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Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (7560 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
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There exists a simple pricing strategy for the platform that covers all M tasks with wait time O(M) while paying only an O(log(M)/M) fraction of the total cost of labor.
Theoretical result from the paper's posted-price procurement model under stated assumptions on workers' estimated costs; formal analysis/proof showing existence of such a pricing strategy for general M (no empirical sample).
high negative Stochastic wage suppression on gig platforms and how to orga... fraction of total labor cost paid by the platform (platform payments / total wor...
Because the technical threshold for this transition is already crossed at modest engineering effort, the window for protective frameworks covering disclosure, consent, compensation and deployment restriction is the present, while deployment remains optional rather than infrastructural.
Authors' normative claim based on their implementation (distillation and deployment) and interpretation that modest engineering sufficed; used to argue policy urgency for disclosure/consent/compensation frameworks.
high negative The Relic Condition: When Published Scholarship Becomes Mate... need for protective policy frameworks and timing
We term this the Relic condition: when publication systems make stable reasoning architectures legible, extractable and cheaply deployable, the public record of intellectual labor becomes raw material for its own functional replacement.
Conceptual framing introduced by the authors as an interpretation of the observed results and their implications; not an empirical measurement but a named condition/argument.
high negative The Relic Condition: When Published Scholarship Becomes Mate... conceptual risk of intellectual-labor replacement derived from extractable publi...
Agency in software engineering is primarily constrained by organizational policies rather than individual preferences.
Authors' synthesis of qualitative results across the ACTA/Delphi and task/review phases indicating organizational policy factors were cited as primary constraints.
high negative From Junior to Senior: Allocating Agency and Navigating Prof... Primary source of constraint on developer agency (organizational policy vs indiv...
Existing evaluations of large language models remain limited to judgmental tasks in simple formats, such as binary or multiple-choice questions, and do not capture forecasting over continuous quantities.
Literature/benchmark critique asserted in the paper (argument that current benchmarks focus on simple judgmental formats and miss continuous numerical forecasting capabilities).
high negative QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting wit... scope/coverage of existing evaluation formats
Calibration degrades sharply at extreme magnitudes, revealing systematic overconfidence across all evaluated models.
Empirical observations from QuantSightBench evaluation showing model calibration performance as a function of magnitude (paper statement noting sharp degradation and overconfidence at extremes).
high negative QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting wit... calibration / overconfidence of prediction intervals across magnitudes
The top performers Gemini 3.1 Pro (79.1%), Grok 4 (76.4%), and GPT-5.4 (75.3%) all fall at least 10 percentage points short of the 90% coverage target.
Reported empirical coverage percentages from evaluation on QuantSightBench for the listed models (paper provides these percentage values).
high negative QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting wit... empirical coverage (prediction interval coverage) for specific models
None of the 11 evaluated frontier and open-weight models achieves the 90% coverage target.
Empirical evaluation on the newly introduced QuantSightBench benchmark across 11 frontier and open-weight models; models were assessed on empirical coverage of prediction intervals versus a 90% target (paper statement).
high negative QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting wit... empirical coverage (prediction interval coverage)
The study identified significant implementation challenges including algorithmic bias, digital divide concerns, data privacy risks, and low technology readiness among HR teams in Tier 2 cities.
Synthesis of qualitative case study findings from 4 organizations plus survey responses (N=150) reporting barriers and risks encountered during adoption.
high negative A Study on the Effectiveness of Technology-Driven Recruitmen... implementation challenges / risks
Current attack policies do not saturate LinuxArena (human-crafted attacks evade monitors at substantially higher rates than model-generated attacks, indicating headroom for attackers).
Empirical observation comparing human-crafted attacks (LaStraj) and elicited model-generated attacks; authors interpret higher human evasion rates as evidence that current automated attack policies have not saturated the challenge posed by LinuxArena.
high negative LinuxArena: A Control Setting for AI Agents in Live Producti... relative performance gap between human-crafted and model-generated attacks (impl...
LaStraj is a dataset of human-crafted attack trajectories that evade monitors at substantially higher rates than any model-generated attacks we elicited.
Authors release LaStraj and report empirical comparisons showing human-crafted trajectories evade monitors at higher rates than the model-generated attacks they tested (exact evasion rates and sample sizes not provided in the excerpt).
high negative LinuxArena: A Control Setting for AI Agents in Live Producti... monitor evasion rate of human-crafted attack trajectories versus model-generated...
Against a GPT-5-nano trusted monitor at a 1% step-wise false positive rate, Claude Opus 4.6 achieves roughly a 23% undetected sabotage success rate.
