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Firms pursuing human‑centric AI experience lower firm‑specific stock volatility in China, though the effect varies: stronger where digitalisation and executive ownership are higher, and weaker where operational efficiency and CEOs with IT backgrounds are greater.

Exploring the Relationship Between Human-Centric AI and firm Idiosyncratic Risks
Zhen-yuan Ralph Liu, Yu‐Ting Wang, Jia-jia Yan, Shivam Gupta, Mihalis Giannakis · June 20, 2026 · Information Systems Frontiers
openalex correlational medium evidence 7/10 relevance Full text usable extracted full text DOI Source PDF
Using a panel of Chinese listed firms (2015–2023), the paper finds that firms adopting a human‑centric AI strategy exhibit lower firm‑level idiosyncratic stock risk, with digitalisation and executive shareholding strengthening this risk‑reducing association while operational efficiency and CEOs with IT backgrounds attenuate it.

Abstract Despite the extensive discussions of human-centric AI (HCAI) in Industry 5.0, its effects on firms’ idiosyncratic risks (IR) remains underexplored. This is an imperative issue for firms navigate financial risks during the current technological revolution, as IR reflects investor reactions to corporate heterogeneous AI strategies and implementations by isolating firm-level stock volatility from systematic factors. Integrating situated AI theory with social-technical systems theory, we conceptualise HCAI as a situated AI strategy that reduces AI-related ethical risks and fosters AI-Human synergies in firms’ business operations by aligning with stakeholders’ diverse expectations. Moreover, socio-technical factors, namely digitalisation, operational efficiency, executive shareholding, and CEOs with IT background, may moderate the HCAI-IR relationship. Using a multi-source panel dataset of Chinese listed firms from 2015 to 2023, we find that HCAI is associated with lower firm IR. Furthermore, digitalisation and executive shareholding strengthen this risk-reducing effect, whereas operational efficiency and CEOs with IT background surprisingly attenuate it. Our findings offer theoretical contributions and practical insights for both ethical AI governance and firm financial risk management in the AI era.

Summary

Main Finding

  • HCAI adoption is associated with lower firm idiosyncratic risk (IR). Firms with human-centric AI strategies exhibit reduced firm-specific stock volatility, interpreted as investors perceiving lower execution/ethical uncertainty and greater long‑term value.
  • Moderators: the IR‑reducing effect of HCAI is strengthened by higher firm digitalisation and greater executive shareholding, but weakened by higher operational efficiency and having a CEO with an IT background.

(Paper: Information Systems Frontiers. DOI: 10.1007/s10796-026-10759-7. Authors: Liu, Wang, Yan, Gupta, Giannakis. Data: Chinese listed firms 2015–2023; accepted 25 May 2026.)

Key Points

  • Conceptual framing
    • HCAI is treated as a situated AI strategy (situated AI theory) operationalised through three constructs: human‑centred design, ethical management, and responsible implications.
    • The paper integrates Situated AI Theory (SAIT) with Socio‑Technical Systems (STS) to explain how HCAI reduces investor uncertainty by aligning AI deployments with stakeholder expectations and preserving human oversight.
  • Mechanism
    • HCAI signals stronger governance, explainability, and human‑in‑the‑loop design to investors → lowers perceived firm‑level execution and ethical risk → lowers idiosyncratic volatility.
  • Moderating factors (socio‑technical)
    • Strengthening moderators: digitalisation (technical) and executive shareholding (social) magnify HCAI’s risk‑reducing effect.
    • Weakening moderators: operational efficiency (technical) and CEO IT background (social) attenuate the effect—authors argue throughput pressures and a technology‑first orientation can dilute human oversight and increase perceived execution risk.
  • Robustness and checks
    • Results robust to alternative IR measures, time‑lag specifications, propensity score matching (PSM), and subsample regressions.

Data & Methods

  • Sample: Multi‑source panel of Chinese listed firms, 2015–2023; 16,461 firm‑year observations.
  • HCAI measurement: Patent text mining—identification of HCAI‑related innovations from ~2.873 million patent texts, following prior methodology (Liu et al., 2025) to proxy firm HCAI strategy at an early/innovation stage.
  • Dependent variable: Firm idiosyncratic risk (IR) — operationalised via firm‑level stock volatility net of systematic market factors (standard idiosyncratic volatility approach in finance literature).
  • Empirical strategy: Panel econometric models with controls; additional robustness through alternative specifications, lagged models, propensity score matching, and subsample analyses. Moderation tested by interaction terms between HCAI and socio‑technical variables (digitalisation, operational efficiency, executive shareholding, CEO IT background).

