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Evidence (5267 claims)

Adoption
5267 claims
Productivity
4560 claims
Governance
4137 claims
Human-AI Collaboration
3103 claims
Labor Markets
2506 claims
Innovation
2354 claims
Org Design
2340 claims
Skills & Training
1945 claims
Inequality
1322 claims

Evidence Matrix

Claim counts by outcome category and direction of finding.

Outcome Positive Negative Mixed Null Total
Other 378 106 59 455 1007
Governance & Regulation 379 176 116 58 739
Research Productivity 240 96 34 294 668
Organizational Efficiency 370 82 63 35 553
Technology Adoption Rate 296 118 66 29 513
Firm Productivity 277 34 68 10 394
AI Safety & Ethics 117 177 44 24 364
Output Quality 244 61 23 26 354
Market Structure 107 123 85 14 334
Decision Quality 168 74 37 19 301
Fiscal & Macroeconomic 75 52 32 21 187
Employment Level 70 32 74 8 186
Skill Acquisition 89 32 39 9 169
Firm Revenue 96 34 22 152
Innovation Output 106 12 21 11 151
Consumer Welfare 70 30 37 7 144
Regulatory Compliance 52 61 13 3 129
Inequality Measures 24 68 31 4 127
Task Allocation 75 11 29 6 121
Training Effectiveness 55 12 12 16 96
Error Rate 42 48 6 96
Worker Satisfaction 45 32 11 6 94
Task Completion Time 78 5 4 2 89
Wages & Compensation 46 13 19 5 83
Team Performance 44 9 15 7 76
Hiring & Recruitment 39 4 6 3 52
Automation Exposure 18 17 9 5 50
Job Displacement 5 31 12 48
Social Protection 21 10 6 2 39
Developer Productivity 29 3 3 1 36
Worker Turnover 10 12 3 25
Skill Obsolescence 3 19 2 24
Creative Output 15 5 3 1 24
Labor Share of Income 10 4 9 23
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Adoption Remove filter
Cluster assignments can be used to define treatments in quasi-experimental designs (event-study or diff-in-diff) to estimate causal impacts of funding, regulation, or technology shocks on research direction and economic outcomes.
Recommended analytic approach in implications; described as a methodological possibility. No implemented causal analyses or empirical validation reported in summary.
speculative positive Soft-Prompted Semantic Normalization for Unsupervised Analys... causal impacts of interventions on research direction and economic outcomes usin...
Cluster assignments can be linked to downstream outcomes (patents, product introductions, industry adoption, labor demand) to study knowledge diffusion and productivity effects.
Suggested research direction in implications; described as a use-case for linking clusters to economic outcomes. No empirical demonstration in the paper summary.
speculative positive Soft-Prompted Semantic Normalization for Unsupervised Analys... associations between research topics (clusters) and downstream economic outcomes...
Cluster assignments can be aggregated into topic-level growth indicators (counts, share of publications, citation-weighted output) to measure pace and direction of technological change.
Suggested use-case in implications for AI economics; described as a recommended practical step. No empirical implementation or validation in the provided summary.
speculative positive Soft-Prompted Semantic Normalization for Unsupervised Analys... topic-level growth indicators (publication counts, shares, citation-weighted out...
The pipeline can be used to generate high-resolution topic maps and time series for AI research areas (emergence, growth, decline).
Proposed application described under implications for AI economics; no empirical demonstration of temporal time-series construction provided in the summary (pipeline described as cross-sectional in original methods).
speculative positive Soft-Prompted Semantic Normalization for Unsupervised Analys... topic maps and topic time series (emergence, growth, decline)
More advanced NLP models (transformer-based encoders, finance-specific topic models, supervised sentiment classifiers) could improve signal quality over LDA and VADER.
Methodological discussion recommends more advanced models to potentially improve signals; this is presented as a likely improvement rather than empirically tested in the study.
speculative positive More than words: valuation of words for stock price by using... expected improvement in signal quality / predictive performance
Policy and managerial implication suggested: investing in short, targeted onboarding/training for GenAI tools (rather than only providing access) may deliver measurable performance gains and increase voluntary adoption.
Authors derive this implication from the randomized trial results showing increased adoption and improved scores with brief training (n = 164); this is an extrapolation from the trial findings.
speculative positive Training for Technology: Adoption and Productive Use of Gene... Organizational adoption and productivity (extrapolated from student trial outcom...
Policy interventions that encourage or mandate identity disclosure and explainable personalization in commercial chatbots are supported by these findings (to reduce deception risk and perceived manipulation).
Interpretive implication based on experimental results showing transparency and explainable personalization reduce perceived manipulation and increase trust; recommended as a policy implication.
