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Evidence (4114 claims)

Adoption
8570 claims
Productivity
7631 claims
Governance
6869 claims
Human-AI Collaboration
6491 claims
Org Design
4175 claims
Innovation
4114 claims
Labor Markets
3566 claims
Skills & Training
2966 claims
Inequality
2066 claims

Evidence Matrix

Claim counts by outcome category and direction of finding.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 758 199 100 900 2007
Governance & Regulation 826 400 191 122 1563
Organizational Efficiency 777 193 124 84 1189
Technology Adoption Rate 635 233 124 97 1098
Research Productivity 422 128 57 336 954
Output Quality 476 179 59 47 761
Decision Quality 328 177 81 47 640
Firm Productivity 435 57 88 20 606
AI Safety & Ethics 218 277 65 33 599
Market Structure 180 170 123 24 502
Task Allocation 213 64 72 33 387
Skill Acquisition 170 61 61 17 309
Innovation Output 203 27 43 18 292
Employment Level 105 54 107 13 281
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 131 69 43 26 276
Consumer Welfare 117 63 42 11 233
Firm Revenue 153 48 26 3 230
Task Completion Time 173 31 8 12 225
Inequality Measures 44 122 49 6 221
Worker Satisfaction 89 65 22 12 188
Error Rate 69 92 10 2 173
Regulatory Compliance 77 69 14 5 165
Automation Exposure 56 56 26 13 154
Training Effectiveness 94 21 13 19 149
Wages & Compensation 77 36 25 6 144
Team Performance 86 17 27 10 141
Developer Productivity 95 17 14 6 133
Job Displacement 12 80 20 1 113
Hiring & Recruitment 52 7 8 3 70
Creative Output 31 18 8 3 61
Skill Obsolescence 5 46 6 1 58
Social Protection 27 16 8 2 53
Labor Share of Income 17 19 17 53
Worker Turnover 11 12 3 26
Industry 1 1
Clear
Innovation Remove filter
New technologies are initially skill intensive (demand more college-educated workers) but become less so as they age (they get standardized and accessible to less-skilled workers).
Empirical descriptive evidence from novel text-based data combining patent text and job postings (building on Kalyani et al., 2025) tracking technologies and their changing demand for skills as they age.
high negative THE SKILL PREMIUM IN TIMES OF RAPID TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE demand for college-educated workers by technology age
Azar et al. (2023) show that monopsonistic employers have stronger incentives to automate and document that US commuting zones with higher labor market concentration experienced more robot adoption.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Azar et al. (2023); empirical analysis across US commuting zones (no sample size provided here).
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES robot adoption correlated with labor market concentration; incentives to automat...
Acemoglu and Restrepo (2022) attribute 50–70% of the increase in US wage inequality between 1980 and 2016 to displacement of workers from tasks by automation.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Acemoglu and Restrepo (2022)'s attribution of the rise in wage inequality to automation-driven task displacement.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES contribution of automation-driven displacement to rise in wage inequality (1980–...
Dechezleprêtre et al. (2025) exploit Germany's Hartz reforms to estimate an elasticity of automation innovation to low-skill wages of 2–5 at the firm level.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Dechezleprêtre et al. (2025)'s empirical estimate (elasticity 2–5); the paper states this was estimated at the firm level.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES elasticity of automation innovation to low-skill wages
Eloundou et al. (2024) predict that half of US jobs are significantly exposed to recent advances in generative AI.
Citation reported in the paper summarizing Eloundou et al. (2024)'s prediction; no sample size provided in the excerpt.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES share of US jobs exposed to generative AI
When employers have monopsony power, they choose technologies that expand this power beyond what a social planner would consider optimal.
Model results on monopsonistic employer incentives and their technological choices; discussion supported by citations.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES expansion of monopsony power via technological choice
Profit-maximizing firms pursue innovations that erode workers' market power by making them more easily replaceable, even at the expense of production efficiency; a social planner who values worker welfare would employ technologies that preserve workers' market power.
Theoretical analysis of interactions between technological choice and market power; supported by cited empirical evidence (e.g., Azar et al. 2023) in the paper.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES choice of innovation affecting workers' market power / production efficiency tra...
A welfare-maximizing planner would choose to automate fewer tasks than production efficiency would dictate when workers' welfare is heavily weighted.
Model analysis of welfare-maximizing automation level compared to production-efficient automation; analytical result in the automation application.
high negative NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES extent/level of task automation chosen
Diminishing returns are not only a geometric flattening of the loss curve, but also rising pressure for cost reduction, system-level innovation, and the breakthroughs needed to sustain Moore-like efficiency doublings.
