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Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (7560 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
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Using a stylised inpatient capacity signalling example and minimal game-theoretic reasoning, task optimisation alone is unlikely to change system outcomes when incentives are unchanged.
Theoretical analysis using a stylised inpatient capacity signalling example and game-theoretic reasoning presented in the paper (no empirical data/sample reported in the abstract).
high negative Incentives, Equilibria, and the Limits of Healthcare AI: A G... system-level outcomes in healthcare (response to task optimisation interventions...
Deployment of AI systems carries significant costs including ongoing costs of monitoring and it is unclear whether optimism of a deus ex machina solution is well-placed.
Conceptual/argumentative claim made by the authors in the paper (no empirical study or sample size reported in the abstract).
high negative Incentives, Equilibria, and the Limits of Healthcare AI: A G... costs and uncertainty associated with AI deployment (including monitoring costs)
Cross-equipment generalization is poor, with 42.7% performance on held-out datasets.
Paper reports held-out dataset evaluation showing 42.7% (presumably accuracy or task completion) for cross-equipment generalization.
high negative PHMForge: A Scenario-Driven Agentic Benchmark for Industrial... held-out dataset performance (cross-equipment generalization)
Multi-asset reasoning causes a 14.9 percentage point degradation in performance.
Paper reports a 14.9 percentage point performance degradation attributed to multi-asset reasoning in comparative analyses.
high negative PHMForge: A Scenario-Driven Agentic Benchmark for Industrial... performance degradation (percentage points) when reasoning across multiple asset...
There are systematic failures in tool orchestration, with 23% incorrect sequencing.
Paper reports a measured incorrect sequencing rate of 23% during evaluation of agent tool orchestration across scenarios.
high negative PHMForge: A Scenario-Driven Agentic Benchmark for Industrial... rate of incorrect tool sequencing
Even top-performing configurations achieve only 68% task completion.
Reported aggregated performance result from the benchmark evaluation across the tested frameworks and LLMs (paper statement). The benchmark contains 75 scenarios (used as evaluation instances).
Enterprise adoption of LLMs is constrained by hallucination, domain drift, and the inability to enforce regulatory compliance at the reasoning level.
Framed as the motivating problem in the paper's introduction/abstract (conceptual claim; no empirical test reported here).
high negative Ontology-Constrained Neural Reasoning in Enterprise Agentic ... hallucination / domain drift / regulatory compliance at reasoning level
Specific occupations such as credit analysts, judges, and sustainability specialists reach ATE scores of 0.43-0.47 by 2030.
Reported model outputs / ATE score estimates for individual occupations within the paper's 2025-2030 regional application.
high negative Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement: A Multi-Regional T... ATE score (automation exposure) for named occupations
Applying the ATE framework across five major US technology regions (Seattle-Tacoma, San Francisco Bay Area, Austin, New York, and Boston) over a 2025-2030 horizon, 93.2% of the 236 analyzed occupations across six information-intensive SOC groups cross the moderate-risk threshold (ATE >= 0.35) in Tier 1 regions by 2030.
Modeling/application of the ATE score to O*NET-derived tasks for 236 occupations in six SOC groups across five named US regions with forecasts for 2025-2030; explicit numeric result reported (93.2%).
high negative Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement: A Multi-Regional T... proportion of occupations crossing ATE moderate-risk threshold (automation expos...
Agentic AI systems execute end-to-end workflows (multi-step reasoning, tool invocation, autonomous decision-making) and substantially expand occupational displacement risk beyond what existing task-level analyses capture.
Theoretical extension of the Acemoglu-Restrepo task exposure framework described in the paper; conceptual argument contrasting prior automation (subtask substitution) with agentic AI (end-to-end workflow automation). No empirical sample size reported for this conceptual claim.
high negative Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement: A Multi-Regional T... occupational displacement risk (automation exposure)
Agent contributions are associated with more churn over time compared to human-authored code.
Longitudinal comparison between agent-generated and human-authored contributions reported in the paper (churn/survival estimates described; association between agent contributions and higher churn asserted).
high negative Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Ac... code churn rate over time (agent-generated vs human-authored)
Practitioners identified specific functional deficiencies in AI: inability to maintain sustained partnerships.
