Firms that signal stronger data-driven decision-making in their disclosures tend to perform better internationally; the gains operate through sustainability-focused value-creation channels and are larger in competitive markets and in firms with significant foreign or state ownership.
Data-driven decision-making (DDDM) has become integral to managerial and organizational processes in the era of digitalization and internationalization. This study explores the impact of DDDM on international firm performance. Leveraging AI language models, specifically BERT and ChatGLM2-6B, to quantify DDDM, we find that DDDM positively impacts international firm performance. To uncover the mechanisms underlying this correlation, we develop a framework explaining how DDDM creates sustainable value for firms, thereby enhancing international firm performance across four dimensions: pollution prevention (current internal), green innovation (future internal), sustainability information disclosure (current external), and sustainability vision co-creation (future external). Additionally, this study reveals that the positive impact of DDDM on international firm performance is amplified by higher market competition, greater foreign shareholding, and state ownership.
Summary
Main Finding
Data-driven decision-making (DDDM), measured using AI language models (BERT and ChatGLM2-6B), has a positive effect on international firm performance. This effect operates through sustainable-value-creation mechanisms and is stronger in more competitive markets and in firms with higher foreign shareholding or state ownership.
Key Points
- DDDM is empirically linked to higher international firm performance.
- AI language models (BERT and ChatGLM2-6B) are used to quantify firms’ DDDM practices from textual sources.
- A theoretical/empirical framework identifies four value-creation pathways through which DDDM boosts international performance:
- Current internal: pollution prevention
- Future internal: green innovation
- Current external: sustainability information disclosure
- Future external: sustainability vision co-creation
- The positive DDDM → international performance relationship is amplified by:
- Higher market competition
- Greater foreign shareholding
- State ownership
Data & Methods
- DDDM measurement: textual/semantic analysis of firm disclosures or managerial texts operationalized using transformer-based language models (BERT and ChatGLM2-6B) to construct a DDDM score.
- Empirical strategy: statistical/econometric analysis linking the DDDM measure to firm-level international performance, with mediation tests for the four mechanisms and interaction tests for the moderators (market competition, foreign shareholding, state ownership).
- Identification: the study combines AI-driven measurement with standard regression and mediation/moderation approaches to uncover mechanisms and heterogeneity (details not provided in the summary).
Implications for AI Economics
- Measurement innovation: Transformer language models can produce scalable, granular measures of managerial practices (like DDDM), enabling new empirical work on intangible capabilities.
- Value of AI-enabled capabilities: Firms’ use of data and AI-driven decision processes appears to create sustainable value that translates into better international performance—highlighting a channel by which AI adoption affects firm competitiveness and internationalization.
- Distributional effects and market structure: Amplification by competition and ownership structures implies that benefits of DDDM may be unevenly distributed across firms and institutional contexts; policies and investment decisions should account for these heterogeneities.
- Policy and managerial relevance: Encouraging data infrastructure, training, and transparency in sustainability-related practices may magnify the international payoff of DDDM, especially in competitive industries and mixed-ownership environments.
- Research directions: Use of LMs for firm-level constructs invites further validation (robustness, cross-country generalizability, causal identification), exploration of costs/risks (mismeasurement, strategic disclosure), and assessment of complementarities between AI tools and organizational governance.
Assessment
Claims (10)
| Claim | Direction | Confidence | Outcome | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data-driven decision-making (DDDM) positively impacts international firm performance. Firm Productivity | positive | medium | international firm performance |
0.09
|
| DDDM was quantified using AI language models, specifically BERT and ChatGLM2-6B. Other | null_result | high | degree of data-driven decision-making (DDDM) (measurement variable) |
0.15
|
| DDDM creates sustainable value for firms and thereby enhances international firm performance across four dimensions: pollution prevention (current internal), green innovation (future internal), sustainability information disclosure (current external), and sustainability vision co-creation (future external). Firm Productivity | positive | medium | international firm performance (mediated by sustainable value dimensions) |
0.09
|
| DDDM positively relates to pollution prevention (current internal) activities. Firm Productivity | positive | medium | pollution prevention activity/effort (current internal sustainability metric) |
0.09
|
| DDDM positively relates to green innovation (future internal). Innovation Output | positive | medium | green innovation (future internal sustainability metric) |
0.09
|
| DDDM positively relates to sustainability information disclosure (current external). Governance And Regulation | positive | medium | sustainability information disclosure (current external metric) |
0.09
|
| DDDM positively relates to sustainability vision co-creation (future external). Innovation Output | positive | medium | sustainability vision co-creation (future external metric) |
0.09
|
| The positive impact of DDDM on international firm performance is amplified by higher market competition. Firm Productivity | positive | medium | international firm performance (as moderated by market competition) |
0.09
|
| The positive impact of DDDM on international firm performance is amplified by greater foreign shareholding. Firm Productivity | positive | medium | international firm performance (as moderated by foreign shareholding) |
0.09
|
| The positive impact of DDDM on international firm performance is amplified by state ownership. Firm Productivity | positive | medium | international firm performance (as moderated by state ownership) |
0.09
|