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Home Papers Evidence Explore Trends Syntheses Digests About 🎲 Workforce Futures
Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (7560 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
Clear
Human Ai Collab Remove filter
The divergence in collective outputs is not driven by participants abandoning AI, but by how participants use it.
Behavioral/usage data from the RCT indicating continued AI use across incentive conditions and differing usage patterns (no sample size or quantitative metrics provided in excerpt).
high null result Incentives shape how humans co-create with generative AI continued use of AI (vs. abandonment)
We evaluated EcoAssist through benchmarks of 500 websites and a controlled study with 20 developers.
Explicit methodological statement in paper: benchmark sample size = 500 websites; user study sample size = 20 developers.
high null result EcoAssist: Embedding Sustainability into AI-Assisted Fronten... evaluation sample sizes (benchmarks and controlled study)
Functional correctness (test-based correctness) exhibits negligible statistical association with design satisfaction.
Statistical analysis reported in experiments comparing test pass (functional correctness) and design-satisfaction labels produced by verifier; paper states negligible association.
high null result Does Pass Rate Tell the Whole Story? Evaluating Design Const... association between functional correctness and design satisfaction
The authors build a dynamic model of public good provision in which agents contribute by solving problems posted on a public platform and accumulated solutions form a depreciating public archive.
Methodological claim in the paper — statement that a dynamic theoretical model is constructed; this is a description of the paper's method.
high null result When AI Improves Answers but Slows Knowledge Creation: Match... structure of contributions and archive dynamics (model object)
We conducted a systematic review and bibliometric analysis of 627 articles.
Statement in abstract reporting a systematic review and bibliometric analysis; sample size explicitly given as 627 articles.
high null result Advancing Decision-Making through AI-Human Collaboration: A ... number of articles reviewed / literature corpus
Injecting generic green language into prompts has no reliable effect.
Controlled prompting experiments reported in the benchmark comparing prompts with 'generic green language' to other prompt types; claim of no reliable effect on measured footprint (no numerical statistics given in abstract).
high null result On the Carbon Footprint of Economic Research in the Age of G... carbon footprint / runtime of the workflow under 'green language' prompts
This paper has been accepted at PEARC 2026.
Statement in the paper indicating conference acceptance.
The University's GIS Center Ecological Archive (849 curated datasets) serves as a single-agent baseline deployment of EnviSmart.
Reported deployment dataset count provided in the paper: 849 curated datasets used as a single-agent baseline.
high null result Exploring Robust Multi-Agent Workflows for Environmental Dat... number of curated datasets in baseline deployment
The study employed a mixed-methods approach: a quantitative survey of 150 leading Nigerian firms across finance, tech, and manufacturing, complemented by qualitative analysis of government policy and workforce interviews.
Methodological statement in the paper explicitly describing sample and methods (quantitative survey n=150; qualitative policy and interviews).
high null result Human Capital and the AI-Powered Future of Work: (Training, ... methodology (survey and qualitative analysis)
The governance calibration problem — balancing control with the autonomy that gives agentic AI its value — emerges as the STS joint optimization challenge: governance must simultaneously enable and constrain autonomous operation.
Authors' synthesis and theoretical claim based on STS analysis and identified tensions between autonomy benefits and control needs in the literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION governance_calibration_challenge
Agentic AI transformation barriers constitute an interdependent sociotechnical system rather than isolated obstacles.
Interpretive conclusion drawn from STS mapping and cross-barrier interaction analysis across the reviewed literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION interdependence_of_barriers
Governance serves as the social subsystem's primary mechanism for managing the technical subsystem.
Interpretation from STS analysis in the review: authors identify governance as the key social mechanism constraining/enabling technical subsystem behavior.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION role_of_governance_between_subsystems
STS mapping based on root-cause analysis revealed that 12 barriers originate in the technical subsystem and 17 in the social subsystem.