Theme from semi-structured interviews with 10 practitioners; cited as an example of the functional gap.
high negative Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... AI capability to maintain sustained collaborative partnerships
Practitioners identified specific functional deficiencies in AI: inability to adapt contextually.
Theme from semi-structured interviews with 10 practitioners; cited as an example of the functional gap.
high negative Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... AI capability for contextual adaptation in collaborative work
Practitioners identified specific functional deficiencies in AI: inability to negotiate responsibilities.
Theme from semi-structured interviews with 10 practitioners; cited as an example of the functional gap.
high negative Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... AI capability to negotiate responsibilities in teamwork
Practitioners currently view AI models as intellectual teammates rather than social partners and expect fewer SEI attributes from them than from human teammates.
Qualitative findings from semi-structured interviews with 10 software practitioners reported in the study.
high negative Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... practitioners' expectations of SEI attributes in AI versus human teammates
Current AI systems lack SEI capabilities that humans bring to teamwork, creating a potential gap in collaborative dynamics.
Framed as background/context in the paper; asserted rather than empirically tested in this study.
high negative Bridging the Socio-Emotional Gap: The Functional Dimension o... presence of SEI capabilities in AI systems (vs. humans)
Informal workers cannot capture augmentation rents: the estimated coefficient for H^A in informal sector is negative (beta_2 = -0.044).
Subsample or interaction estimate from the augmented Mincer regression using the same merged dataset (N = 105,517); reported coefficient beta_2 = -0.044 for informal workers.
high negative Augmented Human Capital: A Unified Theory and LLM-Based Meas... wages (return to H^A for informal workers)
New mechanisms of surplus value distribution operate in platform-based business models and through AI-mediated processes.
Analytical/theoretical argumentation and literature synthesis in the conceptual paper (no empirical validation reported).
high negative The labor theory of value in the era of artificial intellige... mechanisms of surplus value distribution
Task orchestration is the most under-researched dimension among the five workplace-design components.
Finding from the PRISMA-guided systematic review of 120 papers, which mapped coverage across the five dimensions and identified task orchestration as having the least research attention.
high negative From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... volume/coverage of research on task orchestration
Decision authority allocation emerges as the binding constraint for Society 5.0 transitions.
Result synthesized from the systematic review and theoretical analysis mapping the five workplace-design dimensions; stated as the binding constraint in the paper's findings.
high negative From Automation to Augmentation: A Framework for Designing H... constraint on transitions to human-centric (Society 5.0) technology integration
The literature shows persistent gaps in empirical validation, standardized evaluation methods, and sector-specific comparative analyses of agentic AI in financial services.
Review-level assessment noting limited empirical studies, heterogeneous evaluation metrics, and few direct cross-sector comparisons up to mid-2024.
high negative A Comparative & Systematic Review of Literature on the I... availability/quality of empirical validation and evaluation standards
Significant implementation barriers persist, notably workforce transformation challenges, legacy system integration difficulties, and trust deficits.
Thematic synthesis across empirical and conceptual papers in the review reporting implementation barriers and change management issues.
high negative A Comparative & Systematic Review of Literature on the I... implementation barriers (workforce, legacy systems, trust)
Ethical concerns—including bias, lack of transparency, and regulatory compliance risks—remain critical for agentic AI in financial services and necessitate layered governance and human-AI collaboration.
Collation of ethical, legal, and governance issues reported across the reviewed multidisciplinary studies and normative discussions.
high negative A Comparative & Systematic Review of Literature on the I... prevalence/severity of ethical and regulatory risks and governance needs
Insurance is comparatively underrepresented in the literature and in reported agentic AI deployments compared with banking and investment.
Review finding (counts/themes across included studies indicating fewer studies/applications in insurance relative to banking and investment).
high negative A Comparative & Systematic Review of Literature on the I... relative representation/adoption across financial subsectors
When predictions from the two sources conflict, the AI agent aligns more frequently with the prompt, despite its lower accuracy.
Analysis of cases where prompt-based and revealed-data-based AI predictions differed; reported frequency with which the AI's action matched the prompt versus the revealed-preference prediction.
high negative Should I State or Should I Show? Aligning AI with Human Pref... frequency of AI alignment with prompt versus revealed-preference prediction in c...
Task complexity shapes substitution: low-complexity tasks see high substitution, while high-complexity tasks favor limited partial automation.
