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Children bear outsized risks from antimicrobial resistance, climate change and emerging zoonoses because immaturity, behaviour and ecosystem dependence concentrate exposure; yet One Health surveillance and policy remain fragmented and adult‑centric. Building integrated, child‑labelled datasets and equity‑aware AI/economic models—with targeted governance reforms—will improve forecasting and resource allocation, particularly in low‑ and middle‑income countries.

Safeguarding future generations: a One Health perspective on children, climate change, and infectious threats
Marco Masetti, Francesca Lato, Martina Menoni, Susanna Esposito · March 06, 2026 · Frontiers in Public Health
openalex review_meta low evidence 7/10 relevance DOI Source PDF
Children face disproportionate risks from AMR, climate change, and emerging zoonoses due to biological, behavioral, and ecosystem factors, and protecting them requires child‑centered, cross‑sectoral One Health data, governance, and interventions—especially in LMICs where gaps are largest.

The One Health approach recognizes the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health, offering a critical framework for addressing complex global health challenges. Children occupy a uniquely vulnerable position within this paradigm due to their physiological immaturity, developmental sensitivity, behavioral exposures, and dependence on surrounding ecosystems. This narrative review examines how major contemporary threats—antimicrobial resistance (AMR), climate change, and emerging infectious diseases—intersect to shape child health outcomes within a One Health perspective. We synthesize evidence from human, animal, and environmental health domains to illustrate how children are disproportionately exposed to resistant pathogens, climate-sensitive hazards, and zoonotic and vector-borne infections. Particular attention is given to pediatric and neonatal AMR, climate-related impacts on physical and mental health, and the expanding geographic range of vector-borne diseases affecting children. The review highlights how factors such as antibiotic use in humans and animals, environmental contamination, urbanization, biodiversity loss, and extreme weather events converge to amplify risks during critical developmental windows. We identify major gaps in child-specific surveillance, integrated research, and policy implementation, especially in low- and middle-income countries. We argue that embedding a child-centered lens within One Health research, governance, and interventions is essential to protect current and future generations. Advancing such an integrated approach can enhance prevention, strengthen health system resilience, and promote equity in an era of escalating ecological and infectious threats.

Summary

Main Finding

Children are uniquely vulnerable within the One Health nexus: physiological immaturity, developmental sensitivity, behavior-driven exposures, and ecosystem dependence make them disproportionately affected by antimicrobial resistance (AMR), climate change, and emerging zoonotic/vector-borne infections. The review argues that protecting child health requires embedding an explicit, child-centered lens into One Health research, surveillance, governance, and interventions—particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where data and policy gaps are largest.

Key Points

  • Children’s vulnerability stems from multiple, interacting factors:
    • Physiological and immunological immaturity (including neonatal risks).
    • Developmental windows with long-term consequences from early exposures.
    • Behavior (hand-to-mouth, play, outdoor exposure) increasing contact with environmental and animal reservoirs.
    • Dependence on caregivers and local ecosystems for nutrition, shelter, and sanitation.
  • AMR:
    • Children are disproportionately exposed to resistant pathogens via clinical care, community transmission, food chains, and environmental contamination.
    • Pediatric and neonatal AMR pose distinct clinical and surveillance challenges.
    • Antibiotic use in humans and animals, plus environmental antibiotic residues, create converging selection pressures.
  • Climate change:
    • Intensifies direct (heat, extreme weather injury) and indirect (food insecurity, mental health, shifting disease ecologies) harms to children.
    • Extreme weather events amplify exposure to pathogens and degrade health infrastructure and services.
  • Emerging infectious and vector-borne diseases:
    • Geographic ranges of many vectors and zoonoses are shifting, increasing children’s exposure in new areas.
    • Urbanization and biodiversity loss alter host–pathogen dynamics affecting pediatric risk.
  • Systemic gaps:
    • Sparse child-specific surveillance across human, animal, and environmental domains.
    • Limited integrated One Health research and policy implementation—particularly in LMIC contexts.
    • Fragmented governance and funding hinder cross-sectoral prevention and response.
  • Policy imperative:
    • A child-centered One Health approach can strengthen prevention, resilience, and equity; it requires integrated data, targeted interventions, and governance reforms.

Data & Methods

  • Study type: Narrative (qualitative) review synthesizing evidence across human, animal, and environmental health literatures.
  • Sources: Interdisciplinary peer-reviewed studies, surveillance reports, and policy literature (no single pooled dataset or meta-analysis reported).
  • Methods: The authors integrate findings across domains to illustrate convergent pathways affecting children (AMR, climate impacts, zoonoses), highlighting epidemiological, environmental, and social mechanisms.
  • Limitations noted:
    • Lack of standardized, child-specific surveillance data limits quantitative synthesis.
    • Potential under-representation of LMIC contexts and longitudinal child-health outcome data.
    • Heterogeneous evidence across disciplines makes causal attribution and effect-size estimation difficult.