Authors' STS mapping of the 29 barriers to subsystem origins (technical vs. social) as derived from their root-cause analysis of the coded literature.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION subsystem_origin_of_barriers
Twenty-nine barriers were identified and classified into five dimensions: technological (7), organizational (7), human (6), governance and regulatory (4), and economic (5).
Results of inductive coding of the 30-source literature corpus yielding 29 distinct barriers and reported counts per dimension.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION number_and_classification_of_barriers
Sociotechnical Systems (STS) theory was applied as an interpretive lens to map dimensions onto social and technical subsystems and analyze cross-subsystem interactions.
Self-reported analytic approach: application of STS theory to the coded barriers to map origins and interactions across subsystems.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION analytic_framework_application
Barriers were identified inductively through open and axial coding.
Self-reported qualitative method: inductive thematic analysis using open and axial coding on the literature corpus.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION analytic_method
A critical narrative literature review of 30 sources (2019–2026) was conducted.
Self-reported study method: critical narrative literature review; sample_size = 30 sources published between 2019 and 2026.
high null result BARRIERS TO AGENTIC AI ENTERPRISE TRANSFORMATION study_design
AIGC and HGC exhibit distinct creation behaviors and consumption behaviors.
Descriptive comparisons in the longitudinal dataset showing differences in production rates, content volumes, and consumption patterns between AIGC and HGC.
high null result Scale over Preference: The Impact of AI-Generated Content on... creation behavior (upload frequency/volume) and consumption behavior (views/enga...
The paper uses a comprehensive longitudinal dataset comprising tens of millions of users from a leading Chinese video-sharing platform.
Statement in paper summarizing data source: a longitudinal dataset covering 'tens of millions of users' from a major Chinese video-sharing platform; used for descriptive and comparative analyses of creation and consumption behavior.
high null result Scale over Preference: The Impact of AI-Generated Content on... dataset coverage (number of users observed)
Increasing reasoning effort (low, medium, high) provides no consistent benefit to estimation performance.
Controlled variation of each model's reasoning effort (low/medium/high) while asking them to produce 95% credible intervals for population statistics.
high null result Bayesian Elicitation with LLMs: Model Size Helps, Extra "Rea... impact of prompting/reasoning effort on estimate accuracy and calibration
These chats were committed to public repositories as part of routine development, capturing in-the-wild behavior.
Data collection method: analysis of chat transcripts that were committed to public repositories (authors state collected from repos and describe them as routine commits).
high null result Programming by Chat: A Large-Scale Behavioral Analysis of 11... degree to which collected chats represent in-the-wild developer behavior (public...
We analyze 74,998 developer messages from 11,579 chat sessions across 1,300 repositories and 899 developers using Cursor and GitHub Copilot.
Reported dataset counts in the paper (message, session, repository, developer counts) drawn from public commit histories of chats.
high null result Programming by Chat: A Large-Scale Behavioral Analysis of 11... number of developer messages / chat sessions / repositories / developers analyze...
As advanced artificial systems become more autonomous participants in these processes, the resulting interaction space begins to resemble a new kind of ecosystem in which diverse agents exchange information, cooperate, compete, and jointly explore complex adaptive landscapes.
Conceptual argument presented in the paper drawing on theories of adaptive systems and collective intelligence; no empirical test or dataset reported.
high null result A Case for Coevolution structure of interaction space (ecosystem-like properties among agents)
Human and artificial agents are increasingly interacting within a shared informational environment that shapes economic activity, scientific discovery, governance, and collective decision making.
Statement in paper's introduction; based on observational/phenomenological claim and citation-less framing (conceptual assertion rather than empirical analysis). No sample or empirical method reported.
high null result A Case for Coevolution degree of interaction within a shared informational environment
Conventional microeconomic models often treat interactions between algorithmic platforms and workers as static principal-agent problems.
Literature statement in paper (conceptual framing / literature review); no empirical sample reported.
high null result THE RED QUEEN in the DASHBOARD: CO-EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS of ... characterization of theoretical models (static principal-agent framing)
We introduce the Agentic Task Exposure (ATE) score, a composite measure computed algorithmically from O*NET task data using calibrated adoption parameters (not a regression estimate), incorporating AI capability scores, workflow coverage factors, and logistic adoption velocity.
