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Ukraine reports a substantial teacher gap: official registers show just over 1,000 current vacancies but more than 140,000 potential teaching posts, with demand concentrated in vocational and pre-higher institutions; employers also prefer candidates for private training centers and technical education.

DYNAMICS OF THE DOMESTIC LABOR MARKET IN RELATION TO THE DEMAND FOR TEACHERS IN EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS
V. Kulishov · Fetched April 05, 2026 · Scientific Herald of Sivershchyna Series Education Social and Behavioural Sciences
semantic_scholar descriptive n/a evidence 2/10 relevance DOI Source
Using Ukrainian administrative registers, the paper documents over 1,000 current teacher vacancies and more than 140,000 potential teacher positions across vocational, pre-higher, higher education and training centers, with employers favoring hires for vocational and specialized pre-higher institutions.

The article analyzes the dynamics of the labor market regarding the number of current vacancies for positions of teachers in educational institutions (vocational (vocational-technical), professional pre-higher education, higher education, training centers). The dynamics of both current vacancies for positions of teachers in educational institutions and potential positions that are not yet vacant, but may become so, were analyzed. To do this, the number of vacant positions of teachers in the specified educational institutions was analyzed according to the Unified Register of Vacancies of the State Employment Service, as well as the number of their potential positions according to the data of the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine. It was found that the total number of current vacancies for teachers in the specified educational institutions is over 1,000, and the potential ones are much more (over 140,000). The number of vacancies, the level of average wages, the most popular positions and the list of requirements that are currently imposed on teachers in educational institutions compared to 2022 were analyzed. It has been found that the modern labor market needs specialists in teaching professions, but employers mostly give preference to teachers who are ready to work in institutions of professional (vocational and technical) and specialized pre-higher education, as well as in private training centers. Key words: labor market, teachers of educational institutions, vacancies, employment, salary, requirements for a specialist.

Summary

Main Finding

The Ukrainian labor market shows a large latent demand for teachers: current registered vacancies for teachers in vocational, specialized pre-higher, higher education and training centers exceed 1,000, while potential positions (i.e., existing establishments/posts that are not currently vacant but may become so) exceed 140,000. Employers increasingly prefer candidates willing to work in vocational (vocational-technical), specialized pre-higher education, and private training centers.

Key Points

  • Data sources: Unified Register of Vacancies (State Employment Service of Ukraine) for current vacancies; Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine for potential positions.
  • Counts: >1,000 current teacher vacancies across the specified institution types; >140,000 potential teacher positions per ministry records.
  • Employer preferences: strongest demand for teachers in professional (vocational/technical) and specialized pre-higher education, and in private training centers.
  • Comparative analysis: the study examines number of vacancies, average wage levels, most in-demand positions, and employer requirements, comparing current indicators to 2022 (detailed year-on-year changes were analyzed in the article).
  • Conclusion: the contemporary labor market needs teaching specialists, but demand is concentrated in certain institution types and sectors.

Data & Methods

  • Data sources: administrative registers — the Unified Register of Vacancies (State Employment Service) and institutional/post inventories from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine.
  • Approach: descriptive analysis of dynamics (current vs. potential vacancies), cross-year comparison with 2022 for vacancies, wages, position popularity, and stated employer requirements.
  • Scope: positions of teachers in vocational (vocational-technical), professional pre-higher, higher education institutions, and private training centers.
  • Limitations (implicit from methods): reliance on administrative registers (may omit informal vacancies or unregistered demand); “potential positions” reflect institutional capacity rather than immediate open jobs.

Implications for AI Economics

  • Labor supply–demand mismatch: large pool of potential positions suggests structural demand that could persist; models of teacher labor supply should account for institutional segmentation (vocational vs. higher education vs. private centers).
  • Wage signaling and allocation: analysis of average wages and employer requirements is crucial for modeling incentives to enter/exit teaching and for predicting occupational switching or upskilling driven by pay differentials.
  • Targeting training and retraining: concentrated employer preference for vocational and private-sector educators implies policy or subsidy targeting (e.g., retraining, certification incentives) to align supply with high-demand sub-sectors.
  • Automation and task substitution: while AI (tutoring systems, content generation, assessment automation) can augment some teaching tasks, vocational and hands‑on training roles—where demand is strongest—may be less substitutable and more complementary to AI tools; economic models should differentiate automation exposure by institution/type.
  • Forecasting and data needs: the large gap between current vacancies and potential positions highlights the need for richer, timely administrative and labor market microdata to forecast teacher shortages and plan AI-assisted interventions (e.g., targeted chatbots, adaptive learning) and workforce policies.
  • Policy evaluation: findings inform cost–benefit assessments of investments in teacher training, wage adjustments, and AI educational technologies as substitutes or complements to human teachers in prioritized sectors.

Assessment

Paper Typedescriptive Evidence Strengthn/a — Paper presents descriptive counts and comparisons from administrative registers without attempting causal inference, so 'evidence strength' for causal claims is not applicable. Methods Rigormedium — Uses official administrative sources (Unified Register of Vacancies, Ministry of Education and Science), which are authoritative for counts, but the paper provides limited methodological detail on data cleaning, coverage, definitions (e.g. how 'potential positions' are derived), and adjustment for duplicate or unreported vacancies. SampleAdministrative data on teacher vacancies from the Unified Register of Vacancies of the State Employment Service (current/active vacancies) and estimates of potential teacher positions from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, covering teachers in vocational (vocational-technical), professional pre-higher, higher education, and private training centers; reported totals: >1,000 current vacancies and >140,000 potential positions, with comparisons to 2022 for wages, popular positions, and employer requirements. Themeslabor_markets skills_training GeneralizabilityLimited to Ukraine — findings may not apply to other countries or labor markets, Covers only specified institution types (vocational, pre-higher, higher, training centers) and excludes other education sectors (e.g., primary/secondary schools if not included), Relies on administrative registers which may omit informal or unregistered vacancies, Definitions and construction of 'potential positions' may differ across contexts, reducing comparability, Temporal scope appears limited (comparison to 2022) and may not capture longer-term trends or seasonality

Claims (5)

ClaimDirectionConfidenceOutcomeDetails
The total number of current vacancies for teachers in the specified educational institutions is over 1,000. Employment positive high number of current vacancies for teachers in specified educational institutions
n=1000
over 1,000
0.3
The potential (not-yet-vacant but may become so) teacher positions are much more, over 140,000. Employment positive high number of potential teacher positions in specified educational institutions
n=140000
over 140,000
0.3
Employers mostly give preference to teachers who are ready to work in institutions of professional (vocational and technical) and specialized pre-higher education, as well as in private training centers. Hiring positive high employer preference for teacher hires by type of educational institution
0.18
The modern labor market needs specialists in teaching professions. Employment positive high demand for specialists in teaching professions
0.18
The study analyzed the number of vacancies, the level of average wages, the most popular positions and the list of requirements currently imposed on teachers in educational institutions compared to 2022. Other null_result high analysis scope: vacancies, average wages, popular positions, and requirements (comparative to 2022)
0.3

Notes