the Trade-offs for Eur... determinants of spatial location (geography) of AI infrastructure
There is a significant U-shaped relationship between AI application and employees' job insecurity: moderate AI application reduces insecurity, whereas excessive application heightens it.
Empirical analysis of cross-sectional self-reported questionnaire data collected from employees (411 valid responses) using regression-type analyses reported as showing a significant U-shaped relationship between AI application intensity and job insecurity.
The economic consequences of generative AI in financial markets depend critically on institutional context (regulatory and governance capacity).
Synthesis of heterogeneous treatment effects and interaction results across markets with varying governance/regulatory quality in the cross-market panel analysis.
high mixed The impact of generative AI on institutional efficiency: Reg... overall economic consequences (efficiency, liquidity, volatility) conditional on...
The paper characterises the Glassbox architecture and grounds it in a benefit eligibility scenario, identifying foundational challenges — semantic alignment, dynamic model construction, probabilistic grounding, and human governance — that must be solved to realise it at scale.
Descriptive summary of the paper's contributions and identified research/engineering challenges; based on the authors' conceptual analysis and scenario exposition.
high mixed Beyond Post-hoc Explanation: Toward Glassbox AI via Probabil... identification of foundational challenges to scalable implementation
Both risk perception and guilt play a role in GenAI adoption (they are relevant predictors of employees' intention to continue using the technology).
Empirical finding reported from the vignette experiment linking risk perception and guilt to GenAI adoption intention (paper states 'highlight the role of both risk perception and guilt in GenAI adoption').
high mixed The Role Of Embeddedness In Generative Ai Adoption: A Perspe... intention to continue using GenAI (adoption intention)
The effect of embeddedness (GenAI being integrated into internal software environments) on employees depends on the presence of organizational authorization.
Reported empirical result from the vignette experiment indicating an interaction effect between embeddedness and organizational authorization (text states 'the effect of embeddedness depends on the presence of organizational authorization').
high mixed The Role Of Embeddedness In Generative Ai Adoption: A Perspe... occurrence of guilt and risk perception (interaction effect)
This research employed a vignette experiment to investigate how the embeddedness of GenAI and organizational authorization impact employees' negative emotion (specifically guilt) and risk perception.
Stated method in paper: a vignette experiment was used to test effects on guilt and risk perception. (No sample size reported in the provided text.)
The research contrasts tool-shaping (AI behavior/prototype) and mind-shaping (user strategy training) pathways and reports differing effects between them.
Paper presents both a tool-shaping experiment (Study 1) and a mind-shaping experiment (Study 2) and discusses comparative findings across these pathways.
high mixed Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... differences in outcomes (information elaboration and cognitive load) between too...
Cognitive flexibility is examined as a moderator (boundary condition) of the interventions' effects.
Paper reports including cognitive flexibility as an individual-differences moderator in analyses across the two studies (moderation analysis planned/reported).
high mixed Shaping The Tool Or Shaping The Mind: An Investigation Of Du... moderation of intervention effects by cognitive flexibility (on information elab...
Reasoning scaffolds (public tools, playbook, verifier, objectivity policy, red-team) improve calibration and audit discipline, but proprietary evidence sets the upper bound of what the AI Scientist can know and therefore decide.
Synthesis of experimental results showing B improved calibration/audit metrics while C (with proprietary data) markedly increased coverage and informed decision-quality.
high mixed AI Scientists Are Only as Good as Their Evidence: A Stratifi... calibration/audit discipline improvements vs. upper bound of knowledge/decision ...