speculative positive AI Chatbots as Informatics-Enabled Marketing Service Systems... policy relevance (consumer protection / perceived manipulation)
Policy implication (inference from results): prioritizing digital infrastructure investment to pass critical thresholds will unlock stronger productivity and environmental gains than focusing solely on advanced digital services.
Inference drawn from panel threshold findings (infrastructure threshold) and observed complementarities; this is a policy recommendation rather than a direct empirical test.
speculative positive Digital rural development and agricultural green total facto... AGTFP (policy-oriented inference)
The positive AGTFP gains from digital rural development are geographically heterogeneous and are concentrated in eastern provinces.
Regional heterogeneity analysis / sub-sample regressions across provinces showing larger estimated digitalization effects in eastern provinces compared with other regions.
medium-high positive Digital rural development and agricultural green total facto... AGTFP (regional subsample effects)
Digital infrastructure exhibits a threshold effect: its positive impact on AGTFP becomes stronger once digital infrastructure passes a critical level.
Panel threshold model applied to the provincial panel (2012–2022) that identifies a statistically significant threshold in the infrastructure sub-index where marginal effects increase above that value.
medium-high positive Digital rural development and agricultural green total facto... AGTFP (effect conditional on digital infrastructure level)
Vacancies explicitly requiring AI skills carry wage premia.
Wage regressions using an AI-skill flag (vacancies explicitly requesting AI competencies identified via text analysis) showing positive wage differentials for AI-skill vacancies.
medium-high positive Bridging Skill Gaps for the Future Wages / wage premia for AI-skill vacancies
Low-skilled workers can benefit indirectly through increased demand for services supplied to high-skilled earners.
Observed indirect (secondary) employment/wage gains in service occupations typically employing lower-skilled workers, consistent with a demand-side channel from higher incomes of high-skilled workers; based on occupation-level correlations in the panel/cross-sectional analyses.
low-medium positive Bridging Skill Gaps for the Future Employment and wages in low-skilled service occupations (indirect demand effects...
Vacancies demanding new skills (including AI) offer higher wages on average (wage premia).
Vacancy-level regressions estimating wage premia associated with new-skill requirements, controlling for occupation, firm, and other observables; new-skill and AI-skill flags identified by text analysis.
medium-high positive Bridging Skill Gaps for the Future Wages / estimated wage premia for vacancies requiring new skills
Research gaps include the need for causal evaluations (RCTs or quasi-experiments) of bundled interventions (training + placement + income support), cross-country comparisons of informality's moderating role, and better data on platform employment dynamics.
Identified research agenda and priorities summarized from the literature review and gap analysis in the paper; recommendation rather than empirical finding.
speculative positive Who Loses to Automation? AI-Driven Labour Displacement and t... evidence on effectiveness of bundled interventions and cross-country moderation ...
Empirical work on automation should distinguish task vs job displacement, measure platform algorithmic effects on labour demand, and quantify fallback employment options available to displaced informal workers.
Methodological recommendation based on gaps identified in the reviewed literature and limitations of existing studies; no new data collection presented.
speculative positive Who Loses to Automation? AI-Driven Labour Displacement and t... quality of empirical measurement (ability to isolate task vs job displacement an...
Policy responses should go beyond reskilling to include mechanisms addressing informality and job quality (e.g., portable benefits, minimum standards for platforms, guaranteed work or public employment schemes, wage floors, and training linked to placement).
Policy recommendation synthesized from literature on platform labour, social protection, and training program design; normative prescription rather than empirically validated intervention within this paper.
speculative positive Who Loses to Automation? AI-Driven Labour Displacement and t... worker welfare and employment security under combined policy interventions
Unchecked shifts toward K_T-dominated production can amplify political risks (rising inequality, fiscal strain) that may fuel populism, protectionism, and demands for renegotiated social contracts.
Theoretical political‑economy discussion supported by historical analogies and model scenarios linking fiscal stress and distributional change to political-instability risks; qualitative case evidence.
speculative positive The Macroeconomic Transition of Technological Capital in the... political risk indicators (populist support, policy volatility) — discussed qual...