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Direction, evidence grade, and study type are AI-generated labels (gpt-5-mini), not human-verified. Syntheses are LLM-written. "Tensions" are machine-detected candidates, not confirmed contradictions. A research-acceleration tool, not peer review. How this is built →

Evidence (8807 claims)

Search and filter individual claims pulled from the papers. Looking for a specific finding ("what's the effect on wages?"), you're in the right place. Want to compare whole outcome categories against each other instead? Use the Evidence Explorer.

The board below groups claims two ways: by broad theme (nine paper-level topics) and by outcome category (the 34 claim-level outcomes that the Explorer and Syntheses also use).

Browse by theme

Nine broad, paper-level topics. Click one to filter the claims below.

Adoption
9875 claims
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Productivity
8807 claims
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Governance
7870 claims
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Human-AI Collaboration
7560 claims
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Org Design
4892 claims
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Innovation
4781 claims
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Labor Markets
4004 claims
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Skills & Training
3308 claims
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Inequality
2332 claims
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Claims by outcome category

Counts by direction of finding. These are the same 34 outcome categories the Explorer compares and the Syntheses are written for. A linked row has a published synthesis.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 870 233 116 1066 2363
Governance & Regulation 976 451 218 133 1809
Organizational Efficiency 949 224 144 88 1416
Technology Adoption Rate 764 287 141 122 1325
Research Productivity 501 152 74 362 1101
Output Quality 542 216 69 69 896
Decision Quality 387 198 94 54 740
Firm Productivity 513 67 101 27 714
AI Safety & Ethics 249 303 73 36 667
Market Structure 190 192 134 27 548
Task Allocation 243 77 91 36 452
Innovation Output 291 33 55 20 401
Skill Acquisition 206 72 65 21 364
Employment Level 133 63 115 22 335
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 153 79 52 32 323
Task Completion Time 206 37 12 15 272
Firm Revenue 179 52 29 5 266
Consumer Welfare 130 76 47 13 266
Inequality Measures 48 137 51 6 242
Worker Satisfaction 101 81 25 13 220
Error Rate 84 110 11 5 210
Wages & Compensation 98 47 30 10 185
Regulatory Compliance 88 73 17 7 185
Automation Exposure 66 64 33 16 182
Team Performance 105 29 30 11 176
Training Effectiveness 109 22 14 21 168
Developer Productivity 114 21 14 8 158
Job Displacement 12 90 24 1 127
Hiring & Recruitment 57 9 9 5 80
Skill Obsolescence 6 56 9 1 72
Social Protection 43 17 8 2 70
Creative Output 35 21 9 4 70
Labor Share of Income 18 21 17 1 57
Worker Turnover 15 16 4 35
Industry 1 1
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Productivity Remove filter
Artificial intelligence industry agglomeration (AIIA) has a U-shaped relationship with agricultural pollution–carbon reduction synergy (APCRS) in the full sample.
Full-sample empirical analysis using panel regressions on data for 30 provinces (2016–2024) showing a nonlinear (U-shaped) estimated relationship between AIIA and APCRS.
high mixed How Does Artificial Intelligence Industry Agglomeration Affe... APCRS (agricultural pollution–carbon reduction synergy)
The paper develops a task-to-firm conversion framework explaining why task-level GenAI productivity gains do not automatically translate into firm-level improvements.
Theoretical and conceptual contribution presented in the review, integrating multiple literatures (GPT theory, digital economics, task experiments, China studies).
high mixed Generative AI, Digital Infrastructure, and Firm Productivity... mechanisms and frictions in converting task-level gains into firm-level producti...
Despite task-level gains, GenAI produces uneven or limited firm-level productivity effects in many settings.
Review synthesizing discrepancies between task-level experiments and firm-level outcome studies, and discussion of conversion frictions in the paper.
high mixed Generative AI, Digital Infrastructure, and Firm Productivity... firm-level productivity effects (heterogeneity and limited average effects)
Generative AI (GenAI) should not be treated as a standalone productivity shock; its economic value depends on the interaction between model capability, task fit, human-AI calibration, organizational complementary assets, and regional digital infrastructure.
