Evidence (8807 claims)
Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.
The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).
Browse by theme
Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.
Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category
Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.
| Outcome | Positive | Negative | Mixed | Null | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 870 | 233 | 116 | 1066 | 2363 |
| Governance & Regulation | 976 | 451 | 218 | 133 | 1809 |
| Organizational Efficiency | 949 | 224 | 144 | 88 | 1416 |
| Technology Adoption Rate | 764 | 287 | 141 | 122 | 1325 |
| Research Productivity | 501 | 152 | 74 | 362 | 1101 |
| Output Quality | 542 | 216 | 69 | 69 | 896 |
| Decision Quality | 387 | 198 | 94 | 54 | 740 |
| Firm Productivity | 513 | 67 | 101 | 27 | 714 |
| AI Safety & Ethics | 249 | 303 | 73 | 36 | 667 |
| Market Structure | 190 | 192 | 134 | 27 | 548 |
| Task Allocation | 243 | 77 | 91 | 36 | 452 |
| Innovation Output | 291 | 33 | 55 | 20 | 401 |
| Skill Acquisition | 206 | 72 | 65 | 21 | 364 |
| Employment Level | 133 | 63 | 115 | 22 | 335 |
| Fiscal & Macroeconomic | 153 | 79 | 52 | 32 | 323 |
| Task Completion Time | 206 | 37 | 12 | 15 | 272 |
| Firm Revenue | 179 | 52 | 29 | 5 | 266 |
| Consumer Welfare | 130 | 76 | 47 | 13 | 266 |
| Inequality Measures | 48 | 137 | 51 | 6 | 242 |
| Worker Satisfaction | 101 | 81 | 25 | 13 | 220 |
| Error Rate | 84 | 110 | 11 | 5 | 210 |
| Wages & Compensation | 98 | 47 | 30 | 10 | 185 |
| Regulatory Compliance | 88 | 73 | 17 | 7 | 185 |
| Automation Exposure | 66 | 64 | 33 | 16 | 182 |
| Team Performance | 105 | 29 | 30 | 11 | 176 |
| Training Effectiveness | 109 | 22 | 14 | 21 | 168 |
| Developer Productivity | 114 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 158 |
| Job Displacement | 12 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 127 |
| Hiring & Recruitment | 57 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 80 |
| Skill Obsolescence | 6 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 72 |
| Social Protection | 43 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 70 |
| Creative Output | 35 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 70 |
| Labor Share of Income | 18 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 57 |
| Worker Turnover | 15 | 16 | — | 4 | 35 |
| Industry | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Productivity
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The participation compression channel operates through household wealth: displacement pushes marginal households below the equity market entry cost κ, concentrating aggregate consumption risk on a shrinking investor pool and—by the Basak-Cuoco mechanism—raising the required risk premium even as fundamentals improve.
Model mechanism described in the paper: heterogeneous-agent model with an explicit market entry cost κ and reference to the Basak-Cuoco mechanism leading to a higher required risk premium when investor base shrinks.
AI can worsen financial and market performance if it crowds out normal R&D.
Paper's empirical analysis and interpretation linking AI dependence to poorer financial/market performance through displacement of standard R&D activities; presented as a study finding.
High AI dependency disclosed in financial reports does not improve firms' financial health and may even endanger it.
Empirical results drawn from the study's analysis of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers (2013–2023); statement appears in the paper's findings/conclusions.
AI dependency reduces financial safety for listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers.
Empirical analysis of a sample of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers covering 2013–2023; the paper reports data analysis showing AI dependency reduces financial safety.
Performance degradation persists even when context is provided via structured semantic layers including AST-extracted function context and import graph resolution.
Experiments comparing unstructured versus structured context provision; structured semantic layers (AST context, import graph resolution) were evaluated and models still degraded with more context.
Models' performance degrades monotonically from diff-only (config_A) to diff+file content (config_B) to full context (config_C) across all 8 models.
Systematic ablation across three frozen context configurations (config_A, config_B, config_C) reported; all 8 evaluated models show monotonic performance decline as more context is provided.
Eight frontier models detect only 15–31% of human-flagged issues on the diff-only configuration (config_A).
Empirical evaluation across 8 models on SWE-PRBench (350 PRs) under the diff-only configuration; reported detection rates of 15–31% relative to human-flagged issues.
There is a growing gap between rapid experimentation with AI tools and limited organizational capability to institutionalize them in everyday workflows.
Argument supported by targeted literature synthesis and review of recent scholarly and institutional sources; no primary empirical sample reported in this paper.
Evaluations across eight state-of-the-art multimodal models reveal that models achieved only 55.0% accuracy on help prediction.
Experimental evaluation reported in the paper comparing eight multimodal models on the Help Prediction task with reported accuracy metric.
Evaluations across eight state-of-the-art multimodal models reveal that models achieved only 44.6% accuracy on behavior state detection.
Experimental evaluation reported in the paper comparing eight multimodal models on the Behavior State Detection task with reported accuracy metric.