Empirical sabotage evaluation reported by the authors: monitoring a trusted monitor (GPT-5-nano) at a specified step-wise false positive rate and reporting attacking model (Claude Opus 4.6) undetected success rate. (Sample size / number of evaluated runs not provided in the excerpt.)
high negative LinuxArena: A Control Setting for AI Agents in Live Producti... undetected sabotage success rate (attacker success despite monitoring)
Current LLMs are unreliable delegates: they introduce sparse but severe errors that silently corrupt documents, compounding over long interaction.
Qualitative and quantitative analysis of errors observed across the DELEGATE-52 experiments (19 LLMs) showing sparse, high-severity, and silently introduced errors that accumulate over long workflows.
high negative LLMs Corrupt Your Documents When You Delegate error severity and silent corruption over time
Degradation severity is exacerbated by document size, length of interaction, or presence of distractor files.
Additional experiments and analyses varying document size, interaction length, and presence of distractor files reported in the paper showing increased degradation under these conditions.
high negative LLMs Corrupt Your Documents When You Delegate severity of document degradation / error rate
Agentic tool use does not improve performance on DELEGATE-52.
Additional experiments reported in the paper that compare plain LLM delegation vs. agentic tool-using configurations on DELEGATE-52 and find no performance improvement from agentic tool use.
high negative LLMs Corrupt Your Documents When You Delegate task performance on DELEGATE-52 (document quality/corruption)
Even frontier models (Gemini 3.1 Pro, Claude 4.6 Opus, GPT 5.4) corrupt an average of 25% of document content by the end of long workflows.
Reported results from the experiment evaluating 19 LLMs on DELEGATE-52; these named models are highlighted and an average corruption fraction (25%) is reported at the end of long workflows.
high negative LLMs Corrupt Your Documents When You Delegate proportion of document content corrupted
Our large-scale experiment with 19 LLMs reveals that current models degrade documents during delegation.
Large-scale experiment reported in the paper evaluating 19 LLMs on DELEGATE-52 long delegated workflows; observed document degradation across models.
high negative LLMs Corrupt Your Documents When You Delegate document degradation / output quality
Prior research has focused mainly on functional or behavioral alignment rather than moral alignment.
Asserted as a characterization of the literature in the paper (literature-review / conceptual claim; no empirical sampling or quantitative synthesis reported in the supplied text).
high negative Smart But Not Moral? Moral Alignment In Human-AI Decision-Ma... focus/themes of prior AI alignment research
Underreliance on AI might deprive software developers of potential gains in productivity and quality.
Stated in the paper and motivated by themes from twenty-two developer interviews indicating missed benefits when developers underuse LLM tools.
high negative Towards an Appropriate Level of Reliance on AI: A Preliminar... productivity and output quality
Overreliance on AI may lead to long-term negative consequences (e.g., atrophy of critical thinking skills).
Paper explicitly states this risk and grounds the discussion in findings from twenty-two developer interviews (qualitative evidence and participant-reported concerns).
high negative Towards an Appropriate Level of Reliance on AI: A Preliminar... atrophy of critical thinking skills / skill degradation
Even explicitly aligned agents exhibit intrinsic biases toward certain ethical frameworks, consistent with known left-leaning tendencies in large language models.
Empirical observation in the alignment-conditioned agents' choices and reasoning frameworks in the triage experiments; authors relate these observations to prior literature on LLM political/ideological tendencies.
high negative Beyond Arrow's Impossibility: Fairness as an Emergent Proper... intrinsic alignment bias (preference for certain ethical frameworks / ideologica...
This condition of authorship uncertainty reshapes how teams attribute ideas, negotiate accountability, and coordinate collective reasoning.
Theoretical claim based on conceptual analysis in the paper; no empirical method or sample described in the abstract.
high negative Who Gets Credit? Operationalizing AI Disclosure as Epistemic... idea attribution, accountability negotiation, collective reasoning / coordinatio...
As generative AI becomes an ambient presence in collaborative work, a new social ambiguity emerges around authorship and responsibility.
Conceptual argument presented in the paper (theoretical/observational claim). No empirical method or sample size reported in the abstract.
high negative Who Gets Credit? Operationalizing AI Disclosure as Epistemic... authorship uncertainty / attribution of responsibility
Effective clarification remains challenging in software engineering tasks as not all missing information is equally valuable, and questions must target information users can realistically provide.
Analytic claim supported by the paper's empirical study of clarification in real software engineering tasks (methods mentioned: quantifying types of information affecting task success and simulated-user question-answering; no sample size given in the abstract).
high negative Asking What Matters: Reward-Driven Clarification for Softwar... impact of missing information and answerability on task success
Large language models remain confined to linguistic simulation rather than grounded understanding.