Calibration of the model to O*NET tasks + expert survey + GPT-4o decompositions; implementation results reported for computer vision showing substitution varies with task complexity.
high negative Economics of Human and AI Collaboration: When is Partial Aut... degree of labor substitution as a function of task complexity
AI systems exhibit predictable but diminishing returns to data, compute, and model size (scaling-law experiments), implying the cost of higher accuracy is convex: good performance may be inexpensive, but near-perfect accuracy is disproportionately costly.
Scaling-law experiments estimating performance as a function of data, compute, and model size; described experimental estimation of production function.
high negative Economics of Human and AI Collaboration: When is Partial Aut... marginal returns to inputs (data, compute, model size) and marginal cost of accu...
Under low emotional intelligence, the model predicts higher risks of over-reliance on AI, emotionally detached communication, and weaker delegation quality.
Theoretical predictions derived from the EI-moderated human–AI model presented in the paper.
high negative LEADER EMOTIONAL INTELLIGENCE IN THE GENERATIVE AI ERA: “HUM... delegation quality (and over-reliance / communication quality)
The common claim that generative AI simply amplifies the Dunning–Kruger effect is too coarse to capture the available evidence.
Paper's synthesis of heterogenous empirical findings from human–AI interaction, learning research, and model evaluation used to critique the uniform-amplification interpretation; no single empirical countertest reported.
high negative Beyond the Steeper Curve: AI-Mediated Metacognitive Decoupli... validity of the 'amplified Dunning–Kruger' interpretation
LLM use degrades metacognitive accuracy and flattens the classic competence–confidence gradient across skill groups (i.e., reduces calibration and narrows differences in self-assessed confidence by skill level).
Synthesis of studies from human–AI interaction and learning research reported in the paper that document worsened calibration and a reduction in the competence–confidence gradient when users rely on LLM outputs; the paper does not report a single combined sample size.
high negative Beyond the Steeper Curve: AI-Mediated Metacognitive Decoupli... metacognitive accuracy / calibration and competence–confidence gradient
The authors introduce the concept of 'cascading bounded rationality' to describe how failures compound across bounded principals, agents, and evaluators.
Paper explicitly coins and defines the concept 'cascading bounded rationality' as part of its theoretical contribution.
high negative Can Commercial LLMs Be Parliamentary Political Companions? C... conceptual risk of compounded failures
Open-weight models cluster a full tier below the frontier models (Cohen's d larger than 1.4).
Between-group comparison reported in the paper showing a large standardized effect (Cohen's d > 1.4) separating frontier models from open-weight Meta models across the semantic closeness metric.
high negative Can Commercial LLMs Be Parliamentary Political Companions? C... semantic closeness score difference (frontier vs open-weight)
Azar et al. (2023) show that monopsonistic employers have stronger incentives to automate and document that US commuting zones with higher labor market concentration experienced more robot adoption.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Azar et al. (2023); empirical analysis across US commuting zones (no sample size provided here).
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES robot adoption correlated with labor market concentration; incentives to automat...
Acemoglu and Restrepo (2022) attribute 50–70% of the increase in US wage inequality between 1980 and 2016 to displacement of workers from tasks by automation.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Acemoglu and Restrepo (2022)'s attribution of the rise in wage inequality to automation-driven task displacement.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES contribution of automation-driven displacement to rise in wage inequality (1980–...
Dechezleprêtre et al. (2025) exploit Germany's Hartz reforms to estimate an elasticity of automation innovation to low-skill wages of 2–5 at the firm level.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Dechezleprêtre et al. (2025)'s empirical estimate (elasticity 2–5); the paper states this was estimated at the firm level.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES elasticity of automation innovation to low-skill wages
Eloundou et al. (2024) predict that half of US jobs are significantly exposed to recent advances in generative AI.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Eloundou et al. (2024)'s prediction; no sample size provided in the excerpt.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES share of US jobs exposed to generative AI
When employers have monopsony power, they choose technologies that expand this power beyond what a social planner would consider optimal.
Model results on monopsonistic employer incentives and their technological choices; discussion supported by citations.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES expansion of monopsony power via technological choice
Profit-maximizing firms pursue innovations that erode workers' market power by making them more easily replaceable, even at the expense of production efficiency; a social planner who values worker welfare would employ technologies that preserve workers' market power.