Ikema is a severely endangered Ryukyuan language spoken in Okinawa, Japan, with approximately 1,300 remaining speakers, most of whom are over 60 years old.
Demographic/descriptive claim reported in the paper's background (likely citing prior surveys or census estimates); the abstract states the ~1,300 speakers figure and age distribution.
The financial planning and investment management profession is undergoing a radical transformation driven by Generative AI (GenAI) and Agentic AI, creating urgent workforce displacement challenges that require coordinated government policy intervention alongside educational reform.
Author assertion in the paper's introduction/abstract; framing argument based on the paper's synthesized analysis (no empirical sample, no reported statistical test).
LLM design agents can fixate on existing paradigms and fail to explore alternatives when solving design challenges, potentially leading to suboptimal solutions (a pathology analogous to human designers).
Literature/background claim and authors' characterization of observed agent behavior; motivated the proposed metacognitive interventions. No numerical sample size reported.
Real estate pro forma development remains one of the most time-intensive functions in property investment, typically requiring twenty to forty hours per multifamily project through manual research, Excel-based modeling, and iterative scenario analysis.
Statement in paper asserting typical industry practice; not tied to the paper's controlled test. No empirical sample size or survey data reported alongside this assertion.
Traditional car-following models, such as the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM), often struggle to generalize across diverse traffic scenarios and typically do not account for fuel efficiency.
Literature-based statement within the paper motivating the study (review of limitations of traditional car-following models). No sample size reported.
Standard evaluation of LLM confidence relies on calibration metrics (ECE, Brier score) that conflate two distinct capacities: how much a model knows (Type-1 sensitivity) and how well it knows what it knows (Type-2 metacognitive sensitivity).
Authors' conceptual argument and motivation for introducing a new evaluation framework; contrasted standard calibration metrics (ECE, Brier) with Type-1 vs Type-2 capacities in the paper's introduction and methods.
Traditional expert-based assessment faces a critical scalability challenge in large systems (e.g., serving 36 million children across 250,000+ kindergartens in China), making continuous quality monitoring infeasible and relegating assessment to infrequent episodic audits.
Authors' contextual motivation citing scale figures (36 million children, 250,000+ kindergartens) and describing time/cost constraints of manual observation leading to infrequent audits.
Preliminary evaluation reveals that current foundation action models struggle substantially with professional desktop applications (~60% task failure rate).
Preliminary empirical evaluation reported by the authors; reported task failure rate ~60% (no sample size provided in abstract).
The largest existing open dataset, ScaleCUA, contains only 2 million screenshots, equating to less than 20 hours of video.
Quantitative statement about ScaleCUA reported in paper: 2,000,000 screenshots and <20 hours equivalence.
Progress toward general-purpose CUAs is bottlenecked by the scarcity of continuous, high-quality human demonstration videos.
Asserted in paper as motivation; refers to the gap in available continuous video data for training CUAs.
Reliance on massive, schema-heavy prompts results in prohibitive per-token API costs and high latency, hindering scalable production deployment.
Introductory problem statement in the paper arguing that large context prompts increase per-token API costs and latency for API-based LLMs; no quantitative study or sample size provided for this claim within the excerpt.
AI-enabled, democratised production is more likely to intensify competition and produce winner-take-most outcomes than to generate broadly distributed entrepreneurial success.
Synthesised theoretical prediction based on the unified framework (attention scarcity + free-entry dilution + superstar/preferential attachment dynamics) developed in the paper; no empirical validation provided.
When the framework is extended to include quality heterogeneity and reinforcement dynamics, equilibrium outcomes exhibit declining average payoffs.
Analytical extension of the baseline formal model to incorporate heterogeneous quality and reinforcement (preferential attachment) dynamics; theoretical derivation in the paper; no empirical sample.
In markets with near-zero marginal costs and free entry, increases in the number of producers dilute average attention and returns per producer.
Formal theoretical model introduced in the paper (Builder Saturation Effect) that assumes near-zero marginal costs, free entry, and finite human attention; no empirical sample or experimental data reported.
Agent memories currently remain private and non-transferable because there is no way to validate their value.
Descriptive assertion in the paper about current state of agent memories; no empirical survey or measurement cited.
Insufficient organizational resources significantly inhibit AI adoption in procurement (β = -0.19, p < 0.05).
Same questionnaire survey (n=326) and multiple linear regression analysis; reported coefficient β=-0.19 with p<0.05.
Measuring only technical model performance (such as predictive accuracy) is insufficient for assessing the strategic impact of AI in drug discovery.
Argued in the paper as a critique of current evaluation practices; presented as a conceptual point rather than supported by new empirical data in the excerpt.
Pressure remains high to increase the probability of success to improve the effectiveness of pharmaceutical R&D.
Asserted in the paper as motivational context for the work; framed as an industry pressure point rather than backed by a specific empirical sample or quantified survey in the excerpt.
Increasing cost and failure rates in the pharmaceutical R&D process have not fundamentally improved over the last decade.