Analytical claim in the paper about the implications of diminishing returns for cost pressure and innovation requirements (qualitative; no sample size in excerpt).
high negative The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Scaling Laws in AI pressure for cost reduction and need for system-level innovation/breakthroughs
Most of today's agents remain isolated tools or closed-ecosystem orchestrators rather than socially integrated participants in open networks.
Author claim/assessment presented as current-state analysis; no empirical breakdown or study sample provided in the text.
high negative Synergy: A Next-Generation General-Purpose Agent for Open Ag... degree of social integration / openness of agent deployments
Prominent studies predict substantial job displacement due to automation.
Paper asserts this as background, referencing the existence of prominent studies in the literature (no specific citations or sample sizes provided in the abstract).
high negative AI Civilization and the Transformation of Work job losses / displacement
For organizations of n humans with AI agents, the optimal team size decreases with agent capability.
Derived implication from the stylized model's analysis of multi-human organizations interacting with AI agents.
high negative The Novelty Bottleneck: A Framework for Understanding Human ... optimal team size as a function of agent capability
There is no smooth sublinear regime for human effort; it transitions sharply from O(E) to O(1) with no intermediate scaling class.
Mathematical derivation from a stylized model of human-AI collaboration that assumes tasks decompose into atomic decisions, a fraction ν are novel, and specification/verification/error correction scale with task size.
high negative The Novelty Bottleneck: A Framework for Understanding Human ... human effort scaling (human time/effort required as task size E grows)
The literature singles out endemic data quality issues, algorithmic bias, governance frameworks, and regulatory compliance as concerns that require trusted AI and sustainable digital finance ecosystems.
Synthesis from the reviewed literature noting recurring concerns and limitations reported across studies; the paper lists these as major challenges identified in the field.
high negative Artificial intelligence in sustainable finance and Environme... prevalence of data quality issues, algorithmic bias, governance and regulatory c...
AI can worsen financial and market performance if it crowds out normal R&D.
Paper's empirical analysis and interpretation linking AI dependence to poorer financial/market performance through displacement of standard R&D activities; presented as a study finding.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial and market performance
High AI dependency disclosed in financial reports does not improve firms' financial health and may even endanger it.
Empirical results drawn from the study's analysis of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers (2013–2023); statement appears in the paper's findings/conclusions.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial health / corporate financial condition
AI dependency reduces financial safety for listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers.
Empirical analysis of a sample of listed new energy vehicle and automobile manufacturers covering 2013–2023; the paper reports data analysis showing AI dependency reduces financial safety.
high negative The 'Intelligent Trap' in Corporate Finance—A Study Based on... financial safety / corporate financial risk
More informative search can degrade both learning and consumer surplus unless the market learns as much as consumers (for example, by "reading the transcripts" of agentic conversations).
Analytical comparative statics in the paper's theoretical model showing how increasing the informativeness of consumer-side signals affects learning dynamics and welfare; relies on model assumptions about what information the market collects versus consumers.
high negative Agentic Markets: Equilibrium Effects of Improving Consumer S... consumer surplus (and market learning about product fit)
Technological proximity has a noteworthy negative effect on collaboration, underscoring the importance of complementary knowledge in AI innovation.
SAOM estimates from longitudinal patent collaboration data (2013–2024) showing a statistically negative coefficient for technological proximity (implying organizations closer in technology space are less likely to form ties).
high negative The evolutionary mechanism of artificial intelligence indust... tie formation / collaboration probability (as a function of technological proxim...
Sentiment signals derived from sparse news are commonly used in financial analysis and technology monitoring, yet transforming raw article-level observations into reliable temporal series remains a largely unsolved engineering problem.
Framing statement in the paper's introduction/abstract describing the problem motivation; conceptual argument rather than empirical test.
high negative Causal Reconstruction of Sentiment Signals from Sparse News ... reliability of temporal sentiment series reconstructed from article-level news
Current closed models are generally ill-suited for scientific purposes (with some notable exceptions).
Argumentative and evaluative reasoning in the paper comparing features of closed models to scientific needs; no empirical sample size reported in abstract.
high negative How Open Must Language Models be to Enable Reliable Scientif... suitability of models for scientific research / quality of scientific inference
Restrictions on information about model construction and deployment threaten reliable inference in research that involves those models.
Conceptual argument and analysis presented in the paper (no empirical sample or randomized evaluation reported in abstract). The paper analyzes how specific types of information restrictions (about model construction and deployment) create threats to inference.
high negative How Open Must Language Models be to Enable Reliable Scientif... reliable inference / scientific inference
This inefficiency directly undermines UN Sustainable Development Goals 13 (Climate Action) and 10 (Reduced Inequalities) by hindering equitable AI access in resource-constrained regions.