Theoretical analysis of interactions between technological choice and market power; supported by cited empirical evidence (e.g., Azar et al. 2023) in the paper.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES choice of innovation affecting workers' market power / production efficiency tra...
A welfare-maximizing planner would choose to automate fewer tasks than production efficiency would dictate when workers' welfare is heavily weighted.
Model analysis of welfare-maximizing automation level compared to production-efficient automation; analytical result in the automation application.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES extent/level of task automation chosen
Observed declines in browsing time due to ChatGPT adoption are concentrated in website categories such as search and news, which are highly exposed to substitution by generative AI.
Category-level browsing time changes across website classification; concentration of declines in categories identified as highly overlap-exposed to chatbot capabilities using web-scraping and LLM site-level overlap classification.
high negative https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03144 browsing time on search and news website categories
High-income and younger households adopt generative AI substantially faster than low-income and older counterparts, and this gap is widening over time ('generative AI divide').
Descriptive heterogeneity analysis using Comscore household demographics (income and age bins) and observed adoption trajectories across 2021–2024; authors report widening gap rather than convergence.
high negative https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03144 heterogeneity in adoption rates by income and age (inequality in adoption)
Most of today's agents remain isolated tools or closed-ecosystem orchestrators rather than socially integrated participants in open networks.
Author claim/assessment presented as current-state analysis; no empirical breakdown or study sample provided in the text.
high negative Synergy: A Next-Generation General-Purpose Agent for Open Ag... degree of social integration / openness of agent deployments
Prominent studies predict substantial job displacement due to automation.
Paper asserts this as background, referencing the existence of prominent studies in the literature (no specific citations or sample sizes provided in the abstract).
high negative AI Civilization and the Transformation of Work job losses / displacement
For organizations of n humans with AI agents, the optimal team size decreases with agent capability.
Derived implication from the stylized model's analysis of multi-human organizations interacting with AI agents.
high negative The Novelty Bottleneck: A Framework for Understanding Human ... optimal team size as a function of agent capability
There is no smooth sublinear regime for human effort; it transitions sharply from O(E) to O(1) with no intermediate scaling class.
Mathematical derivation from a stylized model of human-AI collaboration that assumes tasks decompose into atomic decisions, a fraction ν are novel, and specification/verification/error correction scale with task size.
high negative The Novelty Bottleneck: A Framework for Understanding Human ... human effort scaling (human time/effort required as task size E grows)
So far the maintenance and migration work was done largely manually by human experts.
Background assertion in the paper's introduction/abstract; no empirical backing provided in abstract.
high negative A Multi-agent AI System for Deep Learning Model Migration fr... degree of manual effort for model maintenance and migration historically
Performance degradation persists even when context is provided via structured semantic layers including AST-extracted function context and import graph resolution.
Experiments comparing unstructured versus structured context provision; structured semantic layers (AST context, import graph resolution) were evaluated and models still degraded with more context.
high negative SWE-PRBench: Benchmarking AI Code Review Quality Against Pul... model detection/performance when given structured semantic context
Models' performance degrades monotonically from diff-only (config_A) to diff+file content (config_B) to full context (config_C) across all 8 models.
Systematic ablation across three frozen context configurations (config_A, config_B, config_C) reported; all 8 evaluated models show monotonic performance decline as more context is provided.
high negative SWE-PRBench: Benchmarking AI Code Review Quality Against Pul... model performance score across context-provision configurations
Eight frontier models detect only 15–31% of human-flagged issues on the diff-only configuration (config_A).
Empirical evaluation across 8 models on SWE-PRBench (350 PRs) under the diff-only configuration; reported detection rates of 15–31% relative to human-flagged issues.
high negative SWE-PRBench: Benchmarking AI Code Review Quality Against Pul... detection rate of human-flagged issues
There is a growing gap between rapid experimentation with AI tools and limited organizational capability to institutionalize them in everyday workflows.
Argument supported by targeted literature synthesis and review of recent scholarly and institutional sources; no primary empirical sample reported in this paper.
high negative Behavioral Factors as Determinants of Successful Scaling of ... organizational capability to institutionalize AI initiatives (pilot-to-productio...