Implications for AI Economics

  • Implications for modeling and forecasting
    • Data gaps (especially child-specific, cross-sectoral One Health data) reduce the reliability and fairness of AI-driven disease prediction and economic models.
    • Integrating human–animal–environmental datasets is necessary for accurate, child-sensitive forecasts of AMR spread, vector expansion, and climate-driven health shocks.
    • Econometric and ML models should incorporate developmental timing and lifetime human-capital impacts (not just short-term morbidity) to value interventions properly.
  • Implications for cost-effectiveness and investment priorities
    • Economic evaluations should internalize cross-sector externalities (e.g., antibiotic use in agriculture affecting pediatric AMR) and long-term costs to child health and productivity.
    • AI can support value-of-information and dynamic resource-allocation analyses to prioritize interventions (e.g., stewardship, vaccination, environmental controls) that most benefit children.
    • Investment cases for surveillance and One Health infrastructure must account for intergenerational returns (reduced chronic disease burden, preserved cognitive development).
  • Market design, incentives, and policy tools
    • AMR and environmental externalities create classic market failures; mechanism-design and incentive-based policies (subsidies for stewardship, taxes on harmful practices, pay-for-performance for One Health outcomes) can be evaluated with AI-enabled simulations.
    • AI-enabled pricing and tendering for antibiotics, vaccines, and diagnostics can be used but must be informed by equity constraints to avoid disadvantaging LMICs and children.
  • Equity, fairness, and distributional concerns
    • AI systems trained on incomplete, adult-centric, or high-income–biased data risk perpetuating inequities in prediction, resource allocation, and policy recommendations for children and LMICs.
    • Economic models should include fairness constraints and stratify outcomes by age, socioeconomic status, and geography.
  • Operational and governance considerations
    • Building integrated One Health data platforms (human, veterinary, environmental) is a priority for both AI applications and economic evaluation; public investment and international cooperation will be required.
    • Data governance must balance utility for AI-driven policy with privacy, consent (especially for children), and cross-sectoral data-sharing rules.
  • Recommended AI-economics research directions
    • Develop child-specific predictive models for AMR and vector-borne disease risk that fuse clinical, veterinary, environmental, and climate data.
    • Use causal ML and agent-based simulations to evaluate intervention strategies and incentive mechanisms, explicitly modeling developmental and long-term economic impacts.
    • Conduct value-of-information analyses to prioritize surveillance investments that reduce uncertainty most relevant to child-health outcomes.
    • Design equitable allocation algorithms for scarce resources (vaccines, diagnostics, climate-adaptive infrastructure) with constraints to protect children and LMICs.
    • Quantify macroeconomic and human-capital losses from childhood exposures (AMR, climate shocks, zoonoses) to inform long-term policy planning.
  • Practical policy recommendations for economists and AI practitioners
    • Prioritize funding for integrated, child-labeled One Health datasets and interoperable metadata standards.
    • Include pediatric outcomes and developmental timing in cost-effectiveness and planning models.
    • Co-develop models with public-health, veterinary, and environmental experts and stakeholders in LMICs to ensure relevance and equity.
    • Build transparency and fairness checks into AI tools used for resource allocation and surveillance to prevent amplifying existing disparities.

Summary: From an AI-economics perspective, the review highlights a high-value opportunity—and a pressing need—to build integrated, child-centered One Health data and models. Doing so will improve forecasting, optimize scarce-resource allocation, and enable economic policies that internalize cross-sector externalities and protect children’s long-term human capital.

Assessment

Paper Typereview_meta Evidence Strengthlow — Narrative synthesis of heterogeneous observational, surveillance, and mechanistic studies without pooled estimates or causal identification; child‑specific and LMIC data are sparse, limiting quantitative confidence and causal attribution. Methods Rigormedium — Interdisciplinary, conceptually coherent integration across human, animal, and environmental literatures, but presented as a narrative review (no systematic review protocol, meta-analysis, or formal bias assessment), so subject to selection and synthesis bias. SampleA qualitative, interdisciplinary synthesis drawing on peer‑reviewed epidemiological and clinical studies, veterinary and environmental research, surveillance reports, and policy literature across AMR, climate impacts, and zoonotic/vector‑borne disease domains; no single pooled dataset or quantitative meta‑analysis; noted under‑representation of LMIC and longitudinal pediatric datasets. Themesgovernance inequality GeneralizabilityEvidence base is heterogeneous and largely observational, limiting transferability of effect sizes across contexts., Child‑specific surveillance and longitudinal outcome data are sparse, especially in LMICs, reducing applicability to those settings., Regional differences in ecosystems, health systems, and animal agriculture mean risks and feasible interventions vary by geography., Findings synthesize multiple pathogen/ecosystem pathways; not all mechanisms apply equally across diseases, age groups, or socioecological contexts.

