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Opening municipal government data measurably boosts local AI innovation and ripples into neighbouring cities; city-level staggered DID estimates across 281 Chinese cities (2008–2023) show significant direct and spatial effects, with private firms capturing the largest share of gains.

Open government data as a driver for artificial intelligence innovation
Qiuling Chen, Xue Ding, Tianchi Wang, Zetao Zhu · September 17, 2026 · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
openalex quasi_experimental medium evidence 8/10 relevance Full text usable extracted full text DOI Source PDF

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Using staggered and spatial DID on 281 Chinese cities (2008–2023), the paper finds that open government data increase local AI innovation and also generate positive spillovers to neighbouring cities, with enterprises driving most of the effect.

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Abstract As the digital economy era arrives, the data factor plays a crucial role in artificial intelligence innovation. Governments, as the principal custodians and generators of data, hold a vast repository of core data. It remains unclear whether open government data promote artificial intelligence innovation. Based on the data-driven innovation paradigm, this article constructs a theoretical model to explain how open government data improve artificial intelligence innovation and then empirically explores the impacts of open government data on artificial intelligence innovation. Specifically, with data on 281 Chinese cities from 2008 to 2023, this research adopts staggered difference-in-differences (DID) and spatial DID approaches to explore the direct and spatial spillover effects of open government data on artificial intelligence innovation. The main findings can be summarised as follows: Open government data not only positively influence artificial intelligence innovation in a certain city but also foster artificial intelligence innovation in neighbouring cities. Enterprises play a dominant role in driving innovation within the artificial intelligence industry compared both to universities and colleges and to research institutes. These conclusions provide theoretical insights and practical suggestions for improving artificial intelligence innovation from a data-driven perspective.

Summary

Main Finding

Open government data (OGD) significantly promote artificial intelligence innovation (AII) at the city level and generate positive spatial spillovers to neighbouring cities. The effect is strongest for enterprise-driven AII; enterprises capture most of the innovation gains from OGD compared with universities/colleges and research institutes.

Key Points

  • The paper frames the OGD → AII link within the data-driven innovation (DDI) paradigm: data is a core production factor for AI, and OGD supplies, reduces the cost of, and improves access to training and evaluation data for models.
  • Mechanisms identified: OGD (i) increases data supply and diversity (multimodal, cross-sector datasets), (ii) lowers data acquisition and preprocessing costs, (iii) enhances data quality/coverage for real-world scenarios and model iteration, and (iv) enables cross-boundary data circulation (public-good attributes) that fosters intercity knowledge/resource flows.
  • OGD exhibits spatial externalities: because data are partially non-rival and transportable digitally, local openness benefits neighbouring jurisdictions’ AII activity.
  • Heterogeneity: firms (enterprises) are the principal beneficiaries and drivers of OGD-facilitated AI innovation, more so than universities or research institutes.

Data & Methods

  • Sample: 281 Chinese cities over 2008–2023.
  • Empirical strategy: staggered difference‑in‑differences (DID) to identify the direct effect of cities adopting/opening OGD platforms over time, combined with a spatial DID (spatial econometric extensions) to detect cross-city spillovers.
  • Outcome measures: city-level AII and entity-specific AII (decomposed into enterprises, universities/colleges, and research institutes) across the period (the paper constructs city- and entity-level indicators of AI innovation for the analysis).
  • Heterogeneity analysis: separate estimation by innovation entity to assess which actors drove the OGD → AII relationship.
  • Robustness: the combination of staggered DID and spatial DID addresses time-varying adoption and spatial dependence (as reported by the authors).