Implications for AI Economics

  • For capital markets and valuation
    • Investors discriminate between mere AI adoption and the design/governance of AI. HCAI can lower firm‑specific risk, potentially reducing cost of equity and improving firm valuation if signalled credibly.
  • For firm strategy and governance
    • Firms should treat HCAI as a strategic signal—not only to employees and regulators but to investors. Embedding human‑centred design and ethical governance into AI development can mitigate financial risks associated with AI deployment.
    • Complementary investments matter: digital transformation and aligned executive incentives (shareholding) enhance the market payoff from HCAI; however, focusing narrowly on throughput/operational efficiency or appointing technically oriented CEOs can blunt investor confidence if they suggest deprioritised human oversight.
  • For policy and regulation
    • Policy incentives or disclosure standards that encourage HCAI features (transparency, human‑in‑the‑loop, ethical guardrails) can have real financial stability benefits by lowering firm‑level risk and limiting negative investor reactions to AI missteps.
  • For empirical research in AI economics
    • Suggests shifting some analyses from AI exposure (adoption) to AI design/governance (how AI is embedded and governed). Patent/text‑based indicators of AI design are useful early‑stage proxies but should be complemented with operational and disclosure measures in future work.
    • Potential extensions: cross‑country comparisons, causal identification of channels (e.g., event studies around HCAI disclosures), and investigation of systemic risk implications when many firms adopt similar HCAI practices.

Assessment

Paper Typecorrelational Evidence Strengthmedium — The study uses longitudinal firm‑level data across 2015–2023 which allows controlling for observable confounders and time effects and supports plausibly robust associations; however, the abstract does not report any exogenous shock, instrument, or natural experiment to rule out endogeneity (reverse causality, omitted variables, selection into HCAI adoption) or measurement error in the HCAI construct, so causal claims are limited. Methods Rigormedium — Using a multi‑source panel and testing moderators indicates a reasonably thorough empirical approach, but the abstract lacks details on identification checks (e.g., fixed effects, lagged treatments, IVs, placebo tests), HCAI measurement validity, sample selection, and robustness to endogeneity; these omissions reduce confidence in methodological rigor compared with strong quasi‑experimental designs. SamplePanel of Chinese listed firms (firm‑year observations) from 2015–2023 assembled from multiple data sources; HCAI is operationalised at the firm level and linked to firm idiosyncratic stock volatility, with firm characteristics (digitalisation, operational efficiency, executive shareholding, CEO IT background) used as moderators. Themesgovernance org_design IdentificationAssociation estimated using multi-source firm‑level panel regressions (firm and year controls likely included) relating a constructed human‑centric AI (HCAI) measure to firm idiosyncratic risk; moderation tested with interaction terms. No clear exogenous variation or quasi‑experimental identification reported in the abstract. GeneralizabilityRestricted to publicly listed Chinese firms — may not generalise to private firms or non‑Chinese institutional contexts, Period 2015–2023 covers early/mid stages of AI diffusion; effects could differ as technologies and governance mature, HCAI measurement may be context‑specific or subjective, limiting transferability to other regulatory/cultural settings, Outcome is stock‑market idiosyncratic risk; findings may not translate to operational productivity or worker outcomes, Sectoral heterogeneity (industry-specific AI adoption patterns) may limit broad applicability

Claims (8)

ClaimDirectionOutcomeConfidence & EvidenceDetails
Human-centric AI (HCAI) is associated with lower firm idiosyncratic risk (IR). Organizational Efficiency negative firm idiosyncratic risk (firm-level stock volatility isolated from systematic factors)
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
not reported
0.3
Digitalisation strengthens the risk-reducing effect of HCAI on firm idiosyncratic risk. Organizational Efficiency negative firm idiosyncratic risk
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
not reported
0.3
Executive shareholding strengthens the risk-reducing effect of HCAI on firm idiosyncratic risk. Organizational Efficiency negative firm idiosyncratic risk
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
not reported
0.3
Operational efficiency attenuates the risk-reducing effect of HCAI on firm idiosyncratic risk (surprising/contrary effect). Organizational Efficiency positive firm idiosyncratic risk
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
not reported
0.3
Having CEOs with an IT background attenuates the risk-reducing effect of HCAI on firm idiosyncratic risk. Organizational Efficiency positive firm idiosyncratic risk
Reading fidelity high
Study strength medium
not reported
0.3
HCAI reduces AI-related ethical risks in firms by aligning AI design and implementation with stakeholders' diverse expectations. Ai Safety And Ethics negative AI-related ethical risks
Reading fidelity high
Study strength speculative
not reported
0.05
HCAI fosters AI–human synergies in firms' business operations. Organizational Efficiency positive AI–human synergies in business operations
Reading fidelity high
Study strength speculative
not reported
0.05
HCAI can be conceptualised as a 'situated AI' strategy that explicitly reduces AI-related ethical risks and fosters AI–human synergies. Ai Safety And Ethics positive conceptual framing of HCAI (theoretical construct)
Reading fidelity high
Study strength speculative
not reported
0.05

Notes