Claims (20)

ClaimDirectionConfidenceOutcomeDetails
Children are uniquely vulnerable within the One Health nexus because physiological immaturity, developmental sensitivity, behavior-driven exposures, and ecosystem dependence make them disproportionately affected by AMR, climate change, and emerging zoonotic/vector-borne infections. Other negative medium overall child vulnerability to AMR, climate change, and zoonotic/vector-borne infections (composite risk of exposure and adverse health outcomes)
0.07
Physiological and immunological immaturity (including neonatal risks) increases children's susceptibility to infectious disease and related harms. Other negative high susceptibility to infection and severity of disease in neonates and young children
0.12
Developmental windows imply early-life exposures can have long-term consequences for health and human capital. Other negative high long-term health, cognitive development, and human-capital outcomes following early-life exposures
0.12
Child behaviors (hand-to-mouth activity, play, outdoor exposure) increase contact with environmental and animal reservoirs and therefore exposure risk. Other negative high frequency/intensity of contact with environmental/animal reservoirs and resultant exposure risk
0.12
Children's dependence on caregivers and local ecosystems (for nutrition, shelter, sanitation) increases vulnerability to ecosystem-level shocks. Other negative medium child health outcomes mediated by caregiver capacity and local ecosystem integrity (e.g., nutrition, sanitation access)
0.07
Children are disproportionately exposed to antimicrobial-resistant pathogens via clinical care, community transmission, food chains, and environmental contamination. Other negative medium exposure/infection rates with antimicrobial-resistant pathogens in children
0.07
Pediatric and neonatal AMR pose distinct clinical and surveillance challenges compared to adult AMR. Other negative medium adequacy of clinical management and surveillance sensitivity for AMR in pediatric/neonatal populations
0.07
Antibiotic use in humans and animals, along with environmental antibiotic residues, generates converging selection pressures that drive AMR relevant to children. Other negative high selection and dissemination of antimicrobial resistance genes/pathogens across human, animal, and environmental reservoirs
0.12
Climate change intensifies direct harms to children (heat injury, extreme weather injury) and indirect harms (food insecurity, mental health impacts, shifting disease ecologies). Other negative medium incidence of heat-related illness, injury from extreme weather, food insecurity metrics, mental-health indicators, and climate-driven disease incidence among children
0.07
Extreme weather events amplify children's exposure to pathogens and degrade health infrastructure and services. Other negative medium post-disaster infectious disease incidence and health-service disruption metrics affecting children
0.07
Geographic ranges of many vectors and zoonoses are shifting (due to climate and land-use change), increasing children's exposure in new areas. Other negative medium geographic incidence and exposure risk of vector-borne and zoonotic infections among children
0.07
Urbanization and biodiversity loss alter host–pathogen dynamics in ways that affect pediatric infection risk. Other mixed medium changes in pediatric infection risk associated with urbanization and biodiversity loss
0.07
Child-specific surveillance across human, animal, and environmental domains is sparse, limiting understanding of pediatric One Health risks. Other null_result high coverage and granularity of child-specific surveillance data in One Health domains
0.12
Integrated One Health research and policy implementation are limited—particularly in LMICs—creating gaps in prevention and response for children. Governance And Regulation negative medium degree of One Health research integration and policy implementation affecting child health in LMICs
0.07
Fragmented governance and funding structures hinder cross-sectoral prevention and response for child-centered One Health challenges. Governance And Regulation negative medium effectiveness of cross-sector prevention and response mechanisms for child health
0.07
Embedding an explicit, child-centered lens into One Health research, surveillance, governance, and interventions is necessary to protect child health and equity. Governance And Regulation positive speculative anticipated improvements in child health outcomes, equity, and resilience following child-centered One Health reforms (proposed)
0.01
Data gaps, especially child-specific and cross-sectoral One Health data, reduce the reliability and fairness of AI-driven disease prediction and economic models. Ai Safety And Ethics negative medium reliability and fairness metrics of AI-driven disease forecasting and economic models when child-specific data are absent
0.07
Economic evaluations and AI-enabled allocation algorithms need to internalize cross-sector externalities (e.g., agricultural antibiotic use) and long-term child health/human-capital impacts to prioritize effective interventions. Governance And Regulation positive speculative policy prioritization and cost-effectiveness outcomes when cross-sector externalities and lifetime impacts are incorporated
0.01
AI systems trained on incomplete, adult-centric, or high-income–biased data risk perpetuating inequities in prediction, resource allocation, and policy recommendations for children and LMICs. Ai Safety And Ethics negative medium equity and fairness of AI-driven predictions and allocation decisions affecting children and LMIC populations
0.07
Building integrated One Health data platforms and interoperable metadata standards is a priority to enable child-centered AI applications, surveillance, and economic evaluation. Governance And Regulation positive speculative availability and utility of integrated One Health data platforms and resultant improvements in surveillance, modeling, and policy-making for children
0.01

Notes