Implications for AI Economics

  • Data as a factor of production: empirical evidence that public-sector data openness is a scalable input that raises AI innovation suggests models of AI production should explicitly treat data (and its public-good/externality properties) alongside compute and algorithmic capital.
  • Local policy yields regional returns: OGD policies produce spillovers across jurisdictions, so optimal policy design should internalize spatial externalities (e.g., regional coordination, shared platforms, cost‑sharing).
  • Firms as the primary channel: because enterprises capture most of the innovation gains, policies aimed at boosting AI innovation via OGD should prioritize firm access and capabilities (APIs, toolkits, data licensing clarity, incubation supports) while preserving privacy/security.
  • Market structure and competition: abundant public data can lower entry costs for AI startups and affect incumbents’ competitive dynamics; regulators and economists should consider how open data reshapes barriers to entry, returns to scale in model training, and platform market power.
  • Public investment priorities: investments in data quality, standardization, metadata, multimodal corpora, and interoperable platforms are likely high-return for AII. Complementary support—such as compute access, incentives for data reuse, and outcome‑oriented procurement—can amplify benefits.
  • Evaluation and accounting: economic measurement of AI R&D and productivity should incorporate data availability and data‑sharing policies as explanatory variables; welfare assessments of OGD must account for local and cross‑regional innovation externalities.
  • Policy risks to manage: while promoting openness, policymakers must balance privacy, security, and commercial confidentiality; designing licensing, governance, and access-control regimes that preserve reuse while mitigating harms is crucial.

(Concise recommendations implicit from findings: scale up high‑quality, multimodal OGD; enable cross‑jurisdictional data sharing; support firms’ ability to use OGD; and internalize spatial externalities in regional policy design.)

Assessment

Paper Typequasi_experimental Evidence Strengthmedium — The paper uses a long city-level panel (281 cities, 2008–2023) and quasi-experimental DID designs including spatial extensions, which are appropriate for estimating policy impacts and spatial spillovers; however, staggered DID is vulnerable to treatment-timing heterogeneity and dynamic effects unless carefully addressed, and the provided text does not report whether strong parallel-trends tests, placebo checks, or alternative identification strategies (e.g., instruments, regression discontinuity) were used to rule out residual confounding or endogenous rollout of OGD platforms. Methods Rigormedium — Appropriate econometric approaches (staggered DID and spatial DID) and a long panel are strengths, as is entity-level heterogeneity analysis, but the excerpt lacks detail on key diagnostics (parallel-trends/event-study results, treatment-effect heterogeneity corrections for staggered DID, controls for time-varying confounders, measurement definitions for AI innovation), leaving open concerns about potential bias from nonrandom OGD rollouts and measurement error. SampleCity-level panel of 281 Chinese cities observed annually from 2008 to 2023; treatment is implementation/opening of municipal open government data platforms; outcome is measures of artificial intelligence innovation (aggregated at city level and decomposed by innovation entity: enterprises, universities/colleges, research institutes). Themesinnovation adoption IdentificationExploits staggered timing of open government data (OGD) platform adoption across 281 Chinese cities using difference-in-differences (staggered DID) with a spatial DID extension; identification rests on comparing cities before and after OGD implementation (with controls and fixed effects) and adding spatially lagged treatment to estimate spillovers; heterogeneity analysis by innovation entity (enterprises, universities/colleges, research institutes) provides additional within-sample contrasts. GeneralizabilityFindings are specific to the Chinese institutional and policy context for OGD and may not generalize to countries with different data governance or market structures., Analysis is at the city (urban) level — results may not apply to rural areas or to firm-level causal dynamics., The 2008–2023 period predates some recent rapid developments in large foundation models and commercial LLM adoption after 2023, limiting applicability to post-2023 AI dynamics., AI innovation measurement (likely patent counts or registered AI activities) may understate non-patented or proprietary advances and product-level improvements., OGD rollout timing may correlate with unobserved local policies or development agendas, limiting external validity if not fully controlled.

Claims (3)

ClaimDirectionOutcomeConfidence & EvidenceDetails
Open government data positively influence artificial intelligence innovation within a city. Innovation Output positive Artificial intelligence innovation in the city
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
n=281
0.48
Open government data generate positive spatial spillover effects on artificial intelligence innovation in neighboring cities. Innovation Output positive Artificial intelligence innovation in neighboring cities
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
n=281
0.48
Enterprises play a more dominant role in driving artificial intelligence innovation than universities and colleges or research institutes in the open-government-data innovation relationship. Innovation Output positive Artificial intelligence innovation by different innovation entities
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
n=281
0.48

Notes