Conceptual framework developed in this review synthesizing literature from AI research, task-level productivity experiments, general-purpose technology theory, digital economics, and China-focused digital transformation studies; no new firm-level empirical analysis in this paper.
high mixed Generative AI, Digital Infrastructure, and Firm Productivity... conversion of task-level GenAI gains into firm-level productivity/value
The study distinguishes foundational theoretical perspectives from the contemporary 2015–2025 evidence base and clarifies the relationship between task transformation and structural transformation, emphasizing institutional complementarity as the key mechanism shaping AI-driven growth outcomes.
Analytic separation of theoretical literature and empirical studies in the structured review (2015–2025); thematic mapping linking task-level changes to broader structural transformation contingent on institutional complementarities.
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... relationship between task transformation and structural transformation (and role...
Rather than proposing a deterministic growth model, the study advances a conditional and ecosystem-centered interpretation of AI-led development.
Authors' interpretive conclusion based on their structured review and the integrative innovation-ecosystem framework synthesizing mechanisms and contextual dependencies in the 2015–2025 literature.
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... interpretation / conceptualization of AI-led development (conditional/ecosystem-...
Interpreting task-based automation models alongside endogenous-growth and open-innovation frameworks clarifies why similar AI investments may lead to divergent structural outcomes.
Theoretical synthesis combining task-based automation literature with endogenous-growth and open-innovation models, illustrated by examples from the reviewed empirical literature (2015–2025).
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... divergence in structural outcomes following similar AI investments
The paper develops an integrative innovation-ecosystem framework linking three core transmission channels: (i) total factor productivity (TFP), (ii) task reallocation and labor-market restructuring, and (iii) innovation and knowledge-generation dynamics.
Conceptual framework constructed by the authors via integrative review of theoretical and empirical literature from 2015–2025; framework synthesizes mechanisms reported across studies.
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... structural transformation via linked transmission channels (TFP, task reallocati...
Empirical evidence remains heterogeneous, and estimates of AI’s macroeconomic contribution vary across institutional and structural contexts.
Synthesis of heterogeneous empirical studies from the 2015–2025 literature identified in the structured review; comparative thematic classification highlighting variation by institutional/structural context.
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... AI's macroeconomic contribution (aggregate output / GDP impact)
AI adoption does not generate uniform or automatic growth effects.
Structured literature review / mechanism-oriented synthesis covering studies from 2015–2025; transparent search, screening and thematic classification (no formal meta-analysis).
high mixed The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose T... economic growth (macroeconomic growth effects)
The intended contribution is an Information Systems framework explaining when AI supports human augmentation and when it produces functional substitution.
Stated intended theoretical contribution in the abstract (proposed framework). This is an intended outcome rather than an empirically demonstrated result in the provided text.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... conditions determining augmentation versus functional substitution by AI
The study investigates both perceived and enacted managerial agency.
Stated measurement targets in the abstract (descriptive of dependent variables). No measurement instruments or sample reported in the provided text.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... perceived managerial agency; enacted managerial agency
The research uses a sequential multi-phase design combining experiments and qualitative fieldwork.
Stated methodology in the abstract (methodological claim about study design). No sample sizes or procedural details provided in the excerpt.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... methodological approach to studying managerial agency
The study focuses on how technological design features, including transparency and override flexibility, interact with governance structures such as accountability and incentive systems.
Stated focus of the study in the abstract (descriptive of independent variables and governance moderators). No empirical details or sample reported in the provided text.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... interaction effects of design features and governance on managerial agency
This doctoral research examines how AI-enabled decision systems affect human agency in data-driven organizations.
Stated research scope and aim in the paper (descriptive claim about the study's focus). No sample or results provided in the abstract.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... human (managerial) agency — perceived and enacted
Artificial intelligence is increasingly embedded in organizational decision-making, reshaping how managers exercise discretion and responsibility.
Stated as a background/motivation statement in the paper (literature-driven claim in the abstract). No empirical evidence or sample reported in the provided text.
high mixed Strategic Adoption of AI-Enabled Decision-Making Systems: De... managerial discretion and responsibility (human agency)
Projected yield distributions vary substantially across locations, with some lower productivity sites exhibiting yield increases under future climate scenarios.
Results from simulated climate-projection experiments across multiple locations showing heterogenous yield distribution changes, including increases in some lower-productivity sites.
high mixed From Simulation to Discovery: AI Enabled Probabilistic Emula... changes in projected yield distributions across locations under future climate s...
AI has a significant positive impact on value chain upgrading in the eastern and western regions of China, while its effect in the central region is insignificant.