Conceptual assertion in the paper arguing limits of current models; no empirical tests or measurements reported.
high negative Governing Reflective Human-AI Collaboration: A Framework for... grounded_understanding (absence thereof)
Fluency is not reliability: without structures that stabilise both human and model reasoning, AI cannot be trusted or governed where it matters most.
Central thesis/claim of the paper; normative argument synthesising the paper's observations and proposals rather than an empirically tested finding provided here.
high negative The Missing Knowledge Layer in AI: A Framework for Stable Hu... trustworthiness/governability of AI in high-stakes contexts
Humans often mistake fluency for reliability: when a model responds smoothly, users tend to trust it, even when both model and user are drifting together.
Behavioral/psychological assertion in the paper referencing human interaction patterns with fluent outputs; no experimental data or sample size reported in this paper excerpt.
high negative The Missing Knowledge Layer in AI: A Framework for Stable Hu... user trust in model outputs
LLMs produce fluent outputs even when their internal reasoning has drifted; a confident answer can conceal uncertainty, speculation, or inconsistency, and small changes in phrasing can lead to different conclusions.
Conceptual/observational claim presented in the paper; no original empirical test or sample size reported here.
high negative The Missing Knowledge Layer in AI: A Framework for Stable Hu... reliability/consistency of model outputs (decision quality)
Human decision makers may fail to execute optimal follow-up actions, potentially reducing overall performance.
Motivating argument in the paper (conceptual observation about human suboptimal policies in sequential decision-making).
high negative Improving Human Performance with Value-Aware Interventions: ... overall decision-making performance (expected return/value)
Stronger reasoning capabilities do not prevent LLMs from defecting in single-shot social dilemmas (i.e., models defect with or without reasoning enabled).
Authors' experiments that explicitly compared model behavior with reasoning enabled vs disabled in single-shot social dilemmas; details not provided in the excerpt.
high negative CoopEval: Benchmarking Cooperation-Sustaining Mechanisms and... cooperation/defection rates conditional on reasoning capability being enabled
Repetition-induced cooperation deteriorates drastically when co-players vary.
Authors' experimental observation comparing repeated-game cooperation under fixed vs varying co-players in their study; no quantitative metrics or sample sizes provided in the excerpt.
high negative CoopEval: Benchmarking Cooperation-Sustaining Mechanisms and... cooperation level under repeated interactions when co-players vary
Our experiments show that recent models — with or without reasoning enabled — consistently defect in single-shot social dilemmas.
Authors' experimental results comparing recent LLMs in single-shot social dilemma games, with reasoning enabled vs disabled; specific models, number of games, and sample sizes are not provided in the excerpt.
high negative CoopEval: Benchmarking Cooperation-Sustaining Mechanisms and... rate of defection (vs cooperation) in single-shot social dilemmas
Recent works report that LLMs with stronger reasoning capabilities behave less cooperatively in mixed-motive games such as the prisoner's dilemma and public goods settings.
Statement referencing prior literature (recent works) summarized in the paper's introduction/background; no specific dataset or sample size given in the excerpt.
high negative CoopEval: Benchmarking Cooperation-Sustaining Mechanisms and... cooperative behavior in mixed-motive games (e.g., prisoner's dilemma, public goo...
The opacity, fluency, and low-friction interaction patterns of LLMs obscure the boundary between human and machine contribution, leading users to infer competence from outputs rather than from the processes that generate them.
Theoretical argument grounded in prior literature on automation bias and cognitive offloading; presented as explanatory mechanism in the paper rather than an empirically tested causal estimate.
high negative The LLM Fallacy: Misattribution in AI-Assisted Cognitive Wor... user inference of competence (output-based vs process-based attribution)
The paper introduces the 'LLM fallacy,' a cognitive attribution error in which individuals misinterpret LLM-assisted outputs as evidence of their own independent competence, producing a systematic divergence between perceived and actual capability.
Conceptual/theoretical claim and formal definition offered in the paper; no empirical validation reported in the abstract.
high negative The LLM Fallacy: Misattribution in AI-Assisted Cognitive Wor... divergence between perceived competence and actual competence when using LLM out...
Efficiency (e.g., minimizing time and cost with AI-only planning) does not equal effectiveness: optimizing for efficiency can erode team cognition and reduce decision quality.