Methodological description in the paper; algorithmic construction from O*NET task data with specified calibrated adoption parameters and components (AI capability scores, workflow coverage, logistic adoption).
high null result Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement: A Multi-Regional T... NA (methodological construct for measuring exposure/adoption)
Code authoring and review are only a small part of the larger software engineering process; the resulting code must also be maintained and updated over time.
Conceptual/argumentative claim presented in the paper to motivate longitudinal analysis (not presented as an empirical estimate from the dataset).
high null result Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Ac... relative share of authoring/review versus maintenance in software development (c...
We offer several longitudinal estimates of survival and churn rates for agent-generated versus human-authored code.
Longitudinal analysis reported in the paper comparing survival and churn for agent-generated and human-authored code over time using the dataset (paper states these estimates were produced).
high null result Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Ac... survival rates and churn rates of code contributions
We compare five popular coding agents, including OpenAI Codex, Claude Code, GitHub Copilot, Google Jules, and Devin, examining how their usage differs in various development aspects such as merge frequency, edited file types, and developer interaction signals, including comments and reviews.
Comparative analysis across agents using the constructed dataset of ~110,000 PRs (paper states these five agents were compared on metrics like merge frequency, edited file types, and interaction signals).
high null result Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Ac... merge frequency, edited file types, developer interaction signals (comments, rev...
We construct a novel dataset of approximately 110,000 open-source pull requests, including associated commits, comments, reviews, issues, and file changes, collectively representing millions of lines of source code.
Descriptive dataset construction reported in the paper (stated sample size ~110,000 PRs including commits, comments, reviews, issues, file changes; representing millions of lines of code).
high null result Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Ac... number of pull requests and total lines of source code in dataset
This study uses semi-structured interviews with 10 practitioners to examine perceptions of collaborating with human versus AI teammates.
Methods statement in the paper: semi-structured interviews; sample size explicitly reported as 10 practitioners.
high null result Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... methodological description (data collection approach)
Society 5.0 and Industry 5.0 call for human-centric technology integration, but the concept lacks an operational definition that can be measured, optimized, or evaluated at the firm level.
Motivating claim grounded in literature gap analysis presented in the paper (argument that normative frameworks lack formal, operational metrics at firm level).
high null result From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... operationalizability/measurability of 'human-centricity' at firm level
We propose the Workplace Augmentation Design Index (WADI), a 36-item theory-grounded instrument for diagnosing human-centricity at the firm level.
Instrument design/proposal presented in the paper (36 items mapped to the five workplace-design dimensions); no validation sample reported in the abstract.
high null result From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... diagnosis/measurement of firm-level human-centric workplace design
We conducted a PRISMA-guided systematic review of 120 papers (screened from 6,096 records) to map the evidence base for each workplace-design dimension.
Systematic literature review using PRISMA protocol; final sample = 120 papers; initial records screened = 6,096.
high null result From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... coverage/evidence for each workplace-design dimension in the literature
Existing models of human-AI complementarity treat the augmentation function phi(D) as exogenous and thus ignore that two firms with identical technology investments can achieve radically different augmentation outcomes depending on workplace organization.
Argument based on literature review of prior models (the paper contrasts its approach with existing complementarity models). No new empirical sample reported for this specific claim.
high null result From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... augmentation outcomes (human-AI augmentation productivity)
The review employed a systematic analysis of multidisciplinary studies (qualitative, quantitative, and bibliometric) focused on agentic AI technologies in financial domains, covering literature published up to mid-2024.
Stated methodology of the paper (systematic review description).
high null result A Comparative & Systematic Review of Literature on the I... scope and methods of the review itself
A subset of four datasets included settings in which the AI provided explanations of its decision.
Paper states that four of the datasets involved AI explanations (explicitly stated in abstract).
high null result Beyond AI advice -- independent aggregation boosts human-AI ... presence_of_AI_explanation
The study compared HCT to the AI-as-advisor approach using 10 datasets from various domains, including medical diagnostics and misinformation discernment.