Region-specific panel regressions / heterogeneity analysis using the 30-province 2010–2022 panel split by region; reported significance levels for eastern, western, and central subsamples.
high mixed The impact of artificial intelligence on value chain upgradi... value chain upgrading in the equipment manufacturing industry (by region)
There is a similar shift to agentic tooling outside OpenAI, particularly within organizations, although external adoption remains lower and more uneven.
Comparative usage analysis across three populations (external personal-account users, external organizational-account users, and OpenAI workers) from Codex logs.
high mixed The Shift to Agentic AI: Evidence from Codex adoption and distribution of agentic tooling across populations
Cluster analysis reveals diverse yet cohesive national profiles across the EU that reflect differences in digital readiness, human capital, and institutional factors.
Cluster analysis performed on country-level indicators (AI adoption, digital readiness, human capital measures, institutional factors) to group EU countries into profiles; summary reports heterogeneous but cohesive clusters; exact cluster counts and sample size not reported.
high mixed A comparative study of the relationships between AI use, emp... national profiles of digital readiness / AI-related traits (cluster membership)
Some skills generalize broadly across tasks and models, whereas others become specialized to role-specific workflows and lose effectiveness under transfer.
Analyses reported in the paper showing heterogeneous transfer behavior across the 22 procedural skills in the AFTER benchmark, with some skills showing broad cross-task and cross-model generalization and others showing role-specific specialization and reduced transfer performance.
high mixed Managing Procedural Memory in LLM Agents: Control, Adaptatio... skill transfer effectiveness (generalization versus specialization under transfe...
The Simpson's paradox in the pooled result is driven entirely by agent composition: Codex dominates 64.9% of the dataset.
Descriptive composition statistics from the AIDev dataset showing agent shares; explicit statement that Codex comprises 64.9% of dataset.
high mixed Beyond Simpson's Paradox: A Cascade of Confounders in AI Age... agent share of dataset (proportion of PRs by agent)
Better measurement matters, but improved measurement alone will not close the coordination gap between researchers and policymakers.
Authors' analytical conclusion arguing that measurement improvements are necessary but insufficient.
high mixed AI Exposure Scores: what they measure, what they miss, and w... effect of measurement improvements on research–policy coordination
This article adopts a contextual approach to technology, considering it in conjunction with the social context in which it is situated.
Methodological statement made by the author about the approach taken in the paper (contextual rather than purely technical); not an empirical claim.
high mixed New Technologies and Increase in Employment analytical approach to technology (contextual vs technical)
Longevity produces a short-run welfare loss that recedes as capital deepening raises wages, since households initially compress consumption and fertility to finance a longer retirement.
Model-derived welfare time path following a longevity shock showing initial welfare decline and subsequent recovery as aggregate capital deepens and wages rise; mechanism traced to household saving and fertility responses in simulations.
high mixed Automation and Aging in General Equilibrium: AI Capital, Fer... household welfare over time (short-run loss, subsequent recovery)
Robustness checks across the capital share, shock persistence, and the utility specification show that only an empirically implausible labor–AI elasticity reverses the wage and fertility signs.
Sensitivity/robustness analysis of model results by varying parameters (capital share, shock persistence, utility functional form) and the labor–AI elasticity, reporting conditions under which sign flips occur.
high mixed Automation and Aging in General Equilibrium: AI Capital, Fer... signs of wage and fertility responses to shocks under parameter variations
A forecast-error variance decomposition attributes most aggregate volatility to the longevity shock, while the AI shock dominates the variance of the return to AI capital.
Model-based forecast-error variance decomposition implemented on the simulated stochastic model to apportion variance of aggregate variables and the return to AI capital across shocks.
high mixed Automation and Aging in General Equilibrium: AI Capital, Fer... variance decomposition of aggregate volatility and variance of return to AI capi...
The two shocks move fertility in opposite directions: the AI shock raises fertility modestly through an income effect, while the longevity shock lowers fertility by strengthening life-cycle saving motives and increasing the cost of childrearing.
Endogenous-fertility overlapping-generations model with counterfactual simulations for AI and longevity shocks; comparative statics and simulation results regarding fertility responses and their mechanisms.
high mixed Automation and Aging in General Equilibrium: AI Capital, Fer... fertility (birth rate/children per household)
The AI shock reallocates investment from physical to AI capital.
Model simulation showing changes in investment allocation across capital types following the AI technology shock.
high mixed Automation and Aging in General Equilibrium: AI Capital, Fer... investment allocation between physical and AI capital
Stronger synchronization can increase collective output but may also increase systemic fragility and reduce mobility.