Synthesis of experimental quantitative results (time/cost vs. risk capture and rework) and qualitative assessment indicating that AI-driven efficiency can come at the expense of risk awareness and planning robustness.
high negative Cognitive Offloading in Agile Teams: How Artificial Intellig... trade-off between efficiency and decision quality / team cognition
Human-only planning incurs substantial overhead.
Same controlled experiment reporting that human-only planning produced higher time and cost overheads relative to AI-assisted approaches.
high negative Cognitive Offloading in Agile Teams: How Artificial Intellig... planning overhead (time/cost)
AI-only planning increases rework due to unstated assumptions.
Experiment measured rework rates and accompanying qualitative analysis attributing increased rework in the AI-only condition to unstated assumptions made by algorithmic planning.
AI-only planning significantly degrades risk capture rates.
Same controlled three-condition experiment on a live client deliverable; paper reports measures/qualitative indicators of risk capture rates and states degradation for AI-only condition.
Two wrong-entity mutations escaped all consumer-contributed layers; only disambiguation and confirmation mechanisms intercept this class.
Empirical observation during the 25 scenario trials spanning seven failure families in the deployed multi-tenant evaluation; the paper reports two instances of wrong-entity mutations that were not blocked by consumer-contributed protections.
high negative Bounded Autonomy for Enterprise AI: Typed Action Contracts a... wrong-entity mutation errors (escaped protections)
The unconstrained AI configuration completed only 17 of 25 tasks.
Same evaluation described above: deployed multi-tenant enterprise application, 25 scenario trials comparing unconstrained AI (safety layers disabled) against bounded autonomy and manual operation.
Conventional methods that use AI predictions as direct proxies for true labels can be inefficient or unreliable when the relationship between AI outputs and human labels is weak or misspecified.
The paper's motivation and critique of standard proxy-using approaches; asserted in the abstract as background rationale for the proposed method.
high negative Generative Augmented Inference efficiency/reliability of estimators using AI outputs as direct proxies
Asymptomatic effects of AI use evolved into chronic harms such as skill atrophy and identity commoditization among workers.
Reported longitudinal findings from the study indicating progression from asymptomatic (subtle) effects to chronic harms; abstract lists harms but provides no quantification or sample details.
high negative From Future of Work to Future of Workers: Addressing Asympto... skill atrophy and worker identity commoditization
Initial operational gains from AI use masked a phenomenon called 'intuition rust' — a gradual dulling of expert judgment.
Empirical observation reported from the year-long longitudinal study of cancer specialists (phenomenon named and described; abstract provides no quantitative measures or sample size).
high negative From Future of Work to Future of Workers: Addressing Asympto... expert judgment (intuition/clinical reasoning)
Human review remains necessary for maintainability and correct domain interpretation of generated scripts.
Qualitative finding from the mixed-method case study indicating limitations and the need for human oversight.
high negative Human-AI Collaboration for Scaling Agile Regression Testing:... maintainability and domain-correctness of test scripts
Validated test specifications accumulate faster than they are automated in many teams, limiting regression coverage and increasing manual work.
Observational claim stated in the paper as a motivating problem; likely based on industry experience and the Hacon case study context.
high negative Human-AI Collaboration for Scaling Agile Regression Testing:... regression coverage and manual testing workload
Existing AutoML methods partially alleviate this burden but remain limited to narrow aspects such as hyperparameter optimization and model selection within predefined search spaces, leaving the full development lifecycle largely dependent on human expertise.
Statement summarizing limitations of prior work (literature review/background in the paper).
high negative AIBuildAI: An AI Agent for Automatically Building AI Models scope and limitations of existing AutoML approaches
Developing high-performing AI models remains a labor-intensive process that requires expert practitioners to iteratively design architectures, engineer representations, implement training pipelines and refine approaches through empirical evaluation.
Background statement in paper's introduction; general literature context rather than a specific empirical test within this paper.
high negative AIBuildAI: An AI Agent for Automatically Building AI Models human labor intensity / need for expert practitioners in AI model development
Most AI tooling targets that fraction [the ~10% of the workday spent writing code].
Assertion made in the paper (abstract) as an observed mismatch between where AI tooling focuses and overall developer work activities.
high negative To Copilot and Beyond: 22 AI Systems Developers Want Built focus of AI tooling relative to developer time allocation
Failure analysis reveals key obstacles (such as breakdowns in cross-artifact consistency) and improvement directions for agentic AI in high-stakes professional workflows.
Qualitative/quantitative failure analysis reported in abstract identifying obstacle categories (example given: cross-artifact consistency breakdowns).
high negative BankerToolBench: Evaluating AI Agents in End-to-End Investme... types of failure modes encountered (e.g., cross-artifact consistency issues)