Normative/analytic claim in the paper linking energy inefficiency to negative impacts on specific UN SDGs (argumentative, not empirically quantified in the abstract).
high negative EcoThink: A Green Adaptive Inference Framework for Sustainab... equitable AI access / progress toward SDGs 13 and 10
Current paradigms indiscriminately apply computation-intensive strategies like Chain-of-Thought (CoT) to billions of daily queries, causing LLM overthinking that amplifies carbon emissions and operational barriers.
Claim/assertion in the paper framing the problem (conceptual/observational argument; no specific empirical backing provided in the abstract).
high negative EcoThink: A Green Adaptive Inference Framework for Sustainab... carbon emissions and operational barriers from LLM overthinking
There is a potential for exclusion due to limited digital footprints, which can limit who benefits from AI-driven finance.
Abstract explicitly identifies potential exclusion of people with limited digital footprints as a challenge, based on qualitative interviews and case-study evidence.
high negative Artificial Intelligence, Climate Resilience, and Financial I... exclusion due to digital footprints
Data privacy concerns are a notable challenge in deploying AI-driven financial solutions.
Abstract lists data privacy concerns among identified challenges drawn from interviews and analysis across the three case studies.
Infrastructure limitations pose a barrier to adoption and effective use of AI-enabled financial services.
Abstract identifies infrastructure limitations as a challenge, based on qualitative interviews and case-study evidence.
high negative Artificial Intelligence, Climate Resilience, and Financial I... infrastructure constraints on adoption
Digital literacy gaps are a challenge limiting the effectiveness and inclusion of AI-driven financial solutions.
Abstract lists digital literacy gaps among identified challenges, based on qualitative insights from the 1,500 interviews and case-study observations.
high negative Artificial Intelligence, Climate Resilience, and Financial I... digital literacy barriers to adoption
Triangulation with market data and sentiment analysis confirms that public enthusiasm often outpaces actual technological readiness.
Paper states market data and sentiment analysis were used to triangulate findings and reports this systematic gap; no numeric effect sizes or sample counts provided.
high negative Emerging Technologies Based on Large AI Models and the Desig... gap between public enthusiasm (sentiment) and technological readiness
The main risk is not merely copying, but the possibility that useful capability can be transferred more cheaply than the governance structure that originally accompanied it.
Conceptual threat model articulated in the paper; argued on normative/theoretical grounds without reported empirical measurement or sample.
high negative A Public Theory of Distillation Resistance via Constraint-Co... relative_cost/ease_of_capability_transfer_vs_governance_transmission
Distillation becomes less valuable as a shortcut when high-level capability is coupled to internal stability constraints that shape state transitions over time.
Theoretical argument presented as the paper's core claim; introduces a conceptual mechanism (capability-stability coupling) and argues why this would reduce the usefulness of distillation. No empirical data, experiments, or sample are reported.
high negative A Public Theory of Distillation Resistance via Constraint-Co... value_of_distillation / usefulness_of_distillation_as_a_shortcut
Hallucination and content filtering are the most common frustrations reported across all platforms.
Qualitative and/or survey-coded responses about user frustrations aggregated across platforms (overall N=388); paper reports these two issues as the most common.
high negative Beyond Benchmarks: How Users Evaluate AI Chat Assistants reported frustrations (hallucination and content filtering)
Traditional expert-based assessment faces a critical scalability challenge in large systems (e.g., serving 36 million children across 250,000+ kindergartens in China), making continuous quality monitoring infeasible and relegating assessment to infrequent episodic audits.
Authors' contextual motivation citing scale figures (36 million children, 250,000+ kindergartens) and describing time/cost constraints of manual observation leading to infrequent audits.
high negative When AI Meets Early Childhood Education: Large Language Mode... feasibility/scalability of manual expert-based assessment
AI-enabled, democratised production is more likely to intensify competition and produce winner-take-most outcomes than to generate broadly distributed entrepreneurial success.
Synthesised theoretical prediction based on the unified framework (attention scarcity + free-entry dilution + superstar/preferential attachment dynamics) developed in the paper; no empirical validation provided.
high negative The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets prevalence of broadly distributed entrepreneurial success versus concentration
When the framework is extended to include quality heterogeneity and reinforcement dynamics, equilibrium outcomes exhibit declining average payoffs.
Analytical extension of the baseline formal model to incorporate heterogeneous quality and reinforcement (preferential attachment) dynamics; theoretical derivation in the paper; no empirical sample.
high negative The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets average payoffs to producers
In markets with near-zero marginal costs and free entry, increases in the number of producers dilute average attention and returns per producer.
Formal theoretical model introduced in the paper (Builder Saturation Effect) that assumes near-zero marginal costs, free entry, and finite human attention; no empirical sample or experimental data reported.
high negative The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets average returns per producer
Agent memories currently remain private and non-transferable because there is no way to validate their value.