Analytical results and trade-off analysis in the model showing the effects of synchronization on collective output, fragility, and mobility; theoretical deduction without empirical sample.
high mixed Optimal Order of Multi-Agent and General Many-Body Systems organizational_efficiency
The macroeconomic significance of AI-induced productivity depends not only on technological efficiency, but also on the distributive transmission of productivity gains through labour income, disposable income, prices, investment, public expenditure, transfers and external demand.
Theoretical argument and synthesis of literature in the conceptual review (no new empirical estimation reported).
high mixed Artificial Intelligence, Labour Income and Effective Demand:... macroeconomic impact of AI-induced productivity (mediated by distributive transm...
AI-driven technological progress generates localized efficiency improvements while diffusing only weakly across the broader economy.
Synthesis of empirical results: localized positive associations between intangible capital and sectoral productivity versus weak/insignificant associations between AI patent intensity and aggregate TFP (analysis based on OECD Productivity, OECD STAN, INTAN-Invest, OECD Patents, FUAs; panel and robust regressions and descriptive work).
high mixed The Illusionary Model of Relative Economic Growth in the Era... local (sectoral) efficiency improvements and economy-wide diffusion of productiv...
LLM guidance was associated with increased pupil size variability.
Physiological eye-tracking measure (pupil size variability) reported and compared across conditions in the simulated SAR experiment.
Eye-tracking data revealed an attention-guidance trade-off: visual resources shifted to the chat interface when LLM guidance was present.
Eye-tracking measures collected during the experiment showing changes in gaze allocation (increased fixations/dwell time on the chat interface) across LLM-guided vs baseline conditions.
high mixed LLM-Mediated Human-AI Interaction in Search and Rescue: Impa... visual attention allocation (fixations/dwell time to chat interface vs environme...
The paper formalizes four mechanism theorems explaining the overhead-pressure dynamics: overhead non-additivity, augmentation-saved-time pathways, innovation-premium amplification, and human-AI dyad attribution uncertainty.
Presentation of four mechanism theorems within the paper (theoretical/mathematical exposition rather than direct empirical tests).
high mixed What Capital After Labor? Forecasting the Talent ROI Transit... mechanisms driving overhead-pressure under AI augmentation
The ICH framework predicts three distinct augmentation regimes (determined by combinations of A and C) with distinct policy implications.
Theoretical classification derived from the model; conceptual prediction presented in the paper.
high mixed Forecasting AI-Era Productivity: The Intellectually Converge... augmentation regime classification (regimes of phi behavior as functions of A an...
While AI has the potential to improve operational efficiency and strengthen adaptive capacity, inadequate readiness can increase systemic risks arising from algorithmic opacity, cybersecurity challenges, data dependence, coordination failures, and disruptions that may spread across interconnected administrative systems.
Conclusion drawn from the integrative conceptual framework and the systematic review of 68 empirical studies documenting both benefits and risks in different contexts.
high mixed AI Adoption in Local Government: Productivity, Systemic Risk... operational efficiency and systemic risk
Evidence on the productivity, risk, and resilience implications of AI adoption remains fragmented and dispersed across different fields of research.
Author's assessment of the literature based on the systematic review (PRISMA) of 68 empirical studies published 2015–2025.
high mixed AI Adoption in Local Government: Productivity, Systemic Risk... state of evidence (fragmentation across fields)
Organisational performance becomes more dependent on the reliability of algorithms, the quality of data, effective governance, and coordination among public institutions.
Conceptual argument supported by synthesis of empirical studies in the systematic review (68 peer-reviewed empirical studies).
Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming increasingly embedded in the digital infrastructure of local government, creating new opportunities to improve public sector productivity while also influencing systemic risk and organisational resilience across interconnected public systems.
Statement based on literature synthesis in the paper; theoretical framing and review of empirical studies (systematic review).
high mixed AI Adoption in Local Government: Productivity, Systemic Risk... public sector productivity and systemic risk
The endurance budget is dormant on premium 3,000-P/E TLC at datasheet prices and binding on the commodity QLC/eMMC (~1,000 P/E) that cheaper edge robots run.