Paper reports an empirical comparison across 10 datasets spanning multiple domains (explicitly stated in abstract).
The hybrid confirmation tree (HCT) elicits a human judgment and an AI judgment independently; if they agree that decision is accepted, and if they disagree a second human breaks the tie.
Description of the HCT method in the paper (procedural/design specification).
The user study had N=50 participants.
Reported user study sample size (N=50) used to evaluate AI-assisted intent expansion in ecologically valid settings.
high null result Structured Intent as a Protocol-Like Communication Layer: Cr... user study sample size
Under the current evaluation resolution, 5W3H, CO-STAR, and RISEN achieve similarly high goal-alignment scores, suggesting that dimensional decomposition itself is an important active ingredient.
Controlled comparison between three structured frameworks (5W3H, CO-STAR, RISEN) across the evaluated outputs, with no meaningful differences reported between them.
The study evaluated 3,240 model outputs (3 languages x 6 conditions x 3 models x 3 domains x 20 tasks) using an independent judge (DeepSeek-V3).
Reported experimental design and evaluation: 3 languages, 6 conditions, 3 models, 3 domains, 20 tasks; judged by DeepSeek-V3.
high null result Structured Intent as a Protocol-Like Communication Layer: Cr... number of model outputs evaluated / evaluation procedure
The paper frames the LLM-politician relationship through principal-agent theory and bounded rationality, conceptualizing the legislator as a principal delegating advisory tasks to a boundedly rational agent under structural information asymmetry.
Explicit theoretical framing described in the introduction or theory section of the paper.
Model outputs were evaluated using a dual framework combining LLM-as-Judge semantic scoring and programmatic text similarity metrics.
Paper describes the evaluation methodology: semantic scoring via LLM-as-Judge plus programmatic text similarity measures applied to model-generated rationales vs official memoranda.
high null result Can Commercial LLMs Be Parliamentary Political Companions? C... evaluation method / scoring approach
Six LLMs were evaluated: GPT-5-mini, GPT-5-chat (OpenAI), Claude Haiku 4.5 (Anthropic), and Llama 4 Maverick, Llama 3.3 70B, Llama 3.1 8B (Meta).
Paper explicitly lists the six evaluated models spanning three provider families and multiple capability tiers.
The study uses a dataset of 15 Romanian Senate law proposals paired with their official explanatory memoranda (expuneri de motive).
Explicit statement in the paper describing the dataset composition: 15 Romanian Senate law proposals each paired with its official explanatory memorandum.
high null result Can Commercial LLMs Be Parliamentary Political Companions? C... dataset size / data corpus
Limitations: the Comscore data observe household internet activity on home (non-mobile) devices and do not capture offline or mobile device activities, so extrapolation to total at-home activities should be done with caution.
Authors' explicit limitation discussion in paper stating data do not include mobile devices or offline activities.
high null result https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03144 data coverage (mobile/offline activities not observed)
ChatGPT adoption leaves the total time spent on productive online activities (including any time spent using ChatGPT) unchanged.
Same IV long-difference estimates as above; authors state 'leaving time spent on productive digital tasks unchanged' and that total productive activity time does not decline significantly.
high null result https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03144 total time spent on productive online activities
The analysis uses detailed Internet browsing microdata from over 200,000 U.S. households' home devices from 2021 to 2024.
Comscore web browsing panel described in paper; authors state dataset covers 'over 200,000 U.S. households' across 2021-2024; data provides timestamps, visit durations, URLs, demographic bins, etc.
high null result https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03144 size and coverage of browsing panel
We release the anonymized dataset and analysis with a new query intent taxonomy to inform future designs of real-world AI research assistants and to support realistic evaluation.
Paper states that the anonymized Asta Interaction Dataset, accompanying analysis, and a new query intent taxonomy are being released publicly.
high null result Understanding Usage and Engagement in AI-Powered Scientific ... data and taxonomy release