Descriptive assertion in the paper about current state of agent memories; no empirical survey or measurement cited.
high negative Infrastructure for Valuable, Tradable, and Verifiable Agent ... transferability and marketability of agent memories under current conditions
Measuring only technical model performance (such as predictive accuracy) is insufficient for assessing the strategic impact of AI in drug discovery.
Argued in the paper as a critique of current evaluation practices; presented as a conceptual point rather than supported by new empirical data in the excerpt.
high negative Strategic Key Performance Indicators for AI in Lead Optimiza... adequacy of technical model performance metrics for capturing strategic impact
Pressure remains high to increase the probability of success to improve the effectiveness of pharmaceutical R&D.
Asserted in the paper as motivational context for the work; framed as an industry pressure point rather than backed by a specific empirical sample or quantified survey in the excerpt.
high negative Strategic Key Performance Indicators for AI in Lead Optimiza... probability of success in pharmaceutical R&D
Increasing cost and failure rates in the pharmaceutical R&D process have not fundamentally improved over the last decade.
Stated as a contextual observation in the paper's opening paragraph; presented as a summary of industry trends (no specific dataset, sample size, or citation included in the excerpt).
high negative Strategic Key Performance Indicators for AI in Lead Optimiza... cost and failure rates in pharmaceutical R&D
Current (pay-upfront) models impose a financial barrier to entry for developers, limiting innovation and excluding actors from emerging economies.
Analytical argument in the paper based on cost-structure reasoning and literature on barriers to entry; no empirical sample or causal estimate provided.
high negative Revenue-Sharing as Infrastructure: A Distributed Business Mo... developer entry barriers / access to platform
Only 12% of AI market value is used in physical activities.
Descriptive aggregate: authors categorize and report that 12% of estimated AI market value maps to physical activities.
high negative Where can AI be used? Insights from a deep ontology of work ... share of AI market value by activity type (physical)
Coal-based energy consumption structure and a secondary-industry-dominated industrial structure significantly inhibit regional TFCP and have strong negative spatial spillovers.
Control-variable coefficients from Spatial Durbin Model on panel data (30 provinces, 2010–2023) showing statistically significant negative direct and indirect effects for coal-dominant energy structure and secondary-industry share.
high negative Study on the impact of industrial intelligence and the digit... total factor carbon productivity (TFCP)
Adoption barriers exist, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises and firms in emerging economies, where capability and data constraints limit impact.
Findings reported from the systematic review and mixed-methods assessment (abstract references barriers observed across reviewed studies); number of studies reported in abstract is 104 for the systematic review.
high negative Artificial intelligence as a catalyst for the circular econo... adoption barriers / limitations to AI impact (capability and data constraints)
AI can initially exacerbate distributional injustice.
Dimension-level analysis indicating negative (or initially negative) effects of AI on the distributional component of the energy justice index.
high negative Artificial intelligence adoption for advancing energy justic... distributional justice component of energy justice index
There are few integrated frameworks (bridging ethics and technical controls) in the current AI governance landscape.
Result of the literature review and cluster analysis showing limited coverage of frameworks that integrate ethical principles with auditable technical controls.
high negative AI Governance Risk Tiering for Sustainable Digital Infrastru... prevalence of integrated governance frameworks
Findings reveal a fragmented landscape dominated by ethics/privacy-centric and compliance/risk-focused approaches.
Synthesis of the reviewed literature and results of PCA/k-means clustering indicate thematic dominance of ethics/privacy and compliance/risk orientations across frameworks.
high negative AI Governance Risk Tiering for Sustainable Digital Infrastru... dominant thematic focus of governance frameworks
The article argues that the idea of a “Pax Silica” is fragile.
Conclusion drawn from the paper's theoretical framework and comparative analysis; presented as an assessment rather than empirical measurement.
high negative The Logistics of Hegemony: Semiconductor Chokepoints, Global... stability/fragility of a proposed techno-hegemonic order ('Pax Silica')
Contemporary struggles over semiconductor supply chains represent not a new hegemonic order but a logistical adaptation of Pax Americana.
Stated thesis supported by comparative/historical analysis and theoretical argumentation (comparative analysis of historical Pax orders and U.S. techno-security architecture); no quantitative sample size reported in abstract.
high negative The Logistics of Hegemony: Semiconductor Chokepoints, Global... characterization of geopolitical order governing semiconductor supply chains
Past machine learning applications to pricing have produced models that adapt slowly to real-time changes, depend heavily on historical data, and struggle to handle multi-agent scenarios.
Stated as literature/related-work critique in paper; no new empirical evidence or sample size provided in the excerpt.
high negative The Application of Adaptive Reinforcement Learning in Dynami... model adaptivity to real-time changes and capability in multi-agent scenarios