Comparative statement based on device endurance specifications cited in the paper (3,000 P/E for TLC vs ~1,000 P/E for QLC/eMMC) and cost/pricing considerations; presented as boundary conditions for when the endurance budget matters. No empirical sample size reported.
high mixed Memory as a Wasting Asset: Pricing Flash Endurance for Embod... endurance_budget_binding (whether endurance constraints are economically binding...
Measured on real robot logs, the sign of the value-write association χ is a property of the deployment regime: positive on recurrent long-horizon manipulation (ĥχ ≈ +1.0 × 10^{-3}, replicated at full power), null on a shorter-horizon suite, and negative on non-recurrent teleoperation.
Empirical measurement on real robot logs at a pre-specified gate; reports an estimated value ĥχ ≈ +1.0 × 10^{-3} for recurrent long-horizon manipulation and qualitatively reports null and negative signs for other regimes. The paper states the +1.0e-3 estimate was replicated at full power. Exact sample size not reported in the excerpt.
high mixed Memory as a Wasting Asset: Pricing Flash Endurance for Embod... value-write association χ (sign and estimated magnitude)
The index is cost-optimal whatever the sign of the value-write association χ; only when χ > 0 does the optimum turn non-monotone, sending a robot's most valuable memories off its flash.
Theoretical result from the paper's model/analysis. The claim states a general optimality property (index cost-optimal for all χ) and a conditional structural result (non-monotone placement when χ>0). No empirical sample size reported.
high mixed Memory as a Wasting Asset: Pricing Flash Endurance for Embod... placement_policy_shape (monotone vs non-monotone) relative to χ
The near-term value of Agentic AI does not lie in full autonomy or workforce reduction, but in controlled partial autonomy for simple and medium complexity business processes.
Central argumentative claim/recommendation in the paper (theoretical justification; no empirical study or sample size reported).
high mixed The Integrator Advantage: Controlled Agentic AI for Small an... optimal_autonomy_level_for_value
Quantile regression estimates reveal pronounced asymmetry across the biofuel production distribution: the AI effect is substantially stronger among low-production countries (Q10–Q25 elasticities: 0.58–0.61) and statistically insignificant among high-production countries.
Quantile regression analysis reported in the paper with elasticity estimates for Q10–Q25 and significance tests across quantiles.
high mixed Digital innovation for a greener future: the role of artific... biofuel production (elasticities across quantiles)
The pattern of timing and magnitudes for publication volume and VC investment is theoretically consistent with a multi-stage technology diffusion process, implying two complementary pathways: a research output channel and a commercial adoption channel.
Interpretation based on differential lags and elasticities (2‑year lag for publications vs 1‑year for VC) and theoretical framing in discussion.
high mixed Digital innovation for a greener future: the role of artific... mechanism/pathways linking AI development to biofuel production
The effectiveness of AI in strategic core functions is contingent upon the human–AI interface.
Stated as a conditional claim in the paper—AI effectiveness depends on the quality of the human–AI interface; no empirical quantification provided in the summary.
high mixed GenAI Agency: Mediating Skill Development and Algorithmic Tr... effectiveness of AI in strategic functions
Tranquil periods lower subjective risk assessments, raise AI substitution intensity, and compound leverage, generating a cognitive Minsky moment in which subjective risk falls while true systemic fragility rises.
Derived dynamics and comparative statics in the formal model; stated as one of the paper's propositions. No empirical data.
high mixed Cognitive Debt: AI as Intellectual Leverage and the Dynamics... subjective risk assessments; AI substitution intensity; systemic fragility
The transition is in trivia count, not rate; the gap 1-α is the unrecorded mass.
Analytic argument/proof in the model showing that whether trivia allowance is finite or infinite (count) determines the phase transition in achievable coverage, and identifying 1-α as the portion of valuable mass not recorded by the literature core.
high mixed Flood and Harvest: The Provable Necessity of Trivia for Gene... dependence of coverage transition on trivia count and the size of unrecorded val...
Sharp dichotomy on the tight family: generators emitting finitely many trivia achieve optimal coverage α/2, while any infinite trivia allowance, even at vanishing rate, jumps the optimum to 1-α/2 (both tight, for cores presented as the candidate intersection), and one generator attains both ends.
Mathematical theorem(s) in the paper establishing tight upper/lower bounds on coverage for the 'tight family' under two regimes (finite trivia vs infinite trivia), expressed as functions of the core density parameter α.
high mixed Flood and Harvest: The Provable Necessity of Trivia for Gene... optimal coverage fraction of valuable statements produced by generators