Stated as a contextual observation in the paper's opening paragraph; presented as a summary of industry trends (no specific dataset, sample size, or citation included in the excerpt).
Without support, performance stays stable up to three issues but declines as additional issues increase cognitive load.
Empirical study / human-AI negotiation case study in a property rental scenario that varied the number of negotiated issues; the paper reports observed performance across different numbers of issues (no sample size for this specific comparison stated in the abstract).
Reliance on automated content generation introduces risks of cognitive overreliance, algorithmic bias, and strategic misalignment.
The paper articulates these risks as conceptual/qualitative concerns in its discussion; no quantitative estimates or empirical tests of these specific risks are reported in the provided excerpt.
Wide disagreement among AIs created confusion and undermined appropriate reliance on advice.
Reported experimental finding from the paper: manipulating within-panel disagreement across tasks produced wide disagreement conditions that, according to the abstract, led to confusion and reduced appropriate reliance. No quantitative metrics reported in abstract.
High within-panel consensus fostered overreliance on AI advice.
Experimental manipulation of within-panel consensus across the three tasks; the abstract reports that high consensus increased participants' reliance on AI (interpreted as overreliance). Specific measures and sample size not provided in abstract.
Improvements in AI ('better' AI) amplify the excess automation as well.
Model comparative statics: increased AI capabilities raise private incentives to automate, leading to more displacement than is socially optimal; theoretical analysis only.
More competition amplifies the excess automation (the automation arms race).
Comparative-statics result in the competitive task-based theoretical model showing increased competition raises firms' incentives to automate; no empirical sample.
The resulting loss from excess automation harms both workers and firm owners.
Welfare comparisons from the model showing negative payoff changes for workers (lower wages/less employment) and reduced owner returns when automation is excessive; theoretical analysis, no empirical data.
In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal.
Formal equilibrium analysis in the paper's theoretical competitive task-based model; comparative statics and welfare analysis (no empirical sample).
Knowing that AI-driven displacement can erode demand is not enough for firms to stop automating.
Analytical result from the paper's competitive task-based model showing firms' incentives do not internalize demand externalities; no empirical sample.
If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding the very consumer demand firms depend on.
Theoretical statement in the paper's motivating premise; no empirical sample reported (conceptual argument about aggregate demand effects when displacement outpaces reabsorption).
Fukui is Japan's least-visited prefecture.
Descriptive claim in the paper specifying the study site (Fukui) as the country's least-visited prefecture; no supporting national rankings provided in the excerpt.
We quantify an annual opportunity gap of 865,917 unrealized visits, equivalent to approximately 11.96 billion yen (USD 76.2 million) in lost revenue.
Model-based estimate produced by the DSS using the analyzed datasets and the DHDE-informed optimization; figure reported directly in the paper.
For regions experiencing demographic decline and structural stagnation, the primary risk is 'under-vibrancy', a condition where low visitor density suppresses economic activity and diminishes satisfaction.
Conceptual claim and problem framing provided by the authors (theoretical/qualitative argument in the paper).
Most research in urban informatics and tourism focuses on mitigating overtourism in dense global cities.
Author statement in introduction positioning the paper relative to existing literature; no quantitative literature review or citation counts reported in the excerpt.
Developers and experts still lack a shared view, resulting in repeated coordination, clarification rounds, and error-prone handoffs.
Observational/qualitative claim in paper describing current MSD practice (no numeric sample reported).
Even with AI coding assistants like GitHub Copilot, individual coding tasks are semi-automated, but the workflow connecting domain knowledge to implementation is not.
Qualitative observation/comparative statement in paper (no empirical sample reported).
Multidisciplinary Software Development (MSD) requires domain experts and developers to collaborate across incompatible formalisms and separate artifact sets.
Conceptual/argument in paper framing the problem (no empirical sample reported).
Only 12% of AI market value is used in physical activities.
Descriptive aggregate: authors categorize and report that 12% of estimated AI market value maps to physical activities.
Off-the-shelf implementations of DRL have seen mixed success, often plagued by high sensitivity to the hyperparameters used during training.
Statement in the paper's abstract describing observed/prior performance issues with standard DRL implementations; implies literature/empirical experience but no specific experiment/sample given in the abstract.
Coal-based energy consumption structure and a secondary-industry-dominated industrial structure significantly inhibit regional TFCP and have strong negative spatial spillovers.
Control-variable coefficients from Spatial Durbin Model on panel data (30 provinces, 2010–2023) showing statistically significant negative direct and indirect effects for coal-dominant energy structure and secondary-industry share.
Applying them to hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) embedded and Internet-of-Things (IoT) systems remains challenging due to the tight coupling between software logic and physical hardware behavior; code that compiles successfully may still fail when deployed on real devices because of timing constraints, peripheral initialization requirements, or hardware-specific behaviors.
Conceptual/engineering reasoning stated in the paper describing known HIL/IoT failure modes (no experimental quantification provided in this excerpt).